Chapter 7 - Trade in minerals and energy
7.1
The strength of the complementarity that exists between
the economies of China
and Australia
is most evident in the minerals and energy sectors. Australia's
natural endowment as a resource rich country fits well with China's
growing appetite for such commodities. This chapter discusses China's
growing demand for minerals and resources and the opportunities for Australia
to take advantage of China's
expanding market. It looks specifically at China's
concern with the limited capacity of its domestic market to supply its energy
needs, the policies it has adopted to secure its supply and their implications
for Australia.
The chapter also examines specific commodities, including liquefied natural gas
(LNG) and iron ore to highlight their particular significance for Australia
and the impediments to trade in these commodities.
China's
demand for minerals and resources
7.2
According to the Minerals Council of Australia, China's
consumption of minerals, as a percentage of the world's total, is doubling each
decade. It is the largest consumer of copper, tin, zinc, steel, iron ore and
coal; the second largest consumer of aluminium, petroleum and lead; the third
largest consumer of nickel and the fourth largest consumer of gold. China
also accounts for 50 per cent of the world's usage of cement.[460]
7.3
Furthermore, China's
demand for resources does not appear to be a short term phenomenon. For
example, the demand for electricity in China
is expected to more than triple by 2025 and the number of cars has been growing
by 20 per cent a year and 'the potential growth is almost unlimited'.[461] The Minerals Council of Australia maintained
that an underlying structural change in the global market is taking place. It
stated in evidence:
Essentially, what we are seeing is a profound shift in the
global market in terms of demand...That is largely a consequence of the impact of
the emerging economies in North Asia, China in particular, which aims to
quadruple its GDP by 2020, which equates to about a seven per cent per annum
growth. We see China
following the path of industrialisation and urbanisation that history records
occurred in the 1890s in the United States of
America and again in the 1950s and 1960s in
the United States
but also Japan
and South Korea.[462]
China's
domestic capacity
7.4
Much of China's demand for minerals has been generated
by strong growth in the export of manufactured goods, coupled with the
government's intense program of infrastructure development—railways, ports,
power stations and highways. Indeed, China
is at the 'minerals intensive stage of its development where infrastructure,
urbanisation and manufacturing make a heavy demand on steel, aluminium and
electricity...'[463]
7.5
China
has stated emphatically that it 'will stay on the new road of industrialisation'.[464] The government has indicated that it
will strengthen basic industries like the energy industry and important raw
materials industries, as well as infrastructure development in 'water
conservancy, transport and communications'.[465]
Clearly, as noted by the Minerals Council, China's
requirements for minerals and energy are now operating from a new higher
plateau.
7.6
Although China
has its own extensive reserves of minerals, demand exceeds its domestic supply
capacity. Improving domestic capacity forms an important aspect of China's
economic and social development plan. China
is focusing on developing large coalmines and expanding coal transport
facilities such as railways and embarkation ports and to renovate and upgrade
coalmines for production safety.[466]
It intends 'to accelerate major projects for liquefying coal, exploiting
petroleum and natural gas, generating power by natural gas, and utilising
renewable energy sources and develop hydroelectric power'.[467]
7.7
Despite the measures taken to increase domestic supply,
China
acknowledges that it remains dependent on overseas supplies to satisfy its
requirements for minerals and resources. At the beginning of 2005, China
noted that supplies of energy, raw and processed materials and transportation
had increased significantly over the past two years but that supply lagged far
behind demand for coal, electricity, petroleum and transportation.[468] It announced that it would
'carefully organize the import of energy, raw and processed materials, key
technologies and major equipment that are badly needed and in short supply in China'.[469] Chapter 2 discussed China's
energy needs and noted that the country experiences power shortages.
