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|
AD |
ALP |
LIB |
NPA |
GR |
HAR |
Total |
|
7 |
29 |
31 |
6 |
2 |
1 |
76 |
The ALP numbers then fell from 29 to 28 on 20 August 1996, when Senator Colston (ALP, Queensland) resigned from the party, and with Government support was elected Deputy President of the Senate. Senator Colston voted with the Government on some of its crucial legislation.
There were a number of legislative disagreements between the Government and the Senate. The Government did not hesitate to draw attention to the possibility of a double dissolution, blowing hot or cold according to the circumstances.(3) A number of 'trigger' bills(4) which had been rejected, or passed with unacceptable amendments were stockpiled to enable the Government to call a double dissolution if it so chose.
For much of this period, a double dissolution appeared a good political risk for the Government, but this changed, largely because of a new party-Pauline Hanson's One Nation Party (PHON). Formed by Pauline Hanson, the disendorsed Liberal candidate for the seat of Oxley, Queensland elected in 1996 as an Independent, the party quickly gained support and in its first electoral test, the Queensland state election of 13 June 1998, won 23 per cent of the vote and 11 seats. This, and ALP gains, resulted in the loss of office by the National/Liberal Party Coalition State Government.
Support for PHON increased throughout Australia, giving it the prospect of winning Senate seats in Queensland and in other States, probably primarily at the expense of the Liberal and National Parties, and, importantly, of holding the balance of power in the Senate. This therefore dramatically increased the potential political risks and costs to all parties of a double dissolution. It resulted in an alternative political solution to the legislative disputes, and the maintenance of the usual electoral arrangements.
Fresh negotiations between Senator Brian Harradine (Independent, Tasmania) and the Government resulted in the passage of the Native Title Amendment Act 1997. Despite having the necessary trigger, the Workplace Relations Amendment Bill 1996, the Government abandoned the double dissolution option. It launched a taxation reform policy combining a goods and services tax (GST) with a range of tax cuts, to be implemented in 2000(5). Thus was brought to a close the long series of political jousts which had given all the indications of ending in Australia's seventh double dissolution.
There was a conjoint general election for the House of Representatives and for half the Senate on 3 October 1998. The half Senate election was the best means of minimising major party losses in the Senate, and preventing the election of PHON candidates(6). The 1998 election resulted in the re-election of the Howard Government, although with a reduced majority. The Government lost seats in the Senate. There was considerable support for PHON, with 8.39 per cent in the House of Representatives and 8.99 per cent in the Senate, but Pauline Hanson was defeated in the House of Representatives division of Blair, and PHON failed to win any House of Representatives seats. In the Senate the only PHON candidate elected was Heather Hill,(7) in Queensland. Four of the five Independents in the House of Representatives were defeated. The native title question had provoked fears of a race-based election and more permanent and damaging divisions, but this did not become an explicit focus of the campaign. The Australian Democrats regained the balance of power from the commencement of the new Senate term on 1 July 1999.
Table 2: Senate Numbers in 1999
|
AD |
ALP |
LIB |
NPA |
CLP |
GR |
HAR |
PHONP |
Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9 |
29 |
31 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
76 |
With minor parties and independents now generally holding the balance of power in the Senate-due in part to a fall in the support for the major parties-political processes have had to be adapted perforce into a less adversarial mode of politics. Governments increasingly have to compromise on policy. Oppositions and minor parties cannot merely obstruct. It could be argued that this situation represents a very significant alteration to Australian political processes. Nevertheless the possibility of legislative deadlocks during the term of the 39th Parliament remains-and seems equally likely for future Parliaments. It is thus worth considering the nature of changes to our political processes, and the importance of section 57 of the Constitution. This paper argues that it cannot be assumed that such changes are permanent, and that section 57 has become irrelevant for all practical purposes.
Voting Statistics and Senate Majorities
The conditions under which a double dissolution may occur are increasingly likely to be replicated, but under present political conditions a double dissolution is less likely to resolve the deadlock.
Since the commencement of the Senate term on 1 July 1981 no government has held a majority in the Senate. The statistics suggest firstly that it has become extremely difficult for either the ALP or the Coalition to win a majority in the Senate, and secondly that this difficulty is increasing. The presence of minor parties has concomitantly made it more difficult for an opposition to hold a majority in the Senate.
