GOVERNMENT SENATORS' REPORT

Inquiry into the GST and A New Tax System
CONTENTS


GOVERNMENT SENATORS' REPORT

Government Senators do not agree with the emphasis placed on some of the information contained in the Majority Labor Senators' report. We therefore have provided this separate report.

INTRODUCTION

The Employment, Workplace Relations, Small Business and Education References Committee Inquiry into A New Tax System (ANTS) is one of three Reference Committee Inquiries concerning various aspects of the impacts of the Government's tax reform proposals.

This Committee's terms of reference saw submissions received and evidence taken mainly in relation to employment and education services.

The findings of this Committee are to be drawn on in the final Senate Select Committee's report on A New Tax System which is due to be presented by 19 April 1999.

EMPLOYMENT

Introduction

The Opposition majority report has focussed on several issues relating to the possible effect of a goods and services tax (GST) on employment and job creation in the Australian economy. The Government's employment policies are well known and evidence shows that they are working. The number of unemployed Australians is at its lowest point since December 1990. The unemployment rate is also continuing to decline, reaching 7.4 per cent in both seasonally adjusted and trend terms in February 1999.

Evidence to the Committee has overwhelmingly supported the case that the ANTS package is a substantial job creator. The Opposition Senators have attempted to use the GST inquiry to mount a case that the taxation reform package will be harmful to employment opportunities. Clearly the evidence to the Committee has not supported this view.

The Government's employment policies have been endorsed by the Australian electorate. The Government's Better Pay for Better Work policy, taken to the federal election in October 1998 outlines several initiatives aimed at generating employment in Australia. There is value in noting some of the initiatives that have been consistently opposed by the Opposition and minor parties in the Senate, and outlining the benefits that these initiatives could have for employment creation.

Reform of Unfair Dismissal Laws

The Government has already removed, as promised, the previous Government's job destroying unfair dismissal law and replaced it with a new system based on the concept of `a fair go all round'. It is the Government's assessment, however, that unfair dismissal laws are still holding back job creation and deterring employers from taking on new employees. In the Government's view, the reform of unfair dismissal laws need to go further if unemployed Australians and young people are to get new job opportunities.

If this were to occur, small business estimates that up to 50,000 new jobs would be created, particularly for young people, if small business was exempt from unfair dismissal claims by new employees. Already the Government has twice proposed this initiative to Parliament, but it has been blocked on each occasion by the Opposition and Senate minor parties, which have allowed union ideology to prevail over the interests of small business and unemployed Australians. [1]

Youth Employment

The Government has taken the view that the workplace relations system can contribute positively to the creation of job opportunities for young Australians. In that context, it is also an important part of the Government's policies to combat youth unemployment.

To this end, the Government has sought to amend the Workplace Relations Act 1996 to include provision for junior rates of pay. Junior rates are inherently conducive to youth employment and any perceived inequity occasioned by junior rates is greatly outweighed by the inequities consequent on their removal.

The exclusion of the Government's proposed provisions from the Workplace Relations Act 1996 will severely damage the youth labour market in Australia, and would be likely to result in many young people experiencing protracted unemployment. This could permanently damage their prospect of labour force integration and reduce their career prospects over the longer term. The Government does not want to see this happen. In the Government's view, the legislation of junior rates should be supported on the basis that they represent a positive assistance to youth employment.

The Government has already proposed this initiative to Parliament since the election. However, the Opposition and minor parties in the Senate once again displayed gross hypocrisy on the issue of unemployment by blocking the Government's job-generating youth employment initiative.

A New Tax System

The proposed taxation reforms are a central plank of the Government's program to create an economic environment that is more conducive to job creation. The taxation reform package can work in concert with the Government's proposed changes to unfair dismissal and youth employment arrangements to create genuine jobs for Australia's unemployed.

The publication Tax Reform: Not a New Tax, a New Tax System, taken to the electorate for its endorsement at the election in October 1998, lays the Government's proposals for reforming Australia's taxation system on the table. The ANTS document outlines the benefits that tax reform will have for employment:

The current tax system is failing Australia and it is penalising Australian exports and discouraging investment by distorting business decisions and imposing excessive compliance costs on businesses. These factors are reducing the total gains to Australia from investments, thereby hindering employment growth and restricting gains in living standards. [3]

ANTS is a comprehensive policy approach to taxation reform which brings together:

The ANTS publication outlines the many benefits for Australia that will flow from the new tax system proposal, noting that it will `fix the problems of unfairness, uncompetitiveness and complexity that plague the existing system' and `encourage job-creating investment in our businesses, both large and small'. [4]

Modelling

The Senate Committees have been presented with a large amount of evidence on the employment effects of the ANTS package. This evidence included separate modelling conducted for both the Select Committee and this References Committee by Professor Peter Dixon and Dr Maureen Rimmer of the Centre of Policy Studies at Monash University (the `Monash' model), and modelling for the Select Committee by Mr Chris Murphy of Econtech.