Australia
as a producer of minerals and resources
7.8
Australia
is one of the world's most significant suppliers of minerals. It is the third
largest mineral sector by value of production of any country after the US
and South Africa.[470]
7.9
Currently, China
is an important market for the Australian minerals sector. Minerals account for
more than half of Australia's total goods exported to China and have grown by
470 per cent over the last decade.[471]
China is now Australia's second largest customer for mineral and energy
commodities after Japan.[472] China's
highest value imports from Australia are iron ores, aluminium, copper, wool,
coal and flat rolled iron. Minerals exports to China
are in the order of $3.5 billion—or just less than 10 per cent of total
Australian minerals exports.[473]
7.10
The main impetus behind the increasing importance of China
as an export destination for Australia
is its growing demand for resources. Australia
is well placed to take advantage of this growing demand. According to the
Minerals Council, Australia's
mining sector has been 'gearing up for a number of years to meet the extra demand'.[474] They noted that there are 43
minerals projects at an advanced stage—either committed or under
construction—with total estimated investment of around $13.6 billion.[475]
7.11
Mr Charlie
Lenegan, Managing Director, Rio Tinto, Australia,
warned of forecasting the shape of future trade with China,
which in his view is inherently risky. He surmised that the 'country's human
capital, its commitment to change and its ability to leapfrog technology
guarantee surprises'.[476] Even so, Mr
Lenegan indicated that 'China's
soaring demand for iron ore and other minerals is depicted as a bonanza for
resource companies like Rio Tinto'.[477]
He explained further:
Ultimately, a nation of 1.3 billion whose economy is at the
minerals intensive stage of development is going to see significant growth in
consumption of minerals and energy. There will be imports of resources and
other products/services where Australia
enjoys a competitive advantage, and exports of goods in which China
enjoys a competitive advantage. [478]
7.12
Indeed, most analysts predict that trade in resources
and energy will continue to grow rapidly in response to demand pressures
generated by China's
industrialisation. DFAT stated:
These trades are underpinned by sizeable long term contracts,
for example for iron ore and the sale of liquefied natural gas into the Guangdong
market from 2005, and will remain the basis of Australia's
export trade for many years to come.[479]
China's
concern with dependency on overseas supplies and energy efficiency
7.13
As noted above, China's
domestic sources cannot satisfy its growing demand for minerals and energy and
it must rely on overseas suppliers. Even with imported energy resources, China
experiences power shortages that make it particularly conscious of the
importance of conserving and using energy more efficiently. China
is taking a number of steps to enhance its energy security including diversity
of supply, use of alternative or substitute products and increased efficiency
of use.
Security of supply an important
consideration
7.14
It is natural for a country dependent on overseas sources
for vital raw materials to adopt an opportunistic and pragmatic policy aimed at
securing its supplies. China
is no exception. It is following a multi–pronged approach to ensure that it has
ready and reliable access to essential resources.
7.15
China
is looking to diversify its sources of minerals and energy to guarantee greater
certainty in accessing supply. The Department of Industry, Tourism and
Resources (DITR) did not envisage China's
energy efficiency policy as a problem for Australian exporters of minerals. It told
the committee:
We do know that China,
like many other economies, would be trying to diversify its sources of energy
supply from an energy security perspective. I think the demand that they will need
to meet their growing energy needs will be such that that really would not be
an impediment to Australia
exporting to that country.[480]
7.16
China
is also seeking alternative sources of energy with Australia
again well placed to assist China.
Australia and China
have recently entered into an agreement that will see Australia
supply China
with liquefied natural gas. This is discussed in greater detail later in this
chapter at paragraphs 7.35–7.45.
7.17
Nuclear power is another area with the potential for
huge growth. Australia
is the second largest producer of uranium after Canada
and is a preferred supplier of uranium because of its low cost reserves and its
political and economic stability.
7.18
Australia's
uranium is sold strictly for electrical power generation and there are well–established
safeguards in place to ensure that nuclear material remains exclusively for
peaceful use.[481] China
has made it known that it is very keen to enter into negotiations with Australia
on the supply of uranium.[482] Indeed,
at the beginning of 2005, Canberra
and Beijing began informal talks on
uranium sales. In August later that year, the government announced that Australia
would formally commence negotiations on a nuclear cooperation agreement with China.
The Minister for Foreign Affairs stated that:
Australia
has an estimated 40 per cent of the world's low–cost uranium resources. Opening
up this export opportunity with China
is consistent with the growing trade and economic relationship between our two
countries, and Australia's
position as a secure supplier of energy resources.[483]
7.19
Australian Uranium exports are currently not allowed to
China because Australia
does not have a bilateral nuclear safeguards agreement with China.
The Treasurer, the Hon Peter
Costello, MP, made it clear that there would
be no sales of uranium to China
unless it agreed to Australia's
nuclear safety controls.'[484] A
necessary part of the negotiations now underway will involve both countries
reaching such an agreement.
