Key issues
- The
ongoing transition from physical to digital forms of money will have substantial
implications for both the economy and wider society.
- The
future of digital currencies is expected to encompass both government and
privately issued initiatives.
- As
with many technological advancements, digital currencies pose significant
regulatory challenges that will need to be addressed in Australia and
globally.
Introduction
Money is an abstract construct that takes form as tokens (usually
called currencies) to fulfill its purpose. The most common forms are gold,
notes and coins (cash), and increasingly digital currencies. The evolution from
physical forms of money towards various digital currencies raises several issues
requiring government consideration, including:
- the
speed at which digital payments replace physical cash, and the transition to a
cashless society
- the
role and place of private digital currencies such as cryptocurrencies and
stablecoins
- the
role of central bank digital currencies as a new form of government-issued
money.
Governments must
also consider the global implications and opportunities of digital currency, particularly
in the context of international trade.
The functions and forms of money
Alongside the imperative of being easily usable, money
must perform 3 core functions to be
considered fit-for-purpose:
- It must be a trusted medium of exchange, where the currency is widely
accepted and can facilitate the exchange of goods and services between buyers
and sellers, and creditors and debtors.
- It must be a stable unit of account where the currency’s value does not
change significantly from day-to-day, week-to-week, month-to-month and
year-to-year. A stable currency does not incorporate a risk of its own; it is risk
neutral.
- It must be a store of value – if the currency is a trusted medium of
exchange and a neutral unit of account, it can be stored or saved for future
use.
The 4 forms of money considered in this article are
commodity (e.g. gold); fiat
(government-designated legal tender); private digital commodity (e.g.
cryptocurrency) and private stablecoins.
From commodity to fiat form
Commodity money
must be considered to have value, and must be easy to use (durable, divisible
and portable). For example, gold is durable, relatively easy to turn into different
sized coins (divisible), and portable in small quantities. As a form, however, commodities
fail as a stable unit of account because the value fluctuates.
Following World War II, the internationally-supported Bretton
Woods monetary system sought to remedy this issue.
Participating governments issued country-specific currencies
redeemable on demand for gold pegged at US$35 per ounce. Concurrently, to
stabilise the monetary system governments introduced a major innovation – a
government decree, or ‘fiat’, making their currencies the only legal tender. In
Australia this is legislated through section 36(1) of the Reserve Bank
Act 1959 for banknotes and section 16 of the Currency Act
1965 for coins (with some exceptions).
Problems arose when the quantity of gold stored in central
banks began to limit the supply of available currency and constrain economic
activity. The early 1970s saw the beginning of the transition
away from gold-backed currencies. Fiat money enabled governments to influence
the supply of money for stability and economic growth. However, as economic
systems grew more complex and globalised, cash became increasingly cumbersome to
use. Simultaneously, the rise of digital systems has stimulated an evolution
towards a digital type of money.
From physical to digital fiat currencies
The present: digitisation of fiat currency
Digital forms of money have enabled payment systems to
become progressively more efficient and easier to use. There are currently 2
systems of payment coexisting in Australia:
- Cash—Payments
between economic actors are conducted anonymously using physical currency. At
regular intervals, cash totals are added up and deposited in banks (retail
money). Because people might use different banks, banks must reconcile cash balances
between themselves. The central bank (Reserve Bank of Australia) assists the
reconciliation process (usually overnight) by for example lending money to
banks with a shortfall.
- Electronic
payments—Payments are conducted using debit or credit cards. The system
first verifies that the card holder has sufficient funds or credit available,
then transfers the relevant amount to the recipient’s bank. The reconciliation
between banks is completed electronically and facilitated by the central bank.
While the functions of fiat currencies are retained with electronic
payments, there are some key differences between electronic and cash payments:
- electronic
payments are more convenient and easier to use for many people
- cash
transactions are anonymous whereas electronic payments are traceable.
The convenience of electronic payments (and the fact that most businesses
don’t
have to accept cash) has led to a significant decline in cash payments (Figure
1). Cheque use has similarly declined and will close
as a payment system on 30 September 2029.