Both the Monash and Econtech models use long term computable general equilibrium models, which assume that employment is held constant in the long run. Therefore they do not forecast long term employment outcomes. In the case of the Monash model, it is set up to follow the transitional path of variables including employment.

In the central case modelled by Professor Dixon, “…employment will be stimulated in the short-run by about 30 000 jobs…” [5]

In research undertaken by the Melbourne Institute, modelling the tax package on the basis of no change in pre-tax real wages showed the number of jobs could increase by 50 000 [6].

Access Economics, in their AEM Model Forecast Report of December 1998 indicate that as a result of the tax package , an additional 190 000 jobs would be created in the long term, consistent with their view of increased GDP as a result of the tax package.

The Monash Model

The Monash model has in the past been used to simulate the effects of changes to barriers to international trade like tariffs and their distorting effects on the pattern of industry activity in Australia. It does not directly model the GST.

For the purpose of modelling tax reform, the shortcomings of Dixon's model were comprehensively outlined to the Senate Select Committee in January.

One concern in particular with Monash is that export elasticities have recently been revised with the effect of greatly increasing the fall-off in export prices when export volumes expand as a result of increased competitiveness through tax reform. It is this questionable increased export responsiveness assumption that drives a lot of the Monash employment results for rural areas (and tourism).

The tourism industry itself predicts the price elasticity of tourism to only be minus 2 in the absolute extremes. Commenting on the Tourism Task Force figure of minus 2 [7], Mr Geoff Carmody of the Tourism Council of Australia stated that “the average elasticity that you should apply to inbound tourism is way less than two”. Carmody went on to say quite categorically that “claims of elasticities of two or three applying to all tourists overstates and gives a misleading impression of the impact of the ANTS package on tourism.” [8]

Professor Dixon was commissioned by this References Committee to present research on the short term impact of the ANTS package on unemployment for the following demographics: national rates; States and Territories; industry; gender and age; youth and; Aboriginal unemployment. For reasons outlined in evidence by Dixon the report instead dealt with the employment short-term effects of ANTS (as opposed to un-employment) [9]. This further report used the same two scenarios used in his 25 January report to the Senate Select Committee.

Dixon's Central scenario, which is widely considered to be the most realistic of the two, assumes that wage bargaining post-implementation of ANTS will be based on after-tax wages. That is, due to income tax cuts across all income groups, workers will have significantly more real disposable income after all GST effects have been taken into account. Knowing this, workers will not seek further wage increases to `compensate' for the introduction of a goods and services tax. The Central case scenario predicted an increase of jobs of 30 000 in the short-term.

An alternative scenario was also modelled by Dixon on assumptions specified by the Senate Select Committee. Dixon did not use this scenario in his original report of December 10 [10]. This assumption that workers will seek wage claims on the basis of the one off increase in price levels associated with ANTS, completely ignoring the increases in real disposable income and bargaining solely on before-tax wages. We find the proposition that workers completely ignore their tax cuts to be preposterous. It also assumes that employers will accept this rationale and will completely acquiesce to these demands, or are completely powerless to do anything about these wage claims anyway.

The Government Senators agree that the Central case of the Monash model is the far more accurate of the two scenarios. Even Dixon, when questioned by Government Senators, refused to defend the wages assumption in his sensitivity.

In the Government's view, there is no case for such increases as the real take home pay of wage earners will significantly rise.

In a continuing low inflation environment and, given the enhanced credibility of monetary policy flowing from the Reserve Bank's independence, the Government considers it will be able to continue a policy framework that will accommodate some or all (depending on the circumstances at the time) of the small one-off increase in consumer prices but not to permit further flow through.

Against this background, and the improved cost structures inherent in the package, the introduction of a GST is unlikely to lead to an increase in inflationary expectations and on-going inflation.

Econtech in its report of 14 February 1999 said

And

Mr Murphy also noted in his evidence and report that the employment effects arising out of economic models was likely to be an underestimate because they could not capture the employment gains that would occur from the alleviation of poverty traps.