7.20
The committee notes that diversity of suppliers and the
use of alternative commodities itself do not necessarily offer security of
supply if the suppliers cannot be relied upon to deliver on time and without
difficulties. Australia
has a distinct advantage in this regard.
Australia's
reputation as a supplier
7.21
A country seeking to secure access to essential
resources values a supplier who can be relied on to deliver the goods as
required, efficiently and cost effectively. Australia
stands out in this regard. Its established reputation as a dependable and
reliable supplier of goods is one of its strongest credentials as a trading
partner (see paragraphs 7.16, 7.36, 7.42 and 8.32). Countries relying heavily
on imports for their strategic commodities such as iron ore look for certainty
of supply. DITR told the committee:
We take every opportunity we have during our bilateral dialogue
and also when we have incoming and outgoing delegations to promote ourselves as
a very reliable supplier of energy and resource commodities. Particularly, we
look to our very good track record—say, with LNG, in our exports to Japan—in
that we have never ever missed a shipment. They have all been on time. So we
use the avenues we have available to us to continually promote our very good track
record and our political stability in this country.[485]
Committee view
7.22
Australia's
reputation as a reliable and dependable supplier of commodities holds it in
good stead in the international trading community. It provides a solid
foundation to further expand Australia's
trading links with China.
Reputations, however, are easily tarnished and in such a highly competitive
market Australian companies need to maintain and promote their good reputation.
Energy efficiency and conservation
7.23
While China
has made remarkable advances in economic and social development, its leaders
acknowledge that there has been a cost to the environment. Premier Wen was
forthright on this matter:
The reckless expansion of cities, blind pursuit of large–emission
automobiles capacious residential apartments and luxurious packages for some
products, which are quite common in some cities, have intensified the conflict
between the supply and demand of resources and environmental pollution.
Currently, China's
consumption of energy resources, raw materials and water for per unit of GDP
(gross domestic product) is far beyond the world's average level. [486]
7.24
China
will continue to promote economic growth but is serious about implementing
measures to 'build a resources–saving society'. It has called for energy conservation in major energy–consuming
industries and enterprises, the development of oil substitutes and other energy
saving products, the promotion of the use of renewable energy such as water,
wind, solar and biological energy and a raft of practices designed to reduce
energy use.[487]
7.25
Australia
recognises the direction that China
is taking to encourage energy efficiency. DITR told the committee that:
The Chinese government are taking very seriously energy
efficiency and are looking to be a good citizen in trying to reduce emissions.
They are doing a lot of work in the international arena in attempting to move
towards renewable energy and, as I said, to undertake work to introduce energy
efficiency procedures into their government operations as well as into the
general consumption of energy in that country. So they are doing a lot of work
in that area.[488]
7.26
Although Australia
supplies China
with resources, it is also well placed to assist China
in its endeavour to improve the efficient use of resources through the
application of new techniques and the development of new products.
7.27
Coal is currently the most important source of China's
energy. According to ABARE, in 2001 coal accounted for 69 per cent of total Chinese
primary energy consumption compared with 80 per cent in 1990.[489] Currently, coal makes up 65 per cent
of China's
primary consumption. China
is both the largest consumer and producer of coal in the world.[490] Although coal's share of the overall
Chinese energy consumption is expected to fall, coal consumption is on the rise
and will remain a crucial source of China's
energy.[491] Coal, however, is a substantial
green house gas emitter and China's
heavy use of unwashed coal results in large emissions of sulphur dioxide and
particulate matter. China
is projected to experience the largest absolute growth in carbon dioxide
emissions between 2005 and 2025.[492]
7.28
Australia
exported almost 6 million tonnes of coal to China
in 2004 and, according to the Treasurer, could export as much as 56 million
tonnes a year by 2010, 'if China's
markets were fully open to foreign suppliers.'[493] Australia
also relies heavily on coal as a major source of energy. Although there are
less environmentally–damaging alternatives, the reality remains that coal–fired
electricity will be the mainstay of China's
and Australia's
static power supply for many years to come.
