Commonwealth election 2010

Research Paper no. 2 2011–12

PDF version [4324 PDF]

Stephen Barber
Statistics and Mapping Section
15 August 2011

 

Executive Summary

This paper provides a comprehensive set of statistical tables regarding the 2010 Commonwealth election held on Saturday 21 August.

  • The tables contain: national, state and regional summaries; electoral division details; two-party preferred figures; and party strengths in the respective houses of the Parliament.
  • There are also two appendixes which summarise: the classifications of each electoral division that are used in the paper; and figures for House of Representatives and Senate elections held from 1901.

Contents

Introduction
Table 1: House of Representatives: National summary
Table 2: House of Representatives: State summary
Table 3: House of Representatives: Regional summary
Table 4: House of Representatives: Party status summary
Table 5: House of Representatives: Socio-economic status summary
Table 6a: House of Representatives: Electoral division summary (number)
Table 6b: House of Representatives: Electoral division summary (per cent)
Table 7: House of Representatives: Electoral division detail
Table 8: House of Representatives: Two-party preferred vote: State summary
Table 9: House of Representatives: Two-party preferred vote: Regional summary
Table 10: House of Representatives: Two-party preferred vote: Party status summary
Table 11: House of Representatives: Two-party preferred vote: Socio-economic status summary
Table 12: House of Representatives: Two-party preferred vote: Electoral division summary
Table 13: House of Representatives: Electoral pendulum
Table 14: House of Representatives: Electoral divisions ranked by two-party preferred swing to LP/NP
Table 15: Senate: National summary
Table 16: Senate: State summary
Table 17: Senate: Composition from 1 July 2011
Table 18: Senate: Candidate details - New South Wales
Table 18: Senate: Candidate details - Victoria
Table 18: Senate: Candidate details - Queensland
Table 18: Senate: Candidate details - Western Australia
Table 18: Senate: Candidate details - South Australia
Table 18: Senate: Candidate details - Tasmania
Table 18: Senate: Candidate details - Austratlian Capital Territory and Northern Territory
Table 19: Comparison of House of Representatives and Senate votes by division
Appendix 1: Electoral division classification
Appendix 2a: House of Representatives: Elections 1901–2010
Appendix 2b: Senate: Elections 1901–2010 


 

Introduction

This paper contains the results of the House of Representatives and Senate elections held on 21 August 2010. There are summary tables for both the House of Representatives and the Senate (Tables 1 and 15) together with details for each House of Representatives electoral division (Table 7).

The regional and party status classifications used in the paper are the same as those used by the Australian Electoral Commission.[1] Party status is determined by the two-party preferred vote at the 2007 election adjusted for the effects of the 2008 redistributions in Western Australia and Tasmania and the 2009 redistributions in New South Wales and Queensland.[2]

The ‘safeness’ of an electoral division (see Appendix 1) is determined by the size of the swing required for the division to be lost by the party holding the division. A marginal division requires a swing of less than six per cent, a fairly safe division requires a swing of six per cent to ten per cent and a safe division requires a swing of over ten per cent.

In all tables, first preference votes are expressed as a percentage of formal votes, formal and informal votes are expressed as a percentage of total votes, and total votes are expressed as a percentage of electors enrolled. In the detailed electoral division tables the swing percentages for the candidates will not necessarily sum to zero because of the different range of candidates at the 2010 election compared with the 2007 election.

The Nationals result for O'Connor (WA) has been included under Nationals and Coalition totals throughout this paper even though the Nationals MP, Mr Tony Crook, sits on the crossbenches in the House of Representatives.

The figures used in this paper are from the Australian Electoral Commission’s data which have been provided to the Parliamentary Library by the Commission.

Symbols and abbreviations

AFLP Australian Fishing and Lifestyle Party
AFN Australia First Party
ALP Australian Labor Party
ASP Shooters and Fishers
ASXP Australian Sex Party
BAP Building Australia Party
CA   Carers Alliance
CAL Communist
CDP Christian Democratic Party
CEC  Citizens Electoral Council
CLP Country Liberals (NT)
DEM Australian Democrats
DLP D.L.P. - Democratic Labor Party
FFP Family First Party
GRN The Greens
IND Independent
LDP Liberal Democrats (LDP)
LNP Liberal Party/The Nationals
LNQ Liberal National Party of Queensland
LP Liberal Party
LP/NP LP/LNQ/NP/CLP Coalition
NCP Non-Custodial Parents Party (Equal Parenting)
NP The Nationals
ON One Nation
SAL Socialist Alliance
SEP Socialist Equality Party
SOL Senator On-Line
SPA Secular Party of Australia
TCS The Climate Sceptics
Also (from Appendix 2)
A-S Anti Socialist
CP Country Party
FT Free Trade
NAT Nationalist Party
ON One Nation (Pauline Hanson's One Nation before 2007 election)
PROT Protectionists
UAP United Australia Party
.. nil or rounded to zero
* sitting member for division
^ sitting member standing in another division
# party holding or notionally holding division


[1].      For definitions see http://www.aec.gov.au/Electorates/party-codes.htm, accessed 11 August 2010.

[2]       AEC Fact Sheet, National Seat Status, June 2010, http://aec.gov.au/About_AEC/Publications/Fact_Sheets/index.htm#nss, accessed 11 August 2010.

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