International experience with the implementation of a GST in New Zealand, Canada, and Japan showed no wages blowout with the introduction of a GST.

The Democrats (Senator Murray, Select Committee Report) have also discounted the likelihood of a wages blowout. They say that the ACTU's ability to push such an agenda with only 28% of workers would be limited; that the AIRC is obliged to consider impacts on productivity, inflation and employment; and that in any case, with the growth in enterprise bargaining, wage claims follow productivity rather than CPI.

The Department of Employment, Workplace Relations and Small Business (DEWRSB) in their evidence to this Committee, also discounted the wage blowout assumption:

Accordingly, Dixon's model provides only one relevant result, which is that there will be an expected short-term increase of 30,000 jobs. Econtech's Chris Murphy agreed, saying “the Monash estimate of a short-term gain of 30,000 jobs … is in the right ballpark” [16].

Tourism

A very large part of the adverse effects within Dixon's model are due to his calculations on tourism, and these results are highly contingent on the elasticities (price sensitivities) that he used. The Dixon report spends a significant amount of time attempting to model the effects of the ANTS package on the tourism industry. The Government Senators believe that Dixon has significantly overstated the demand elasticity for Tourism and consequently that the employment effects in the tourism industry are also overstated.

Specifically, Dixon has assumed that the foreign elasticity of demand for tourism is minus 3. We believe that the weight of evidence shows that this figure is wrong. Dixon has used other elasticity figures, for instance in his January 25 report, when he used an elasticity for tourism of minus two. This saw considerably improved results for the tourism sector, and the economy more generally, under this assumption.

Mr Geoff Carmody, Tourism Council Australia, also expressed major concerns about the validity of modelling demand elasticity for tourism as a whole, given the great diversity of tourism sectors.

Structural Employment Changes

The ALP report seems to imply that large scale dislocations will occur as a result of the tax reform package. This is a totally unrealistic and misleading conclusion. To the extent that there may be some minor structural employment changes, they will not exceed those which occur naturally in the economy at the moment.

For example, Dixon's work for this Committee states that the employment effects under the central case for East Gippsland will be 36 new jobs. According to the Department of Employment, Workplace Relations and Small Business' Small Area Labour Markets publication, the town of Bairnsdale in East Gippsland there are large variations in unemployment currently. In the June 98 quarter unemployment rose by 105, in September 98 unemployment rose by 79, and in December 98 unemployment fell by 490.

This shows that Dixon's Tax Reform effect of 36 jobs for East Gippsland are negligible compared to ongoing movements in the labour force and regional migration. As Dixon says

We figure that there will be 36 new jobs in East Gippsland. Please read that as a tiny number. I would be thrilled if I was right, that there was fewer than 1,000 either way, or whatever it was. [18]

Food Services and Hospitality Sector

The Committee received a considerable amount of evidence from the food services and hospitality sector on the effect of any move to exempt food from the GST. All sectors of the food industry were categorically opposed to partially exempting food from the GST – for example, the exemption of `basic foods' such as bread, milk, meats, etc only.

The issue of exempting food was widely canvassed in the first report of the Senate Select Committee.

Further, many of the witnesses who made submissions to the Select Committee targeted the issue of exempting food, raising many valid concerns. A general summary of most of the concerns raised was provided by Mr Fergus Ryan, Chairman, Business Coalition for Tax Reform.

McDonalds Australia, in evidence to the Committee called for “a single treatment of all food.” [20] NARGA, the National Association of Retail Grocers of Australia, who represent some 10 000 small to medium businesses mostly from the food category, were absolutely adamant that there should be no exemption for any food at all. Any attempt to do this would, in NARGA's opinion, cause an “administrative nightmare” [21].

NARGA noted, “that the GST in New Zealand is an absolute non-event.” [22] They added a further warning, noting that New Zealand includes food in its GST:

NARGA's principal position is that the additional compliance costs to small business of dealing with exemptions to the GST would be enormous, and that “small business viability, in many businesses, could be threatened if you start removing food.” [24]

The Government Senators strongly reject any move to exempt food, either wholly or partially and agree with NARGA that it would create a massive administrative and compliance burden which will affect small businesses more proportionally than big business.