7.29
As exporters and heavy consumers of coal, both
countries have a genuine interest in developing technologies that will reduce
the emission of green house gases and are working cooperatively to find
solutions to this problem. DITR informed the committee that China
is active in international arenas in developing practical solutions to address environmental
problems such as greenhouse. They explained further:
It is a member of the Carbon Sequestration Leadership Forum, which
is aimed at developing the technologies to capture and store carbon dioxide
from coal powered stations. It has recently joined the methane to markets
initiative, which is all about trying to capture and utilise methane emissions
from coalmines and natural gas operations—once again, to reduce greenhouse
emissions. China is working with Australia under a bilateral agreement, the
climate action partnership, which is aimed at trying to facilitate the
development of practical solutions to address greenhouse between our two countries...As
well as that, China is working with Australia to implement clean coal
technologies that we have developed such as ultra clean coal. There are some
very serious negotiations at the moment to perhaps develop an ultra clean power
station within China.[494]
7.30
Most recently, in July 2005, six Asia–Pacific
countries—the United States, Japan, China,
India, South
Korea and Australia—formed
a partnership on clean development and climate. According to the Minister for
Foreign Affairs and the Minister for Environment and Heritage, this group 'will
sensibly put technology cooperation front and centre'.[495] The ministers anticipated that the
inaugural meeting of the partnership to be held in November 2005 would begin 'a
long–term, practical collaboration that will promote low-carbon technologies,
reduce the greenhouse gas intensity of our economies, and put us on low–emissions
growth trajectories'.[496]
7.31
China
also has a poor safety record in the mining industry. Again, Australia
is well placed to assist China
improve its mining procedures and techniques. The Queensland Government has
entered into two agreements with China
to address mine safety. It noted the following initiatives:
-
In January 2005, the Safety in Mines Testing and
Research Station (SIMITARS) within the Queensland Department of Natural
Resources and Mines signed a Memorandum of Understanding with the State
Administration of Work Safety (SAWS) to supply China with safety technology
designed to prevent underground mine disasters. SIMTARS has also signed an
agreement with the China Coal Research Institute with similar objectives.
-
The Queensland Department of Natural Resources
and Mines has also entered into a Cooperation Agreement on Mine Safety
Education and Training Cooperation with Shandong Coal Mine Safety Education and
Training Centre in China.
-
On 8 July 2005, the Queensland Department of Natural
Resources and Mines signed a Memorandum of Understanding with the Ministry of
Land and Resources, People's Republic of China, for more collaborative
arrangements between the two governments regarding mining technology, mining
safety, land management and water issues.
-
In August 2004, the Queensland Department of
Natural Resources and Mines signed a five–year contract with China's Ministry
of Land and Resources to assist Chinese bureaucrats with training in land administration
and registration.[497]
Recommendation 8
7.32
The committee recommends that Australia as a major
exporter and consumer of coal take a lead role in promoting the cleaner use of
fossil fuels and encourage further joint research and development between China
and Australia in the area of environmental protection and climate control.
Committee
view
7.33
The committee notes Australia's
reputation as a reliable and secure source of raw materials and the importance
of protecting and building on its image as a dependable and valued supplier.
The committee also acknowledges that Australia offers China a number of
alternative sources of power—nuclear and LNG—and is working with China to
improve its efficiency in energy use.
7.34
The committee believes that it is important at this
stage of the report to again note the concern expressed by a number of
witnesses, in chapters 3 and 6, about Australia's
reliance on the export of raw materials to boost its balance of trade figures. For
example, taking a longer term look at the pattern of Australia's exports, Mr
Martin Feil, a former director of the Industries Assistance Commission, pointed
to the fact that Australia adds 'virtually no value to natural resources and
raw materials other than extraction and some logistical services'. The AMWU
noted that for every plasma television Australia
imported, it had to export 'in the vicinity of 150 tonnes of iron ore'.[498] The committee encourages Australian
energy and resources companies to capitalise on the opportunities presented by
a rapidly industrialising China
but urges them and the Australian government to look on Australia
as much more than a quarry.
7.35
The following section examines a number of key
commodities traded with China
and the advantages for Australia
in forming strategic partnerships in the minerals and energy sector. In
particular, this section examines the successes that Australia
has achieved in gaining access to China's
markets and some of the difficulties producers face in exporting their product
to China.