Figure 1 Consumer payment methods by number of payments
Note: ‘Other’ includes payment via BPAY,
cheque, gift/prepaid cards and internet/phone banking.
Source: Tanya Livermore, Jack Mulqueeney, Thuong Nguyen and
Benjamin Watson, The
evolution of consumer payments in Australia: Results from the 2022 consumer payments
survey, Research discussion paper, (Sydney: Reserve Bank of Australia, November
2023), 19.
The future: Central Bank Digital Currencies
Electronic payments rely on complex verification and bank
reconciliation systems. To simplify this process, Australia and other countries are exploring
a new type of electronic fiat currency called Central Bank Digital Currency
(CBDC). While not currently
intended to replace cash or banking accounts, CBDCs could offer significant
benefits through broadly removing the cumbersome necessity for bank-to-bank interactions.
As an example, the Reserve Bank of
Australia (RBA) could issue tokens (e.g. an ‘e-dollar’) to be purchased at $1
dollar per e-dollar. The simple characteristics of a hypothetical e-dollar might
be:
- they are issued by the RBA
- a banking account is not needed – rather, e-dollars are stored in a digital wallet
- they are legal tender and can be used instead of electronic payments
or cash
- they are redeemable into a banking account at a 1:1 rate guaranteed
by the RBA.
A notable application of e-dollars would
be in the international market. Currently, a foreign purchase generally
requires a bank-to-bank transfer. Before the purchase is confirmed, each bank
must verify that the buyer’s domestic bank account has funds to cover the
purchase, and that the seller’s foreign bank can receive the funds from the
domestic bank. Both domestic and foreign banks must agree on an exchange rate, and
the currency transfer must be facilitated through each country’s central bank.
With large numbers of international
transactions occurring, facilitated between many banks in many countries, this
payments system can quickly become overburdened and cumbersome. CBDCs may help
solve this problem by enabling direct trade between people and companies, thus bypassing
interbank complexities.
The emergence of privately issued
digital currencies
A new form of money has recently emerged
in the form of privately issued digital currencies. The key differences between
government and private issue of currency are that private issue is not
enforceable as legal tender, and transactions using private currency are
anonymous, whereas transactions using government issued digital currency are
traceable.
Currently, the 2 main forms of privately
issued digital currency are cryptocurrencies and stablecoins.
Cryptocurrencies
Fundamentally, cryptocurrencies
are secure numbers in a computer system, with Bitcoin
the best-known example.
Cryptocurrencies can be used as a medium of exchange, but
price fluctuations make them an unstable unit of account. Additionally, while similar
in form and function to gold or any other asset (and taxed
accordingly), cryptocurrencies are a risky
store of value.
Cryptocurrencies operate outside of centrally coordinated frameworks
through a distributed
ledger system, supported through blockchain
technology.
Stablecoins
Stablecoins purport to solve the unit of account problem
inherent in cryptocurrencies through their value being tied to some stable
asset or currency. The stable assets may be fiat currencies, treasury bonds, a
share portfolio, or a mixture of these or other assets. Most of the price
fluctuation inherent in cryptocurrencies is thus removed making them a more
stable medium of exchange and unit of account.
Like CBDCs, stablecoins have the potential to bypass the cumbersome
international payments system which may make them useful in international trade.
However, there are also risks associated with their use. Analysis
published by the International Monetary Fund cautions that:
… they also could threaten government
revenues and take
us back to a 19th century world of private money issuers competing for
seigniorage,
which would fragment and destabilize the international financial system.
The future of money
The transition to digital forms of currency raises several
challenges and issues in Australia, and around the world. In particular, governments
and parliaments will need to consider how best to regulate and control:
- the
phasing out of cash
- the
potential disruption that private digital currencies may cause, including through
their use in criminal activities
- the
phasing in of CBDCs
- the
problem of establishing a well-functioning international digital currency.
The phasing out of cash
While digital currencies are likely an inevitable part of
the future, people will need time to adjust to digital forms of money. Some
consumers still prefer
notes and coins, as the physical form provides a sense of trust in money,
and the appearance that money is real.