Under the current Wholesale Sales Tax (WST) regime, NARGA correctly notes that there is a “fundamental design weakness in the wholesale sales tax” because it “allows different taxing points.” [25] This effectively results in small businesses paying significantly more WST than the large chains. The value-added nature of the GST will remove this structural disadvantage that small businesses face. NARGA notes that:

NARGA state that “if we end up with a GST system that exempts food, we could actually be worse off as a sector than we are under the current discriminatory wholesale sales tax regime.” [27] It is worth stating that this will be further exacerbated by exemptions of other goods or services, such as books.

Retail Sector

The Committee heard evidence from the Australian Retailers' Association (ARA) at its Sydney public hearings. The Committee was informed that the industry did not foresee any negative effect on employment levels as a result of the introduction of a GST.

In relation to this issue, the ARA's representative went on to state that:

Printing Industry

The Committee heard evidence from the Printing Industries Association of Australia (PIAA) at its second public hearings in Canberra. The PIAA notes in its submission that it supports `the need for comprehensive and genuine reform of the taxation system' and that it agrees with the Government that `in the interests of economic efficiency the rate [of a GST] should be as uniform and the coverage as wide as possible'. [30] The submission from the PIAA goes on to discuss the benefits of taxation reform:

In the case of the printing industry, the PIAA has commissioned some modelling by Econtech as to the impact of the ANTS package on the industry. The modelling found that the package would increase printing output by 2 per cent, which would translate into increased employment in the industry over the long term.

Small Business

The ANTS package is broadly recognised as being good for small business. The tax changes will result in a far simpler, more efficient tax system for small business and the compliance costs and administrative burden associated with the new system will be drastically reduced. Additionally, the Government has made available a $500 million fund as assistance to small business to compensate for the start up costs associated with the introduction of the ANTS package.

NARGA indicated to the Committee that the association's main concern is about the compliance costs and administrative burden for small business. The view was put to the Committee that the more exemptions that are created, then the higher will be the compliance and administrative costs for small business. As one witness lamented, `there seems to be very little discussion or debate about the consequent compliance costs that would arise from exempting food.' [32]

In response to questioning by the Committee on the possible employment impact of exempting food from the GST, the industry representatives were expressed concern that a large number of small businesses would not survive due to the additional compliance costs and administrative burden that would be created. One witness stated:

The Government senators note the small business community's broad support for the ANTS package in its current form. The Government agrees that the employment consequences for small business of creating unnecessary and complicating exemptions to the GST are very serious, and for this reason the Government would oppose the implementation of such exemptions.

Employment Services

The Committee heard evidence from the Department of Employment, Workplace Relations and Small Business (DEWRSB) at its final public hearings in Canberra. In relation to the impact of the ANTS package on the employment services market, the submission from DEWRSB makes the following comments:

In response to questioning from the Committee on the impact of the GST on charges to employers by employment service providers, DEWRSB made the following comments:

The Committee also questioned the Department on the impact of a GST on the purchase by Job Network providers of different forms of education and training. DEWRSB's submission notes that tuition that is purchased by a Job Network member for a job seeker from a college of technical and further education, university or other recognised institution that leads to a formal qualification will be GST-free. [36] In relation to educational and training services that do not lead to a formal qualification that may be purchased by Job Network members, DEWRSB informed the Committee that providers `will pay GST on that and, of course, will claim that back'. [37]

The Department also made note of the fact that Job Network providers would have access to the $500 million assistance package that the Government will be making available to small business to assist in covering the compliance costs and administrative burden associated with the start up of the GST. [38]

Conclusion

The Government senators are of the view that the ANTS package will be very positive for employment. Improvements in the Australian economy as a result of the implementation of the ANTS package will be reflected in higher economic growth as a result of stronger, more productive investment which, together with the lowering of industry costs, will yield better export outcomes. This combination of higher growth, increased investment and greater competitiveness will deliver more jobs and lower unemployment.

EDUCATION

Enactment of the tax reform Bills would make the provision of tuition in the following courses GST-free:

The recognition of prior learning through assessment or issue of qualifications necessary for access to education or employment would also be GST-free.

Enactment of the Bills would also see:

The GST treatment of education is based largely on the policy the Government took to the last election and the recommendations of the Tax Consultative (Vos) Committee, which was established by the Government after the election to determine the scope of the GST-free areas nominated in ANTS.