Liquefied natural gas (LNG)
7.36
Although natural gas is presently a minor fuel in China
there are clear indications that the consumption of natural gas in China
will grow.[499] The Energy Information
Administration's International Energy Outlook for 2005 indicated that natural
gas is expected to be a favoured choice for new electricity generation capacity
built over the next two decades. Natural gas offers China
a number of benefits. Its relative environmental advantages and efficiency make
it an attractive alternative to coal fired generation. It also provides China,
which is looking to diversify its energy supplies, with an alternative energy
source.
7.37
In August 2002, an Australian consortium, Australia LNG,
won a major contract to supply liquefied natural gas to China's
Guangdong Province—the
largest foreign contract ever awarded to an Australian Company. This was China's
first LNG project.[500] The Chairman of
Woodside Petroleum Ltd, Mr Charles
Goode, remarked at the time that:
The North West Shelf has an excellent record over more than a
decade as an efficient and reliable supplier of LNG. The Australian tender,
therefore, had the sound credentials of an efficient existing operation, good
reserves and strong management.[501]
7.38
He also recognised that there had been a 'well coordinated
marketing program to China
over a number of years which had the strong support of the Western Australian
and Commonwealth governments'.[502] At
the time of the announcement, Mr John Akehurst, Managing Director of Woodside
Energy Ltd, stated:
This is a great outcome for Australia
and for the North West Shelf. It is the result of a sustained effort by many
people over a long period. Cooperation between industry and governments could
not have been better and Australia LNG, which is our marketing arm in China,
has done a great job.[503]
7.39
Two months later, a 25–year LNG sale and purchase
agreement between the North West Shelf LNG Sellers and the Guangdong LNG
project proponents was signed. Under the agreement, from mid–2006 Australia
is to supply 3.7 million tonnes of liquid natural gas each year for 25 years.[504] The agreement is worth up to $25 billion
and was the result of many years of 'hard, diligent and meticulous work'.[505]
7.40
This announcement put in train a series of other
arrangements. In May 2003, the North West Shelf Venture Participants and CNOOC
Ltd[506] formalised agreements that
provided for CNOOC subsidiary, CNOOC NWS Private Ltd, to acquire an interest in
NWS Venture titles and to secure rights to use NWS Venture infrastructure to
process gas.[507]
7.41
In October 2003, North West Shelf Australia LNG signed
a Memorandum of Understanding for the Management and Implementation of the
Australia–China Natural Gas Technology Partnership Fund. This initiative is
'aimed at providing opportunities for training, research and technology
transfer between the people of China
and Australia
in the natural gas and Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) industry'.[508]
7.42
In December 2004, the North West Shelf Australia LNG
and the Guangdong LNG Company Ltd finalised the sale and purchase agreements
for LNG supply to Guangdong.[509] Mr Wu Zhenfang, Chairman of
Guangdong Dapeng LNG Company Ltd, recognised this step as a major milestone in
the development of the Guangdong LNG Project, marking 'the start of a very long
journey for China
in developing a world class natural gas industry'.[510]
7.43
DFAT cited this agreement as an example of how 'close
collaboration between Australia's
Government and industry can advance the national interest'. It noted that other
Australian companies are working hard to build on the North West Shelf
Venture's success in the China market, including Gorgon Australian Gas,
Woodside Petroleum and BHP Billiton'.[511]
7.44
This arrangement showcases the opportunities that are
available for Australia
to deepen its economic links with China.
Mr Peter Jennings, Acting Director, the Australian Strategic Policy Institute,
noted that the LNG deal clearly demonstrated the potential to develop 'an
economic relationship that, in scope, goes well beyond simple trade ties' and
which in large part stems from their complementary economies:
Australia
offers China a
combination of essential resources and long-term political stability
underpinning a guaranteed supply. China
offers Australia
almost limitless demand and the potential to broaden the relationship beyond
providing raw materials to include a huge requirement for services.[512]
7.45
Indeed, the success of this agreement has paved the way
for further expansion. The Western Australian government with the government of
its sister state, Zhejiang, have
set up a feasibility study on gas and LNG.[513]
As an example of close cooperation, Mr Satchwell
told the committee about the eight Chinese gas utility executives who were in Western
Australia for six months undertaking training in modern
business operation and in particular the operation of competitive gas markets.[514]
Committee
view
7.46
The committee acknowledges the achievements of all
parties to the LNG agreement and the contribution it has made to developing closer
ties with Chinese industry. It has enhanced Australia's
image as an enthusiastic, innovative and reliable trading partner. It provides
a model for other Australian enterprises to emulate and is a source of
encouragement for them to enter joint ventures with Chinese enterprises.