Table 3 shows the share of the vote at House of Representatives and Senate elections received by the major parties (i.e. the ALP, the Liberal/National Parties) since 1970. Their share of the votes tended to be higher in the 1970s double dissolutions. The combined percentage of the vote received by the major parties in Senate elections has ranged between 80.2 per cent (1996) and 86.5 per cent (1993), falling to 75 per cent in 1998. The minor party and independent vote has been consistently higher in Senate elections than in elections for the House of Representatives, except for 1998 when PHON drew House of Representatives votes away from the major parties.
Table 3: Votes for Major Parties 1970 to 1998
(%)
|
Party |
1970 |
1972 |
*1974 |
*1975 |
1977 |
1980 |
*1983 |
1984 |
*1987 |
1990 |
1993 |
1996 |
1998 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
House of Representatives |
|||||||||||||
|
ALP |
49.6 |
49.3 |
42.8 |
39.6 |
45.1 |
49.5 |
47.5 |
45.8 |
39.4 |
44.9 |
38.8 |
40.1 |
|
|
LNP |
41.4 |
45.7 |
53.1 |
48.1 |
46.3 |
43.6 |
45.0 |
46.1 |
43.4 |
44.3 |
47.2 |
39.7 |
|
|
Total |
91.0 |
95.0 |
95.9 |
87.7 |
91.4 |
93.1 |
92.5 |
91.9 |
82.8 |
89.2 |
86.0 |
73.8 |
|
|
Senate |
|||||||||||||
|
ALP |
42.2 |
47.3 |
40.9 |
36.8 |
42.3 |
45.5 |
42.2 |
42.8 |
38.4 |
43.5 |
36.2 |
37.3 |
|
|
LNP |
38.2 |
43.9 |
51.7 |
45.6 |
43.5 |
39.9 |
39.5 |
42.0 |
41.9 |
4 3.0 |
44.0 |
37.7 |
|
|
Total |
80.4 |
91.2 |
92.6 |
82.4 |
85.8 |
85.4 |
81.7 |
84.8 |
80.3 |
86.5 |
80.2 |
75.0 |
|
|
D(a) |
3.8 |
3.3 |
5.3 |
5.6 |
7.7 |
10.8 |
7.1 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
5.8 |
-1.2 |
||
Note: 1970-half Senate election only; 1972-House of Representatives election only.
The two important factors shown by these statistics are firstly the decrease in support for the major parties, and secondly that a significant number of electors apparently use a tactical vote. That is, their vote in the Senate differs from that cast for the House of Representatives. There are sufficient voters wanting the Senate not to mirror the composition of the House of Representatives to achieve this result. Proportional representation, of course, facilitates this form of tactical voting.
Political practices have changed in response to the lack of government majorities in the Senate:
It may be argued on the one hand that with the minor parties holding the balance of power, governments are now obliged to negotiate on legislation, and that consequently a less adversarial mode of politics is developing. If this is so, conflict between the two houses, no longer presents insuperable problems. However this more accommodating mode may be only temporary, and in any event operates essentially on a case-by-case basis. It represents compromise rather than consensus-practical politics, in fact. There can be no guarantee that such willingness to compromise will continue. Much depends on the nature of the minor parties holding the balance of power. Compromises and policy changes may result in increased alienation of party support. Such factors and the inherent volatility of politics might again bring about serious legislative and political conflict. Then the unresolved problems so clearly exemplified by the 1975 Constitutional Crisis might once again matter a great deal.
The debate on the implementation of government policy and the relationship between the two Houses concerns not only the practical politics involved but also the normative issues of democratic processes. The mandate-the right and duty to implement policy both as promised at elections and as circumstances require-often claimed by government, and the proper roles of each House of Parliament, come into consideration here.
As Dr John Uhr notes, there are separate and possibly conflicting mandates for each House. He instances the 1996 election as typical in that electors voted for the full House of Representatives but for only half the Senate:
This is the historical pattern of Australian electoral choice, reflecting the Constitution's design for overlapping rather than aligned representation between the House and the Senate. Much as the framers predicted, governments become frustrated with this institutional impediment to their will, and thus it comes as no surprise that simultaneous or so-called double dissolutions for the whole Senate as well as the whole House have taken place on six occasions, when justified by the constitutional provisions regulating the resolution of disagreement between the two houses.(9)
He notes that the Australian system:
With its characteristic split or halving of Senate voting, combined with proportional representation, makes it difficult for any incoming government to claim a 'mandate' for representing 'the nation'.(10)
The term 'mandate' has been frequently used in Australian politics,(11) and its meaning has varied. While 'mandate' has been used by governments to assert not only their right but also their obligation to implement their policies, the concept has also been adopted by non-government parties to delineate clearly their role in the Parliament. An activist Senate with its own mandate is seen as congruent with the strong bicameralism of the Australian federal system. The minor parties claim a separate mandate from the voters to use their power in the Senate to review and moderate government policies.
