Fiscal projections and sustainability

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound impact on Australia's debt position.

The PBO’s fiscal projections and sustainability work helps to inform the public debate about the drivers of key budget outcomes over the next decade and fiscal sustainability over the next 40 years.

The interactive fiscal sustainability dashboard provides trajectories for gross debt using selected scenarios of key variables. The framework underpinning the dashboard was introduced in the Fiscal sustainability report, which examines the sustainability of the government’s fiscal position over the next 40 years.

The regular Beyond the budget report provides independent projections of key budget outcomes such as debt and the budget balance over the next decade and regular updates to the longer-term fiscal scenarios analysis in the Fiscal sustainability report. The Beyond the budget report was previously known as the Medium-term fiscal projections report.

Fiscal sustainability dashboard

The interactive fiscal sustainability dashboard provides trajectories for gross debt using selected scenarios of key variables – economic growth, interest rates and the budget balance.

MS Excel PBO Fiscal sustainability dashboard 2022-23 (130KB)

PBO Fiscal sustainability dashboard 2021-22 (158 KB)

Parliamentary Library seminar series address, Webinar, 15 September 2021
Click here to view the full 'Fiscal sustainability' webinar presented by Stein Helgeby, Parliamentary Budget Officer.
- For more information:
  Address: (256 KB)
  Presentation with all charts: (6.05 MB)

2022

Beyond the budget 2022-23: Fiscal outlook and scenarios
Date issued: 8 December 2022

2013–2021

Beyond the budget 2021-22: Fiscal outlook and scenarios
Full report: (1.63 MB) (1.51 MB)
Date issued: 21 September 2021
- For more information:
  Snapshot:  (213 KB)
  Supplementary paper:  (1.38 MB)   (1.74 MB)
  Presentation with all charts:  (3.44 MB)
  Data pack:  (521 KB)

Fiscal sustainability
Full report: (994 KB) (1.05 MB) Data: (395 KB)
Date issued: 28 April 2021
- For more information:
  At a glance: (123 KB)

2020–21 Medium-term fiscal projections
(1.35 MB) (1.28 MB) Data: (94 KB)
Date issued: 10 December 2020

2019–20 Medium-term fiscal projections
(2.04 MB) (2.04 MB) Data: (59 KB)
Date issued: 26 September 2019

2018–19 Budget: medium-term projections
(2.38 MB) (1.21 MB) Data: (53 KB)
Date issued: 06 September 2018

2017–18 Budget medium-term projections: economic scenario analysis
(897 KB) (803 KB) Data: (169 KB)
Date issued: 07 December 2017

Economic impact of selected macroeconomic shocks
Report prepared for the PBO
Chris Murphy, 24 November 2017
(737 KB)

2017–18 Budget: medium-term projections
(897 KB) (394 KB) Data: (694 KB)
Date issued: 05 July 2017

2015–16 Budget: medium-term projections
(318 KB) (256 KB) Data: (18 KB)
Date issued: 24 June 2015

Projections of Government spending over the medium term
(1.37 MB) (1.51 MB)
Date issued: 22 August 2014

Trends in Australian Government receipts
1982–83 to 2012–13
(1.22 MB) (1.54 MB) Data: (1.45 MB)
Date issued: 15 April 2014

Australian Government spending
Part 1: Historical trends from 2002–03 to 2012–13
(1.88 MB) (1.73 MB) Data: (41 KB)
Date issued: 10 December 2013

The PBO welcomes your feedback on this publication

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pbo@pbo.gov.au

March 2023

Sun	Mon	Tue	Wed	Thu	Fri	Sat
26	27	28	1 Senate	2 Other	3 Other	4
5 Both	6 Both	7 Both	8 Both	9 House of Representatives	10 Other	11
12	13 Senate	14 Other	15 Senate	16 Other	17 Other	18
19 Both	20 Both	21 Both	22 Both	23 Senate	24	25
26 Both	27 Both	28 Both	29 Both	30 Both	31	1

Senate
House of Representatives
Both
Public Holiday
Other

23 Mar 23: House Committee Public Hearing
23 Mar 23: Joint Committee Public Hearing
23 Mar 23: Senate Committee Public Hearing

Date	Title
19/03/23	20-23 March House sitting
19/03/23	Senate sitting
21/03/23	Inquiry Submission Closing School Refusal
21/03/23	Inquiry Report Tabling School Refusal
21/03/23	Inquiry Report Tabling Housing Package of Bills
21/03/23	Inquiry Submission Closing ATO Collins St Hobart
21/03/23	House Committee Public Hearing
21/03/23	Joint Committee Public Hearing
21/03/23	House Committee Public Hearing
22/03/23	House Committee Public Hearing
22/03/23	Inquiry Report Tabling TLAB CDR 2022
23/03/23	House Committee Public Hearing
23/03/23	Joint Committee Public Hearing
23/03/23	Senate Committee Public Hearing
23/03/23	Inquiry Submission Closing Local governance Norfolk
23/03/23	Senate 2/3 cutoff
26/03/23	Senate sitting
26/03/23	27-30 March House sitting

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