Table 13: House of Representatives: Electoral pendulum

Per cent

Division

Margin

Division

Margin

Division

Margin

Division

Margin

ALP held

ALP held

LP/NP held

LP/NP held

Batman (Vic)

24.91

Rankin (Qld)

5.41

Mallee (Vic)

24.41

Dickson (Qld)

5.13

Gellibrand (Vic)

23.90

McEwen (Vic)

5.32

O'Connor (WA)

23.00

Leichhardt (Qld)

4.55

Wills (Vic)

22.64

Kingsford Smith (NSW)

5.16

Maranoa (Qld)

22.89

McMillan (Vic)

4.41

Scullin (Vic)

22.25

Dobell (NSW)

5.07

Murray (Vic)

20.35

Casey (Vic)

4.18

Gorton (Vic)

22.16

Parramatta (NSW)

4.37

Parkes (NSW)

18.86

Fisher (Qld)

4.13

Lalor (Vic)

22.15

Blair (Qld)

4.24

Groom (Qld)

18.53

Flynn (Qld)

3.58

Grayndler (NSW)

20.63

Eden-Monaro (NSW)

4.24

Bradfield (NSW)

18.18

Sturt (SA)

3.43

Port Adelaide (SA)

20.03

Page (NSW)

4.19

Riverina (NSW)

18.17

Bennelong (NSW)

3.12

Calwell (Vic)

19.72

Lingiari (NT)

3.70

Moncrieff (Qld)

17.49

Macarthur (NSW)

3.02

Sydney (NSW)

17.07

Capricornia (Qld)

3.68

Mitchell (NSW)

17.16

Bonner (Qld)

2.82

Maribyrnong (Vic)

16.86

Brand (WA)

3.33

Berowra (NSW)

16.20

Swan (WA)

2.53

Corio (Vic)

14.22

Lilley (Qld)

3.18

Curtin (WA)

16.19

Dawson (Qld)

2.43

Fraser (ACT)

14.20

Reid (NSW)

2.68

Mackellar (NSW)

15.72

Canning (WA)

2.19

Kingston (SA)

13.91

Petrie (Qld)

2.51

Wide Bay (Qld)

15.61

Herbert (Qld)

2.17

Hotham (Vic)

13.50

Deakin (Vic)

2.41

Wentworth (NSW)

14.86

Longman (Qld)

1.92

Holt (Vic)

13.23

Banks (NSW)

1.45

Farrer (NSW)

14.51

Aston (Vic)

1.76

Cunningham (NSW)

13.17

Moreton (Qld)

1.13

Fadden (Qld)

14.19

Solomon (NT)

1.75

Shortland (NSW)

12.85

Lindsay (NSW)

1.12

North Sydney (NSW)

14.06

Forde (Qld)

1.63

Charlton (NSW)

12.67

Robertson (NSW)

1.00

Durack (WA)

13.67

Macquarie (NSW)

1.26

Newcastle (NSW)

12.49

La Trobe (Vic)

0.91

Warringah (NSW)

13.09

Brisbane (Qld)

1.13

Hunter (NSW)

12.48

Greenway (NSW)

0.88

Barker (SA)

12.88

Dunkley (Vic)

1.02

Chifley (NSW)

12.34

Corangamite (Vic)

0.41

Cook (NSW)

12.66

Boothby (SA)

0.75

Lyons (Tas)

12.29

Tangney (WA)

12.32

Hasluck (WA)

0.57

Blaxland (NSW)

12.23

Gippsland (Vic)

11.45

Makin (SA)

12.20

Moore (WA)

11.19

Throsby (NSW)

12.11

Grey (SA)

11.16

Wakefield (SA)

11.95

Calare (NSW)

10.74

Ballarat (Vic)

11.70

Bowman (Qld)

10.39

Jagajaga (Vic)

11.52

Hinkler (Qld)

10.39

Isaacs (Vic)

11.02

McPherson (Qld)

10.28

IND held

 

Franklin (Tas)

10.82

Wright (Qld)

10.15

New England (NSW)

21.52

Bendigo (Vic)

9.53

Indi (Vic)

9.94

Kennedy (Qld)

18.34

Canberra (ACT)

9.15

Cowper (NSW)

9.27

Lyne (NSW)

12.73

Watson (NSW)

9.14

Flinders (Vic)

9.11

Denison (Tas)

1.21

Fowler (NSW)

8.76

Pearce (WA)

8.86

Griffith (Qld)

8.46

Forrest (WA)

8.74

Bruce (Vic)

8.12

Hume (NSW)

8.72

GRN held

 

McMahon (NSW)

7.81

Menzies (Vic)

8.72

Melbourne (Vic)

6.04

Adelaide (SA)

7.69

Kooyong (Vic)

7.55

Melbourne Ports (Vic)

7.56

Mayo (SA)

7.35

Braddon (Tas)

7.48

Wannon (Vic)

7.29

Richmond (NSW)

6.99

Ryan (Qld)

7.16

Barton (NSW)

6.86

Fairfax (Qld)

6.95

Werriwa (NSW)

6.75

Higgins (Vic)

6.75

Bass (Tas)

6.74

Goldstein (Vic)

6.47

Chisholm (Vic)

6.11

Cowan (WA)

6.29

Perth (WA)

5.88

Stirling (WA)

5.55

Oxley (Qld)

5.77

Paterson (NSW)

5.33

Fremantle (WA)

5.70

Gilmore (NSW)

5.32

Hindmarsh (SA)

5.70

Hughes (NSW)

5.17

Note 1: Pendulum shows two-party preferred swing required for division to change at the next election, except for Independent and Greens held divisions. An Independent or Greens held division is shown as two-candidate preferred swing required.
Note 2: Kennedy, Lyne and New England are notionally LP/NP divisions with two-party preferred margins of 11.94, 12.45 and 16.80 per cent respectively. Denison and Melbourne are notionally ALP divisions with two-party preferred margins of 15.82 and 23.30 per cent respectively.
Note 3: ‘Non-classic’ contests were held in Batman (ALP v GRN), Grayndler (ALP v GRN) and O'Connor (NP v LP) with two-candidate preferred margins (to the first named party in the brackets) of 7.86, 4.23 and 3.56 per cent respectively.

Facebook LinkedIn Twitter Add | Email Print