Uhr argues that this is what successive Senates have done since federation. After reviewing the Howard Government's strategies to have its legislation passed in the Senate, he comments:
These 1996 mandate wars reveal the contentious character of political representation. Opinions differ on the merits of mandates, depending on the value one is prepared to give to the claims of representation raised by those non-government parties who defend their right to use their share of parliamentary power to amend government policy. The conventional wisdom is that responsible party government confers a mandate to govern on the majority party in the House of Representatives, although there is a clear trend to concede that the Senate is evolving its own modifications of the conventional doctrine.(12)
The meaning of the mandate claimed by the minor parties, and indeed by the Opposition, is very similar or equivalent to the duties of the elected representative. In defence of the concept of the government's mandate, and to put into perspective some criticisms of the House of Representatives, two fundamental features of the political system should be kept in mind. These are that government is one of the primary roles of the House of Representatives, and that at elections the people not only individually elect their own representatives but collectively they elect a government. It is a legitimate political expectation that there be effective government. A bicameral parliamentary system cannot necessarily be categorised simplistically as a contest between heroes and villains.
Section 57 and Australian Political Processes
In discussing the application of the provisions of section 57, Odgers' Australian Senate practice makes the following judgment:
Section 57 of the Constitution was intended to provide a mechanism for resolving deadlocks between the two Houses in relation to important legislation. By judicial interpretation, and by the misuse of the section by prime ministers over the years, it now appears that simultaneous dissolutions can be sought in respect of any number of bills; that there is no time limit on the seeking of simultaneous dissolutions after a bill had failed to pass for the second time; that a ministry can build up a 'storehouse' of bills for simultaneous dissolutions; that the ministry which requests simultaneous dissolutions does not have to be the same ministry whose legislative measures have been rejected or delayed by the Senate; that virtually any action by the Senate other than passage of a measure may be interpreted as a failure to pass the measure, at least for the purposes of the dissolutions; and that the ministry does not need to have any intention to proceed with the measures which are the subject of the supposed deadlock after the election. By putting up a bill which is certain of rejection by the Senate on two occasions, a ministry, early in its life, can thus give itself the option of simultaneous dissolutions as an alternative to an early election for the House of Representatives. This gives a government a de facto power of dissolution over the Senate which it was never intended to have, and greatly increases the possibility of executive domination of the Senate as well as of the House of Representatives.(13)
It goes on to argue for reform of section 57 so as to restrict the power of the ministry to use section 57 for political convenience:
... a limitation should be placed on the number of measures which may be the subject of a request for dissolutions, time limits should be placed upon such dissolutions in relation to the rejection of the measures in question, and a prime minister should be required to certify that the measures in question are essential for the ministry to carry on and that it is the intention of the ministry to proceed with the measures should it remain in office, and the Governor-General should be required to be satisfied independently on those matters.(14)
However such comments reflect the institutional viewpoint of the Senate. The powers of the Senate remain what they have been since Federation. While there is no government majority in the Senate, the Senate is generally safe from Executive domination. Nor is there any reason why the use of section 57 should be confined to one rejected bill, if in fact the Senate rejects more than one. The High Court held that section 57 operates distributively. The late Geoffrey Sawer, a leading academic lawyer and commentator on the Constitution, discussed the use of section 57 for political convenience in his analysis of the 1914 dissolution. On the assumption that section 57 should only operate in a situation occurring naturally from the Senate's treatment of government measures, he wrote:
It is doubtful whether any such doctrine can be read into section 57 ... The difference between 'provoking' a dissolution and just letting it happen is in any event too dependent on political evaluations to form a satisfactory basis for a judicial doctrine.(15)
Similarly, successive government criticisms of the Senate's use of its constitutional powers reflect the practical perspective of ministers intent on policy implementation, as much as the constitutional theories and niceties. The rhetoric used by both the House and the Senate about the right of the Senate to reject or amend government legislation is largely aimed at winning the hearts and minds of the people, as well as influencing the votes of individual Senators.
