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|
Census Year |
Major Urban Number |
% |
Non-Metropolitan Number |
% |
Other Urban Number |
% |
Rural Number |
% |
Australia Number |
% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Number |
||||||||||
|
1976 |
8 654 328 |
63.9 |
4 900 703 |
36.1 |
2 997 043 |
22.1 |
1 888 602 |
13.9 |
13 555 031 |
100.0 |
|
1981 |
9 202 318 |
63.2 |
5 364 012 |
36.8 |
3 287 438 |
22.6 |
2 063 600 |
14.2 |
14 566 330 |
100.0 |
|
1986 |
9 817 933 |
62.9 |
5 784 223 |
37.1 |
3 517 360 |
22.5 |
2 266 863 |
14.5 |
15 602 156 |
100.0 |
|
1991 |
10 461 964 |
62.1 |
6 338 576 |
37.9 |
3 877 950 |
23.0 |
2 510 626 |
14.9 |
16 850 540 |
100.0 |
|
1996 |
11 221 393 |
62.7 |
6 671 030 |
37.3 |
4 161 498 |
23.3 |
2 509 532 |
14.0 |
17 892 423 |
100.0 |
|
Per cent |
||||||||||
|
1976-81 |
6.3 |
9.5 |
9.7 |
9.3 |
7.5 |
|||||
|
1981-86 |
6.7 |
7.8 |
6.4 |
9.8 |
7.1 |
|||||
|
1986-91 |
6.6 |
10.4 |
10.3 |
10.8 |
8.0 |
|||||
|
1991-96 |
6.2 |
4.4 |
7.3 |
-0.04 |
6.2 |
|||||
Note: Based on the section of state as defined in the report of the 1981 census. Non-major urban includes migratory population.
Source: ABS 1976, 1981, 1986, 1991 and 1996 Censuses
The figures in Table 1 give a false impression of a steady state situation. In fact these national totals mask a great deal of variation between areas with respect to population growth. This is evident in Figure 5 which shows population change at Statistical Local Area (SLA) level in non-metropolitan Australia between 1991 and 1996. Clearly the turnaround in Australia is a strongly spatially concentrated phenomenon (Hugo 1996). Population growth in non-metropolitan areas is concentrated in particular ecological areas such as:
Figure 5: Non-Metropolitan SLAs, Population Change 1991-1996
Source: ABS 1991 and 1996 Censuses
On the other hand, the bulk of dry farming areas and much of the pastoral zone continue to experience significant population losses.
There have also been some changes in the distribution of population between Australia's states and territories. Table 2 shows that over the 1976-96 period the proportion of Australian's living in the southeastern states (NSW, Victoria, South Australia and Tasmania) has decreased from 74.5 per cent to 69.5 per cent. On the other hand, Queensland has increased its share of the national population from 14.9 to 18.2 per cent and Western Australia from 8.4 to 9.6 per cent. The territories have experienced a smaller increase in their share of the national population. Hence there has been a northward, and to a lesser extent, western shift in the centre of gravity of the Australian population distribution. Nevertheless, it remains a very spatially concentrated distribution.
Table 2: Australia: Population of States and Territories, 1976-1996
|
State and Territory |
1976 |
1981 |
1986 |
1991 |
1996 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
'000 |
|||||
|
NSW |
4960.8 |
5234.9 |
5531.5 |
5898.7 |
6204.7 |
|
Vic. |
3811.4 |
3946.9 |
4160.9 |
4420.4 |
4560.2 |
|
Qld |
2091.7 |
2245.2 |
2624.6 |
2961.0 |
3338.7 |
|
SA |
1274.6 |
1318.8 |
1382.6 |
1446.6 |
1474.3 |
|
WA |
1178.9 |
1300.1 |
1459.0 |
1636.1 |
1765.3 |
|
Tas. |
412.4 |
427.2 |
446.5 |
466.8 |
474.4 |
|
NT |
98.3 |
122.6 |
154.4 |
165.5 |
181.8 |
|
ACT |
207.4 |
227.6 |
258.9 |
289.3 |
308.3 |
|
Aust. |
14 035.7 |
14 923.3 |
16 018.4 |
17 284.0 |
18 310.7 |
|
Per cent |
|||||
|
NSW |
35.3 |
35.1 |
34.5 |
34.1 |
33.9 |
|
Vic. |
27.2 |
26.4 |
26.0 |
25.6 |
24.9 |
|
Qld |
14.9 |
15.7 |
16.4 |
17.1 |
18.2 |
|
SA |
9.1 |
8.8 |
8.6 |
8.4 |
8.1 |
|
WA |
8.4 |
8.7 |
9.1 |
9.5 |
9.6 |
|
Tas. |
2.9 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
2.7 |
2.6 |
|
NT |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
|
ACT |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
|
Aust. |
100.0 |
100.0 |
100.0 |
100.0 |
100.0 |
Source: ABS 1998
Geographical Distribution of Immigrants
Distribution Between the States and Territories
Figures 6 and 7 depict the national distribution of the Australia-born and overseas-born populations at the time of the 1996 census and some clear differences are immediately apparent. The immigrant population is clearly a more concentrated one. Table 3 shows that Western Australia has the greatest concentration of migrants in relation to its total population with 27.8 per cent of residents being born overseas compared with 22 per cent in the nation as a whole.