Iron ore
7.47
Different commodities in the minerals and energy sector
confront different trade barriers. In chapter 4, the committee discussed in
broad terms some of the impediments to trade with China.
It noted that tariffs on minerals, although not high, still resulted in
unnecessary costs to the exporter. The export of iron ore to China
however, is subject to another form of restriction—import licences.
7.48
China
relies on overseas sources for its much needed supplies of iron ore. ABARE
records that in 2004, China's
imports of iron ore rose by 60 million tonnes to 208 million tonnes,
representing 35 per cent of world seaborne iron ore.[515] In 2002–03 China
imported 32 per cent of Australia's
total iron ore export[516] and in
2003–04 this increased to 36 per cent.[517]
According to Rio Tinto, the latest import data from China
for the first six months of 2005 showed that Australia's
iron ore exports to China
increased by a substantial 60 per cent, or nearly 20 million tonnes. In
comparison, supplies from Brazil
increased by 21 per cent and from India
by 42 per cent.[518]
7.49
China
is Australia's
second largest importer of Australian iron ore after Japan
and on recent trends, its demand is set to rise. According to Rio Tinto, China
is now its largest iron ore importer. Charlie Lenegan, Managing Director, Rio
Tinto, Australia, has stated that:
China
needs iron ore to supply the growing demand from its steel mills. With nine mines
and three ports in the Pilbara, RTIO is well placed to satisfy that demand. The
company plans to ship over 170 million tonnes per annum in 2006, up from the
2003 figure of 118 tonnes, also recognise the stimulus that Chinese growth has
given to the rest of Asia.[519]
Licence requirement—example of
trade barriers
7.50
From 1 May 2005,
China limited
the number of companies licensed to purchase iron ore from the spot market from
523 to 118 (48 traders and 70 steel makers).[520] This decision seemed to contradict
the message China
is sending to the international business community that it is opening up its
economy. DITR explained:
The Chinese describe the licensing system as an automatic
registration system. They do not use the word ‘licensing’. I understand that
certain companies have queried whether or not the regime that was introduced is
compliant with China’s
World Trade Organisation obligations.[521]
7.51
Taking account of China's
viewpoint, DITR told the committee:
If we step back a little and try to think what is happening, I
would suggest that last year there were over 500 purchasers of iron ore in China,
from Australian and other iron ore suppliers. The Chinese regarded this as very
disorderly marketing—in other words, lack of central control, perhaps, of the
prices—and thought that if they could limit the number of purchasers there
might be more orderly purchasing arrangements.
[522]
7.52
The department was of the view that limiting the number
of purchasers would not affect the quantity of Australia’s
exports to China
and the price negotiated between the commercial parties would be determined by supply
and demand.[523] Consistent with this
view, ABARE also suggested that the motive behind this move was to improve
logistical efficiencies. It also surmised that it may have been an attempt 'to
limit China's exposure to volatility in the spot market'.[524]
7.53
The Minerals Council provided a similar interpretation of
the reasons China
imposed a licensing requirement, though they believed that the SOEs were
exerting influence. It stated:
The state owned enterprises are politically pretty powerful.
They have coalesced themselves into a group whereby they are essentially
seeking to control what they call ‘undisciplined’ growth, the argument being
that they will take some heat out of the market. The top 75 or so steel mills,
for example, doing the business see the next 1,000 mills as being responsible
for the undisciplined growth so import licences are issued to the top 75 or so
mills to take some of that ‘undisciplined’ growth out of the market place.[525]
7.54
This move by the Chinese government is a reminder that China
is sensitive to the problems of the supply and demand of such important
commodities. They rely heavily on regulation to ensure that the government retains
what it believes to be appropriate control over the supply and distribution of
minerals and resources. Although the initial effect was negligible, the Minerals
Council was concerned by:
...the fact that the move is indicative of a broader sentiment
within China
that market prices can be influenced by official and/or unofficial
intervention.[526]
Committee
view
7.55
The committee notes the Mineral Council's concerns.
Other important export commodities
7.56
A number of other commodities are important to Australia's
export trade to China.