The crucial issues are the health of the political system and the effective working of parliamentary democracy. House of Representatives practice comments:
The rejection of bills other than appropriation and supply would seem to present no insuperable hurdle to constitutional democratic government. Certainly it may hinder a Government's legislative program but if such hindrance is considered as serious this will be reflected in public opinion which will, in turn, eventually influence Senate action on the legislation. This process may take some time to work out: meanwhile the Government has the task of convincing the people of the correctness of its policies.(16)
Obviously, resort to an election to resolve a deadlock allows the people to decide the issue-providing an immediate democratic solution rather than a protracted struggle which may weaken the political system. There is no guarantee that the election will break the deadlock. The resort to an election may be something of a blunt instrument, as the decision of the voter is likely to be more broadly based on an overall assessment of the government rather than on the specific bill(s) in question. It is a not a model which has been adopted by other democracies, but this is not necessarily a criticism, but rather a reflection of the differences in various constitutional structures.
Dispute resolution procedures in other democracies include(17):
Whatever their merits, none of these procedures could be adopted in Australia without a successful constitutional referendum.
Implications of the 1975 Constitutional Crisis: Section 57 and Supply
The dismissal of the Whitlam Government in 1975 placed a tremendous strain on the Australian political system. It provoked outrage on the one side and applause on the other, and exacerbated political divisions in Australia. It showed that the Constitution did not cover such a deadlock. In 1975, the existence of section 57 triggers enabled both Houses to be dissolved simultaneously. However, it could happen that a Senate might again reject or fail to pass the Budget, but, deliberately or otherwise, not have created section 57 triggers. In this case the Senate would not itself need to face the people. Both in 1974 and 1975, the disputes over the supply bills were not exclusively over policy, but rather to force an election.(18) Clearly, the provisions of section 57 do not address the problems in the refusal of supply, especially in so far as the provisions requiring a three-month interval between rejection or failure to pass.
Constitutional lawyer Professor Cheryl Saunders succinctly comments:
It takes a long time to resolve disagreements between the Houses through a double dissolution and joint sitting. The minimum period is at least six months. In most cases it takes much longer. This means that section 57 is no use at all for dealing with deadlocks over bills which authorise governments to spend money for 'ordinary annual services' (that is, to keep the government running).
There is nothing in the Constitution to deal with deadlocks like this.(19)
It is not feasible for a government to have supply defeated twice: a single occurrence is decisive.
It is still possible for a Senate to block or fail to pass a budget, without itself having to go to an election. It is entirely possible that once the memory of 1975 fades, the political constraints which apply now might disappear. The Australian Democrats might abandon their commitment not to block appropriation legislation, or no longer have the numbers to make a difference. The Opposition might again have the combination of the numbers in the Senate and the probability of winning a forced election. Another constitutional crisis could occur. It cannot be predicted how extensive another crisis might be or how it would be resolved. As Saunders comments:
It is possible, of course, that the Senate could reject key money Bills in circumstances where there are no trigger bills available. If that were to happen, there would be no constitutional way of resolving the deadlock at all. Great strain would be placed on our institutions, including the position of Governor-General, and on our ability to follow the procedures of constitutional government.(20)
Successive governments have failed to resolve these problems. There have been no successful constitutional referenda proposals since 1977. Three of the four proposals were carried,(21) but only one of these, amending section 15 of the Constitution, was related to the constitutional crisis.(22) The reasons for failure lie firstly in continued disagreement about how the Constitution should be amended. Most proposed changes have lacked bipartisan support, not surprisingly, given the sharp divisions over the rights and wrongs of the crisis. Secondly, there has not been sufficient voter support for any of the reforms proposed to date. The proposed 1983 referenda, which included a fixed term proposal for the House of Representatives, were cancelled by the Government, and in 1984 a referendum to change Senate terms to the same as those of the House of Representatives was defeated. Another proposal, for a fixed four-year term of both Houses of Parliament, was one of the four unsuccessful referenda held in 1988. Despite the intensive and sustained debate and constitutional reviews conducted by the successive Constitutional Conventions and the Constitutional Commission, the Constitution remains unchanged(23).
In the meantime there seems to be a belief that former conventions apply and the Senate would not again block supply.(24) A combination of the right opportunity and the existence of the 1975 precedent might easily disprove this assumption.
