Beyond the budget: Fiscal outlook and scenarios

Beyond the budget provides independent projections of key budget outcomes such as debt and the budget balance over the next decade and assesses fiscal sustainability over the next forty years. A longer-term fiscal sustainability assessment has been included from the 2021-22 report. Prior to that, this report was known as the medium-term fiscal projections report.

The economic scenario analysis reports examine the sensitivity of medium-term budget projections to changes in economic parameters. The purpose of these reports is to provide additional detail on the impacts of economic scenarios on the medium-term budget position, including the effects on major revenue and expenditure areas of the budget.


Medium-term budget projections

  • 2017–18 Budget medium-term projections: economic scenario analysis
    PDF icon (897 KB)  MS Word (803 KB)  Data: MS Excel (169 KB)
    Date issued: 07 December 2017

    • Economic impact of selected macroeconomic shocks
      Report prepared for the PBO
      Chris Murphy, 24 November 2017
      PDF icon (737 KB)        

  • Projections of Government spending over the medium term
    PDF icon (1.37 MB)  MS Word (1.51 MB)
    Date issued: 22 August 2014

  • Trends in Australian Government receipts
    1982–83 to 2012–13
    PDF icon (1.22 MB)  MS Word (1.54 MB)  Data: MS Excel (1.45 MB)
    Date issued: 15 April 2014

  • Australian Government spending
    Part 1: Historical trends from 2002–03 to 2012–13
    PDF icon (1.88 MB)  MS Word (1.73 MB)  Data: MS Excel (41 KB)
    Date issued: 10 December 2013