A mechanism for defining GST-free courses and institutions

The Vos Committee did not accept the proposal by a number of organisations that some form of `blanket' GST-free status be granted with reference to a class of institution, including the desire by some organisations that such institutions be exempted from having to pay GST up-front on their purchases (or inputs) as is the case under the current Wholesale Sales Tax provisions. To do otherwise would run counter the overall design of the GST, where tax is levied at each point in the supply chain and where those entities who are GST-registered are then able to claim a tax credit for the GST paid on their inputs.

GST-free courses and institutions

In determining the scope of GST-free courses and institutions, the Vos Committee took the approach of using existing legal definitions.

While the Determination forms a useful basis for defining those courses and institutions which should attract GST-free treatment, the Vos Committee identified additional courses and institutions warranting GST-free treatment (the ANTS legislation has been drafted accordingly):

Overseas Students

Education services that are GST free to Australian citizens and residents will be GST-free to overseas students studying in Australia.

Private tuition

The TCC considered the GST status of the services of private tutors, pointing out that:

The Government accepted the TCC recommendation that private tuition be taxed unless the tutor is engaged by a recognised educational institution to provide tuition on behalf of the institution.

Where private tutors, whose services are GST liable, are engaged by an educational institution the institution will pay GST on the tutoring services, but can claim input tax credits from the ATO, and GST should not be included in any tuition charges to students. In practice many private tutors will have few taxable inputs and those with incomes from tutoring below the threshold ($50,000 a year) may choose not to register for GST purposes and, therefore, not charge GST.

Courses in the Adult and Community Education sector that are provided by State/Territory-recognised education organisations and accredited as vocational educational education and training courses or higher education courses will be GST-free.

Other Issues

Recreation, leisure, personal enrichment or “hobby” courses, such as some of the courses offered in the Adult and Community Education sector be subject to GST. Such courses are not included as GST-free under the legislation.

Defining `tuition'

The Government accepted the Vos Committee recommendation that the GST-legislation reflect the notion that `tuition' provided by an educational institution extends to include any activity undertaken by the educational institution which occurs during the delivery of a course and is directly related to the curriculum. This would include goods and services (as listed below) for which no GST would be payable, even if a separate charge is made in respect of these:

The Vos Committee also recommended that materials which are essentially consumed as a part of the activity of undertaking an approved course of study and which are integral to the teaching of that course of study should be GST-free.

The Vos Committee considered a number of other related matters requiring consideration. It recommended that activities associated with the following be GST-free:

Research activity

Some concerns were raised that research activities undertaken within a university may be subject to GST. However, the Prime Minister's letter to the Australian Vice Chancellor's Committee of 24 September 1998 made it clear that such activities will be GST-free.

As the Vos report pointed out, typically such research is simply carried out and there is no `supply' of this research to another agent for a `consideration'. That is, the research is not sold to another party and therefore no GST is payable. DETYA pointed out in their submission that:

The GST will only have a net impact when there is a sale to an unregistered entity, which may include private individuals. Where a transaction occurs between registered entities, then while GST is paid, it will simply be a credit for the entity paying the GST-inclusive amount.

Compliance impact

In response to claims that the education sector could potentially have additional compliance costs should institutions have a significant mix of input-taxed, GST-free and taxable activities, DETYA responded in its submission to the Committee that:

Commonwealth State financial arrangements and education services

Under current arrangements, the allocation of funding for government schools and vocational education and training is undertaken by the States and Territories. After the introduction of the new tax package the States will continue to receive substantial support from the Commonwealth for the provision of education and training. GST revenue will replace Financial Assistance Grants (FAGs) and a range of inefficient State taxes. Because it is estimated that GST revenue will grow at a faster rate than these existing State revenues, there will be more money available to the States and Territories for the delivery of services, including education and training.

The Commonwealth also provides financial assistance to the States and Territories for the specific purpose of assisting public schools to provide a better education for their students. These are primarily the General Recurrent Grants and the Capital Grants to the State governments referred to as Special Purpose Payments (SPPs). The Commonwealth also provides funds to the States and Territories, through the Australian National Training Authority, to contribute to the provision of vocational education and training.

The Government has announced that the Commonwealth will continue to provide SPPs to the States and Territories, and has no intention of cutting aggregate SPPs as part of the tax reform process; that would defeat the objective of the States and Territories being better off under the new arrangements.

CONCLUSIONS

Employment

Overall the Government's tax package will lead to improvements in incentives to employ and be employed.

The modelling evidence and forecasts by other respected economists, overwhelmingly support the Government's view that the tax package will substantially increase employment.