A second wave of constitutional discussion arose from the issue of whether Australia should become a republic. This culminated in the unsuccessful referendum of 6 November 1999. The proposed substitution of a president for the appointed vice-regal Governor-General, whether directly or indirectly elected, led to some discussion about how extensive a change there should be. At issue were the authority and powers of a president, the possible development of a rival source of political power, and the need for codification of the reserve powers.
The minimalist proposal put to referendum avoided the issue of codification. However the defeat of the referendum means that should another republican referendum go to the vote, then the issue of direct or indirect election would need to be decided first, followed by the issue of the powers. Interestingly in this context, the political newsletter Inside Canberra raising the possibility of the Senate losing the power to force an election, quoted the Clerk of the Senate, Harry Evans, as accepting a simple and general codification of powers of an elected President:
In effect it would stop the Senate from holding up an Appropriation bill or rejecting an Appropriation bill for the purpose of trying to bring about an early Representatives election, but again I don't see any problem with that. It is not an explicit constitutional power you would be taking away and I don't see any problem with it.(25)
Numerous reform options have been proposed, discussed, and sometimes even put to the vote.(26) One option is to remove the power of the Senate to block supply, but otherwise to retain the powers of the Senate to reject or amend other bills, so that the existing provisions of section 57 would apply only to these bills. Another is to leave the power unchanged, but placing practical limits on its exercise, such as fixed terms and simultaneous elections for both Houses, allowing an earlier dissolution under specified conditions in the last year of the term, such as those contained in the Victorian or South Australian constitutions. The narrow category of bills specified in the Victorian Constitution in effect means it is impossible to force such an election.(27) The conditions for early dissolution could include the circumstances of the government losing a vote of confidence in the House of Representatives, or the defeat of a bill of a designated category. A further solution is to amend section 57 to provide for a simultaneous dissolution in the case of rejection of supply without the time constraints presently required. It is arguable that if both Houses automatically face the electorate in cases of otherwise unresolvable political or legislative conflict, there is no necessity to change the powers of the Senate. As noted above, such solutions have been unsuccessfully proposed. The past experience of referendum proposals does not offer much prospect of constitutional change, but the case for reform remains compelling.
The Menzies Government had attempted early in its first term to avoid the possibility of evenly divided Senate numbers by introducing the Constitution Alteration (Avoidance of Double Dissolution Deadlocks) Bill 1950. This aimed at ensuring that as far as possible elections would produce a majority in the Senate. Mr Menzies, in his Second Reading Speech, argued that the need arose because of the introduction of proportional representation. This, combined with the increase in Senate numbers to ten from each state, meant that:
It is highly probable that any double dissolution under this system would result not in the clearing of the air but in a further stalemate.(28)
The bill had two features. Firstly, it provided that voters would determine which Senators would have a six-year term (long term) and which Senators should have the three-year term (short-term). To do this it was necessary to amend section 13 of the Constitution, which confers on the Senate the power to determine how long and short term senators were to be determined. Therefore, at a double dissolution, instead of 10 Senators from each state being elected, resulting in an even division between the parties of 5-5, there would be two ballots, each for five seats, with an inevitable result of 3-2. Two concurrent votes would be exercised. At half Senate elections there would be an uneven number of positions to be filled. The second component of the bill was a clause to amend section 7 of the Constitution, by inserting a new section 7A to require that:
The number of senators for a State (whether an original State or a new State) shall be a number which is divisible by two without remainder but is not divisible by four without remainder.
Thus the number of Senators for each state could be 10, but not 12. The bill was referred to a Senate Committee, which reported against the proposals,(29) and the bill lapsed at the 1951 double dissolution. It may be doubted whether the Menzies Government had any serious expectation of the bill passing. Such a proposal today would be complicated by the existence of Territorial Senators.
On 27 May 1967 the Holt Government held a referendum proposing to break the nexus between the size of the Senate and the House of Representatives. This proposal had the support of both Government and Opposition, but was nonetheless defeated, mainly because of the opposition of dissident Liberals and Democratic Labor Party (DLP) Senators. They argued that breaking the nexus would weaken the power and authority of the Senate. If carried, this would have amended that part of section 24 of the Constitution which requires the House of Representatives to be, as nearly as practicable, twice the size of the Senate. Thus the House of Representatives could have been enlarged without a concomitant increase in Senate numbers, and the quota for election to the Senate would have remained fairly high. (See Endnote 6.)
