Fiscal projections and sustainability

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound impact on Australia's debt position.

The PBO’s fiscal projections and sustainability work helps to inform the public debate about the drivers of key budget outcomes over the next decade and fiscal sustainability over the next 40 years.

The interactive fiscal sustainability dashboard provides trajectories for gross debt using selected scenarios of key variables. The framework underpinning the dashboard was introduced in the Fiscal sustainability report, which examines the sustainability of the government’s fiscal position over the next 40 years.

The regular Beyond the budget report provides independent projections of key budget outcomes such as debt and the budget balance over the next decade and regular updates to the longer-term fiscal scenarios analysis in the Fiscal sustainability report. The Beyond the budget report was previously known as the Medium-term fiscal projections report.


Fiscal sustainability dashboard

The interactive fiscal sustainability dashboard provides trajectories for gross debt using selected scenarios of key variables – economic growth, interest rates and the budget balance.

MS Excel PBO Fiscal sustainability dashboard (158 KB)

  • Parliamentary Library seminar series address, Webinar, 15 September 2021
    Click here to view the full 'Fiscal sustainability' webinar presented by Stein Helgeby, Parliamentary Budget Officer.
    • For more information:
      Address: PDF icon (256 KB)
      Presentation with all charts: Powerpoint icon (6.05 MB)

2021

 


2013–2020

  • 2017–18 Budget medium-term projections: economic scenario analysis
    PDF icon (897 KB)  MS Word (803 KB)  Data: MS Excel (169 KB)
    Date issued: 07 December 2017

    • Economic impact of selected macroeconomic shocks
      Report prepared for the PBO
      Chris Murphy, 24 November 2017
      PDF icon (737 KB)        
  • Projections of Government spending over the medium term
    PDF icon (1.37 MB)  MS Word (1.51 MB)
    Date issued: 22 August 2014
  • Trends in Australian Government receipts
    1982–83 to 2012–13
    PDF icon (1.22 MB)  MS Word (1.54 MB)  Data: MS Excel (1.45 MB)
    Date issued: 15 April 2014
  • Australian Government spending
    Part 1: Historical trends from 2002–03 to 2012–13
    PDF icon (1.88 MB)  MS Word (1.73 MB)  Data: MS Excel (41 KB)
    Date issued: 10 December 2013

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