As recently noted by the RBA
(p. 8) cash is, and is expected to remain, important for many Australians:
Maintaining adequate access to cash
in Australia is important as cash is relied on by a significant number of
Australians to make their everyday payments and participate in the economy.
Cash is also widely held as a store-of-wealth and plays a role as a backup to
electronic payments.
In recognition of the importance of cash, the Treasury recently
closed a stakeholder consultation on mandating cash acceptance
by businesses when selling essential items.
Regulation of privately issued digital currencies
Privately issued digital currencies are playing an
increasing role in the quickly growing group of non-bank
finance providers, which exist outside of government licencing
and regulation arrangements. These institutions often provide loans to
people who would otherwise be unable to access credit. However, the lack of a
central bank guarantee or restrictions on reckless lending also create
significant risks in using these providers for savings or borrowings. These
risks may grow even more pronounced if such institutions gain a significant
market share, with potential to destabilise the broader financial system.
Privately issued digital currencies can also provide
anonymity, a feature linked
to criminal activities such as money laundering and terrorist financing. To
minimise disruption and instability, and criminal activity, the orderly licencing
and regulation of privately issued digital currencies will need to keep
pace with their development.
The case for CBDCs as an option for consumer
payments
CBDCs can be a stable and efficient consumer (retail) payment
system as an alternative to, for example, privately issued stablecoins. They
can also facilitate international consumer payments and enable unbanked
individuals to conduct on-line purchases.
However, the introduction of retail CBDCs would represent a
significant shift in Australia’s monetary system. Accordingly, in September
2024 the RBA and Treasury jointly
published an analysis of CBDC use, covering the potential benefits,
implications for cash access and effect on financial institutions. Notably, in
launching this report the Assistant
Governor Brad Jones stated that:
… the RBA and Treasury are committed
to reassessing the merits of a retail CBDC over time, with a follow up paper to
be published in 2027.
…
As a practical matter, any form of
CBDC would be issued by the RBA. However, the introduction of a retail CBDC for
use among the public would raise important political economy issues and give
rise to significant changes to Australia’s financial arrangements. As such, the
Australian Government would ultimately decide whether to introduce a retail
CBDC. Enabling legislation would very likely be required, consistent with the
international experience. (pp. 13-14)
The problem of international payments
Agreeing on an efficient, easy to use and secure
international currency is a significant global challenge. Currently, the US
dollar is used as a benchmark and practical currency. A possible alternative may
be for a ‘trading bloc’ of countries, such as the BRICS,
to establish and use their own mutually accepted currency for trade between
member states. While unlikely in the immediate term, a privately issued
stablecoin could effectively become a dominant international currency at some
point in the future.
Conclusion
The emergence of digital forms of money, particularly those
issued by private companies, provides significant regulatory and broader
societal challenges. These challenges will likely become more complex as the
use of, and technology behind, private currencies continues to evolve. The
current patchwork of physical cash and public/private digital currencies will
also likely continue to shift, exacerbating the already substantial challenges.
However, this transition arguably also offers multiple opportunities especially
in streamlining payment systems.
Private stablecoins can provide an efficient payment system
for some, but their overall use is still limited compared to digital fiat
currencies, and there is a risk of financial destabilisation if they become more
widely used. CBDCs on the other hand, can provide both an efficient and stable
payment system, will have legal tender status and can be easily transferred
into banking accounts as needed. Yet, while many countries are considering introducing CBDCs, few have done
so. This is likely indicative of the scope and scale of policy required, in
addition to the significant reform ambition needed for such an initiative.
Further reading
- Eswar S. Prasad, The Future of Money: How the digital revolution is
transforming currencies and finance, (Cambridge: Belknap
Press of Harvard University Press, 2021).
- Reserve Bank of Australia and The Treasury, Central Bank Digital Currency and the Future of Digital Money in
Australia, (Sydney: Reserve
Bank of Australia, September 2024).
- International Monetary Fund (IMF), ‘Stablecoins and the future of finance’,
Finance and Development, (September 2025);
IMF, ‘The Money Revolution’, Finance and
Development, (September 2022).