Since the election of the Howard Government there has been increased attention paid to other means of avoiding deadlocks between the two Houses. Suggestions include decreasing the size of Parliament, so as to increase the quota for election to the Senate, introducing a formal threshold of a specified percentage of the quota, or even changing the proportional representation system. The general objective is to minimise the possibility of minor parties or independents holding the balance of power. However if the support for the major parties continues to decline, neither a smaller Parliament nor an electoral threshold would produce a Senate majority for either of the major parties.(30)
A possible means of reducing the possibility of a deadlocked Senate would be to divide each state into two notional districts, each electing three Senators in a half Senate election or six at a double dissolution. This would achieve a larger quota for election of 25 per cent in a half Senate election, and of 16.7 per cent in a double dissolution. Under such a system it would be essential to ensure scrupulous fairness, and, equally importantly, to prevent either the rigging of boundaries for electoral advantage, or a potentially divisive criteria for boundaries such as an urban/rural geographic division. By dividing the electoral rolls for the states into two notional districts-easily done by computer-each voter would be enrolled in one of the two districts. The electoral rolls would annotate each voter as being so enrolled in District A or District B. Such a scheme would maintain the Senate as a States house, and avoid the possibility of any Senator representing only a part of a State. No amendment of the Constitution would be needed: the system could be introduced by amending the Commonwealth Electoral Act 1918. The Senate would continue to determine the order of election of Senators, and the present voting system need not be altered. Voters could still exercise tactical voting.
Table 5 uses the results of the 1996 and 1998 half Senate elections to show the effect of this system on the composition of the Senate. These figures show it would be possible to achieve a majority in the Senate, but a party would have to obtain good results in two successive elections. Minor parties would have a chance of winning the third seat in each 'district'. To maximise the chance of election, minor parties or independents might adopt the strategy of agreeing to contest different districts, so as not to split the vote. In 1996 the Coalition would have won 22 seats, the ALP 16 and AD 2, and in 1998 the ALP would have won 22, the Coalition 16 and the AD 2. After adjusting the totals (so as not to count the Territory Senators twice), the composition of the Senate would have been 36 ALP, 36 Coalition and 4 AD. The AD would still have held the balance of power in the Senate commencing 1 July 1999.
The significant disadvantages would be the substantial reduction in the proportionality of the Senate election result, and that it would be difficult (but nor impossible) for a minor party or independent candidate to be elected. Calculations on the effect of this idea have been made on voting patterns in the last two elections, and it is, of course, quite possible that changes in the electoral system might lead voters to alter their present voting habits.
Table 4: Hypothetical Senate Election Results
|
Half Senate Election (1998 Results) |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ALP |
L/NP |
AD |
HAN |
HAR |
GRN |
||
|
NSW |
2 |
1 |
|||||
|
Vic |
2 |
1 |
|||||
|
Qld |
1 |
1 |
1 |
||||
|
SA |
1 |
2 |
|||||
|
WA |
2 |
1 |
|||||
|
Tas |
2 |
1 |
|||||
|
Total |
10 |
7 |
1 |
||||
|
Senate |
|||||||
|
A'List |
10 |
7 |
1 |
||||
|
B'List |
10 |
7 |
1 |
||||
|
Territories |
2 |
2 |
|||||
|
Total |
22 |
16 |
2 |
||||
|
Half Senate Election (1996 Results) |
|||||||
|
NSW |
1 |
2 |
|||||
|
Vic |
1 |
2 |
|||||
|
Qld |
1 |
2 |
|||||
|
SA |
1 |
1 |
1 |
||||
|
WA |
1 |
2 |
|||||
|
Tas |
2 |
1 |
|||||
|
Total |
7 |
10 |
1 |
||||
|
Senate |
|||||||
|
A'List |
7 |
10 |
1 |
||||
|
B'List |
7 |
10 |
1 |
||||
|
Territories |
2 |
2 |
|||||
|
Total |
16 |
22 |
2 |
||||
|
Double Dissolution (1998 Results) |
|||||||
|
NSW |
3 |
2 |
1 |
||||
|
Vic |
3 |
3 |
|||||
|
Qld |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
|||
|
SA |
2 |
3 |
1 |
||||
|
WA |
2 |
3 |
1 |
||||
|
Tas |
3(2) |
2(3) |
1(0) |
0(1) |
|||
|
Total |
15 |
15 |
4 |
1 |
1 |
||
|
Senate |
|||||||
|
A'List |
15 |
15 |
4 |
1 |
1 |
||
|
B'List |
14 |
16 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
|
|
Territories |
2 |
2 |
|||||
|
Total |
32 |
32 |
8 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
|
Note: For Double Dissolution election results same for 'A' and 'B' lists except for Tasmania where prominent candidates (Senator Brown and Harradine) would win a place on alternative lists.