Even the generally pessimistic analysis by Professor Peter Dixon showed that the most likely impact on employment in the short run would be an increase of about 30 000 jobs.

Access Economics in their December 1998 AEM Model Forecast report say:

and

Looking at forecasts of unemployment, Access Economics has the unemployment rate falling by 0.9 of a percentage point in 2000-2001 [42], while Chris Murphy of Econtech has it falling by 0.6 of a percentage point [43].

Education

The education sector does extremely well under the Government's tax reform package, with the sector costs expected to fall by about $240m.

When the tax package was released in August last year it was outlined that virtually all education would be GST-free, with the overall scope to be subject to post-election consultation.

After the election, the Tax Consultative (Vos) Committee was established and charged with the task of making recommendations on the appropriate scope of four key GST-free areas, including education.

The Vos Committee reported on 13 November, commenting that

The Government either accepted the Vos recommendations, or went further, with more generous treatment for professional education for example.

Families will also be better off with the cost of many education related items including computers and stationary, falling following the removal of wholesale sales tax.

The tax package includes major reductions in family income-tax and a compensation package for low income families, and substantial reforms and improvements to the various forms of assistance provided to families through the social security and income tax systems.

The education sector will benefit from a combination of falling costs to the sector, a generous GST-free treatment, and increased real disposable income for families as a result of personal income tax cuts and increased government benefits.

The Government senators recommend that the ANTS package be passed by the Senate without delay.

 

Senator Karen Synon
Deputy Chair



Senator Jeannie Ferris

 

Footnotes

[1] Hon Peter Reith MP, More Jobs, Better Pay: The Federal Coalition's Workplace Relations Policy, September 1998, part D.

[2] Tax Reform: Not a New Tax, a New Tax System (ANTS), Australian Government Publishing Service, Canberra 1998, p. 155.

[3] ibid., p. 7.

[4] ibid., p. 9.

[5] Dixon. P.B, and Rimmer, M.T, The Government's Tax Package: Further Analysis Based on the Monash model, report prepared for the Senate Select Committee on A New Tax System, 25 January 1999, p.ii.

[6] David Johnson and Rosanna Scutella, “Long term effects of the governments tax package”, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, 18 September 1998, p.1-2.

[7] Tourism Task Force submission to the Senate Inquiry into the GST and A New Tax System, p22

[8] Carmody, G. Evidence to Select Committee. Hansard 5 February 1999, p.799

[9] Dixon(1) and Rimmer, "The Government's Tax Package: short-run implications for employment by industry, region, occupation, age and gender", 22 March 1999, Section 6.1, p7.

[10] Dixon(3), P.B. and Rimmer, M.T "The Government's Tax Package: analysis based on the MONASH model", paper presented to the Forum for Modelling Australian Taxation, December 10 1998, Sydney.

[11] Evidence p.897

[12] ECONTECH, Murphy, C, Modelling a New Tax System (ANTS) – Comparing Monash and MM303, report for the Senate Select Committee on a New Tax System, 14 February 1999, p.21.

[13] Evidence p.768

[14] DEWRSB “Effects of the New Tax System on Employment Services, Wages Costs and Employment”. Submission to the Senate Select Committee, February 1999, p.4-5

[15] ibid. p.4

[16] Evidence, p.746

[17] Evidence, p.799

[18] Evidence, p.904

[19] Evidence, p. 608

[20] Evidence, p.25

[21] Evidence, p.278.

[22] ibid.

[23] ibid.

[24] ibid, p282.

[25] ibid.

[26] ibid.

[27] ibid, p280

[28] ibid.

[29] ibid.

[30] Printing Industries Association of Australia, Submission No. 567, p. 2.

[31] ibid. p. 4.

[32] Evidence, p.280.

[33] ibid. p. 286.

[34] Department of Employment, Workplace Relations and Small Business, Submission No. 1338, p. 2.

[35] Evidence, p.874.

[36] Department of Employment, Workplace Relations and Small Business, op. cit., p. 3

[37] Evidence, p.875.

[38] Department of Employment, Workplace Relations and Small Business, op. cit.

[39] The report of the Tax Consultative Committee, p.49

[40] DETYA submission, 15 February 1999, p.4

[41] DETYA submission, 15 February 1999, p.6

[42] Access Economics, AEM Model Forecast Report, 7 December 1998.

[43] ECONTECH, (Murphy Model MM2), Australian Economic Outlook, 13 December 1998.

[44] The Report of the Tax Consultative Committee, p.58