For example, in 2003–04 China
took 14 per cent of Australia's
crude petroleum products. Alumina exports to China
are also set to rise. According to Rio Tinto, despite China's
stricter domestic investment guidelines, its alumina demands are also expected
to continue to grow. They stated:
The Comalco Alumina Refinery (CAR), now nearing completion in Gladstone,
will add value to the Weipa resource. CAR, the first greenfields alumina
refinery to be built anywhere in the world in the last twenty years is, in part,
a response to China's growing demand for alumina imports. So, too, is the
expansion and upgrading of the Weipa operation that has been carried out to
guarantee CAR's raw material needs.[527]
Australian investment in the minerals and resources sectors in China
7.57
China
has adopted a two–way investment promotion plan where the outbound investment
strategy is 'integrated with the continuous effort to promote foreign capital
inflow to boost China's
overall involvement in global economic cooperation'.[528]
7.58
In chapter 9, the report examines the broad investment
environment that exists between Australia
and China. The
minerals and energy sector, however, presents a unique set of circumstances for
investors. The nature and extent of that investment is examined in the
following section.
7.59
Australian companies, with their experience in research
and development, exploration and mining, are ideally suited to assist China
to promote the efficient use of energy and the development of their mineral
resources. China
recognises the advantages to be gained from close collaboration between the two
countries in the area of research and development in the minerals and energy
sector. For example, Mr Wu
Bangguo, Chairman of the Standing Committee
of the National People's Congress, suggested that to raise mutually beneficial
cooperation between the two countries to a new level, they should:
-
deepen cooperation in energy and mineral
resources and realise mutual benefit; and
-
expand mutual investment and strengthen
cooperation between the business of the two countries.[529]
7.60
According to Rio Tinto, however, little foreign direct
investment (FDI) has gone into the minerals and energy sector in China,
citing reasons related to 'the adequacy of legal systems, views on property
rights and prospectivity'. Mr Lenegan
explained further:
China
is well explored, but new global ore models open up prospects of major
discoveries in a large range of geological settings. While gradually improving,
the exploration regime suffers from the fragmentation of data and a complex
regulatory system. At this stage, there does not appear to be much support for
foreign investment in this sector.[530]
7.61
The Minerals Council of Australia endorsed this view. While
commenting on the opportunities available for foreign investors in China's
minerals sector, it noted that 'the reality is that there are restrictions to
minerals investment in China
at nearly every point in the process'.[531]
In its experience, there are obstacles from determining the prospectivity of
particular regions, securing approvals for exploration, exploring for mineral
reserves, securing a mining right, undertaking mining operations to the marketing
of those products.[532] In general it
found the approval processes uncertain and open-ended, with limited scope for a
wholly owned foreign entity to trade. It cited the following specific impediments
to Australian investment in the minerals and energy sector in China:
-
the restricted availability of geological data—a
credible pre-competitive geological database is an essential feature of any
regime seeking to promote inward foreign investment in the minerals sector;
-
the difficulty in securing an exploration permit
which may involve two or three levels of government;
-
the licensing regime—licenses can only be
granted to qualified 'geological exploration units registered in China and to
date no foreign mining company operating in China has been granted such a
qualification—foreign explorers must enter joint venture arrangements with
qualified provincial groups';
-
the requirement for joint venture and to provide
capital for that joint venture but with no exit clause to have the capital
returned if the venture fails;
-
the current project approval process for Sino–Foreign
Joint Ventures, which is regarded by foreign minerals companies as slow and
uncertain;
-
no guarantee that a company that secures a
foreign explorer right and locates a commercial resource will have the right to
mine that resource;
-
a policy approach that means that minerals
commodities are not treated equally—authorities encourage exploration in
certain base grade metals like copper, lead and zinc but are reluctant to
support foreign exploration for more precious metals such as silver and gold;
-
tax treatment that lacks certainty and is
complex;
-
limited trading rights for foreign companies for
example if the venture is a wholly–owned foreign enterprise it cannot obtain a
full import/export licence; and
-
lack of transparency and certainty of legal
processes for foreign investors operating in China.[533]
7.62
The Minerals Council was of the opinion that many of
these impediments are in contradiction of the WTO agreements and China’s
succession protocols. In summary, it argued that there is 'an overall need for
greater transparency and legal certainty with legal processes for foreign
investors operating in China...'[534]
Committee
view
7.63
Although China
promises more and better investment opportunities for Australian companies,
particularly in the minerals and energy sector, substantial hurdles remain that
discourage Australian investors. Many of these obstacles restrict the flow in
trade and investment that would be of great benefit to both countries. This
area should be singled out as a priority for reform.