In considering the present relevance and importance of section 57, at least two issues are at stake. The first is that of the blocking of supply bills. Here it is argued that although the issue has not recurred since 1975, the possibility remains. Section 57 is not adequate to deal with the issue of supply legislation, and any such crisis might once again place dangerous strains on the political system. Notwithstanding the practical difficulties firstly of formulating a constitutional solution which has bipartisan support, and secondly of its being approved at referendum, the case for change remains strong.
The second issue is that of general legislative disputes. Section 57 has generally operated satisfactorily, but because of the continued lack of government majorities in the Senate and the presence of small parties holding the balance of power, political processes have had to be adapted to accommodate this level and type of conflict. Section 57 under present conditions is much less likely to resolve a legislative deadlock one way or the other. It appears that support for an activist (rather than obstructive) Senate has grown and that the proportional representation voting system is popular. The increasing numbers of electors who vote one way for the House and another way for the Senate indicate a desire for some degree of restraint on government. It may be some consolation to voters whose party was defeated if the Senate prevents the government from doing exactly as it likes. Conversely, those who did vote for the government of the day may accept some limits on it as a quid pro quo for restraining the government when their party is in opposition. Minor parties and independents may relish being able to impose restraints in a relatively impartial way. It is also possible to interpret the defeat of referenda not merely to voter inertia or resistance to change, but perhaps also to some degree of satisfaction with the existing constitutional structure. Though messy in theory, perhaps the system works well enough in practice.
The lack of a Senate majority has meant that governments have had to negotiate with other parties and independent Senators over passage of their legislation and budgets. When negotiations fail, the options are that either the Government must accept the situations, or pursue the provisions of section 57, with the attendant risks to all parties. The ALP Hawke and Keating Governments were obliged to negotiate with the Australian Democrats and the Greens, and had to agree to many amendments to legislation, as well as to procedural changes which reduced government control and influence in the Senate and its committees.
Australian political processes throughout the eighties and nineties have run on fairly clearly defined tracks. Even after the Australian Democrats won enough Senate seats to make a difference, they behaved in 'normal' political ways, as did the Greens and Independents. However the emergence of PHON, with its tapping of disenchantment with the major parties and political processes, may signal a sea change. Whether PHON adapts to ordinary political processes remains to be seen: the party has so far distanced itself, emphasising that it is not a part of the political mainstream, and protesting against economic rationalist policies. Moreover, PHON has been riven by splits, and now seems less likely to cause substantial political uncertainty and instability. But even if the party itself is losing support, there is evidence of sufficient continuing disaffection, particularly among rural voters, to make politicians tread carefully and to minimise opportunities for voter backlash.
The uncertainty thus generated may be sufficiently strong to restrain political brinkmanship, and to ensure that electoral opportunities are minimised by the higher quota at half Senate elections. The necessity of negotiating with the Opposition or minor parties and independents may in time lead to a more consensual approach to policy formulation and the content of legislation. At the same time, it would nonetheless appear to be sound political practice to pursue a prudent path, and to reserve the double dissolution option for those circumstances more truly requiring the decision of the voters.
Even if negotiation and conciliation were to become more the norm, disagreements and deadlocks would still be quite likely. Inevitably there will be issues not susceptible to watering down or compromise. In such cases resort to the provisions of section 57 is quite appropriate. The Constitution provides that there is a cost to the full exercise of Senate powers. If these costs are too high, the Senate may choose to compromise, but if it does choose to insist on failing to pass, amending or rejecting legislation, it ought itself to be equally willing to be dissolved and to face the electorate. To insist on its power of rejection but to claim exemption from the verdict of the people goes counter to the principles and practices of accountability and democracy. Such acceptance of the costs and benefits of section 57 could facilitate development of a political culture whereby the political legitimacy of both houses might be enhanced. Disputes can be resolved either by negotiation, or by one house giving way to the other. When neither occurs the people should decide.
Quotas required for Senate election
|
Quota |
1949-83 |
Seats |
Since 1984 |
Seats |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Half Senate |
16.67 |
5 |
14.29 |
6 |
||||
|
Double dissolution |
9.10 |
10 |
7.69 |
12 |
||||