China's
investment in the minerals and resources sectors in Australia
7.64
In turning to outbound investment, China
has adopted a 'go global' strategy designed to encourage Chinese firms to
invest overseas.[535] This outward
focused investment strategy is designed to integrate with China's
effort to promote foreign capital inflow 'to boost China's
overall integration in the global economic cooperation'.[536]
7.65
As noted earlier, China
is concerned about securing reliable access to essential minerals and resources.
52 per cent of their outward foreign direct investment is in minerals and
energy.[537] Dr
Davis, ACCI, maintained that China's
approach is to buy the resources abroad. He stated:
They are not content to contract for the supply of oil and gas;
they are going to buy oil and gas facilities. As one of my members said, Mr
Costello will be worrying about another
Woodside within the next two to three years, fairly certainly. In the popular
press they are talking about CNOOC buying Unocal. That is just the first of
many.[538]
7.66
China's
concern for securing market access is reflected in the direction of their
investment in Australia.
Invest Australia
understood that China's
investment strategy in Australia
was tied to its desire to secure their supply chain with a particular focus on
the resources industries.[539] According
to the Minerals Council, Chinese companies have 'equity investments in the
Pilbara and in aluminium smelting in Victoria,
and most of that is driven by security of market access and commercial decisions'.[540] DITR agreed with this view. It explained
further:
I think China
is looking to increase its foreign direct investment in other nations that have
supply capacity. That would include Australia
and Brazil—they
would be the main nations that they would be looking to invest in regarding
iron ore. They would also be interested in expanding their relationship with India
for iron ore supply.[541]
7.67
DITR told the committee:
They have made direct investments in a couple of mines within Australia,
most recently a mine in the Hunter Valley,
which had been closed by the previous owners because they had technical
problems that they could not address. The Chinese are coming in with a new long
wall mining technology which they want to demonstrate within our mining environment.
As such, they have invested within that mine...The Southland mine. They had a
fire there last year and the company that owned it just did not have the
financial capacity to maintain the operation. That is an example where China
is developing mining equipment and technology based on their huge industry,
which they are looking to tailor to meet the needs of other countries as well.
Increasingly, China
is absorbing a lot of investment by the major mining equipment supply
manufacturers around the world. In terms of changing trade relationships, I
anticipate that instead of getting that equipment from Germany,
the US or Japan,
we will be getting that sort of equipment from China.[542]
7.68
The Chinese investor in Australia
is not only interested in accessing supplies of raw materials to export to China,
but 'extends down the value added chain into the processing of materials'.[543] DITR provided the following example:
The investment by the China International Trust and Investment
Corporation, CITIC, into Victoria’s
Portland aluminium smelter was a
very early example of their desire to acquire not just raw materials—that is,
bauxite—but a finished product, aluminium, which is several stages up the
chain. The Chinese Shagang Corporation is a five per cent shareholder in the Rio
Tinto led, HI–Smelt iron ore making project in Western Australia,
where again the Chinese interest is not in acquiring the iron ore but in doing something
to the iron ore and acquiring some materials further up the value added chain.
Rio Tinto is trying to encourage the Chinese to look more actively at the HI–Smelt
process, either in Australia
or in China.[544]
7.69
From the Chinese perspective, Australia
encourages investment but the dominant criterion when considering whether to
allow some forms of investment is 'Australia's
national interest'. The Chinese consider that this criterion allows excessive
discretionary power, and 'certain examination and approval procedures are short
of transparency, which have impeded the access of foreign capital into Australia'.[545]
Conclusion
7.70
China's
growing demand for minerals and energy has created enormous opportunities for
Australian companies to both export their commodities to China
and to assist China
with some of the problems they are grappling with such as environmental degradation.
The committee believes that Australia
and China, who
are major greenhouse emitters and rely heavily on fossil fuels for their
energy, have much to achieve in the area of research and development toward the
use of cleaner fuels and renewable sources of energy.
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