The other part of the nation in which there is a disproportionate representation was the southeastern quadrant of the mainland comprising NSW, Victoria and the ACT. For almost the entire post-war period, South Australia has had more than its share of immigrants but at the 1996 Census its proportion had fallen slightly below the national average. Tasmania is the State least affected by immigrant settlement and the Northern Territory also has a below average presence of migrants. Most striking, however, is Queensland which, despite being far and away the most rapidly growing State over the last two decades, has a significant 'under' representation of overseas-born people, indicating clearly that the bulk of that State's rapid growth has been fuelled by interstate, rather than international net migration gains. Certainly the share of the overseas-born population in Queensland has increased from 15 per cent in 1986 to 17.4 per cent in 1991 but fell to 16.8 per cent in 1996 but even much of this gain has been due to internal migration of overseas-born people who had lived for extended periods in other States (Bell 1992).
On the other hand, NSW and Victoria have been growing at well below the national average but they have continued to receive a disproportionate share of immigrants coming to Australia. This is due partly to Melbourne and Sydney being important ports of arrival of immigrants and also to many of the immigrants being chain migrants attracted by, and joining, settlers from their country of origin who moved into Victoria and New South Wales in earlier post-Second World War years. In South Australia, substantial industrial development in the 1950s and 1960s attracted a disproportionate share of immigrants but economic restructuring and the decline of Australian manufacturing over the last two decades has resulted in a much smaller share of immigrants settling there. It is clear then, that although the employment situation in the States and Territories is of significance in shaping the destination of immigrants, the relationship at the State level is by no means a deterministic one.
Figure 6: Australia: Distribution of Australia-Born Population by Statistical Division, 1996
Source: ABS 1996 Census
Figure 7: Australia: Distribution of Overseas-Born Population by Statistical Division, 1996
Source: ABS 1996 Census
Table 3: Australia: Concentration of Overseas-Born People, 1996
|
|
Proportion of Population Born In |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
State of Current Residence |
MESC(a) |
Other Europe(b) |
Other Countries |
Total Overseas-born |
|
New South Wales |
7.4 |
5.9 |
9.9 |
23.2 |
|
Victoria |
6.8 |
9.2 |
7.9 |
23.9 |
|
Queensland |
9.5 |
3.3 |
4.0 |
16.8 |
|
South Australia |
10.7 |
7.1 |
3.5 |
21.3 |
|
Western Australia |
15.9 |
5.3 |
6.5 |
27.8 |
|
Tasmania |
6.3 |
2.4 |
1.5 |
10.2 |
|
Northern Territory |
7.4 |
3.2 |
4.9 |
15.5 |
|
Australian Capital Territory |
8.7 |
6.4 |
7.3 |
22.4 |
|
Australia |
8.7 |
6.2 |
7.2 |
22.0 |
(a) Mainly English-speaking countries (Ireland, South
Africa, UK, USA, Canada and New Zealand).
(b) Excluding UK and Ireland.
Source: ABS 1996 Census
States and Territories have not only differed in the extent to which they have attracted immigrants but there are also some interesting differences in their 'mix' of birthplace groups due to historical differences in the timing of them receiving heavy net migration gains, as well as differences in policies followed by particular States to attract immigrants of particular types. These are reflected in Figures 8 and 9 which show that there is a significant difference in the national distribution of immigrants from mainly English-speaking (MES) origin countries and those from mainly non-English-speaking (NES) origins.
Figure 8: Australia: Distribution of Non-English Speaking (NES) Origin-Born Population by Statistical Division, 1996.
Source: ABS 1996 Census
Figure 9: Australia: Distribution of Mainly English Speaking (MES) Origin-Born Population by Statistical Division, 1996
Source: ABS 1996 Census
Table 3 also indicates these differences which can be briefly summarised as follows (Hugo 1986, 1988, 1989-92):
Urban-Rural Distribution of Immigrants
One of the most distinctive features of post-war immigration to Australia has been the tendency for migrants to settle in the nation's largest urban areas. Table 4 shows that over the 1947-96 period the number of Australia-born persons living in cities with 100 000 or more inhabitants more than doubled so that in 1996, 57.7 per cent lived in such centres. On the other hand, the overseas-born population in the largest urban areas increased more than six times so that by 1996, 80 per cent of Australia's overseas-born lived in those cities. Hence the impact of immigration has been felt more in Australia's major cities than in the provincial cities or rural areas. Over the 1947-96 period the proportion of the population in cities with more than 100 000 residents made up by the overseas-born increased from 11.6 per cent to 29.1 per cent. Moreover, their impact upon the growth of those cities is under-estimated by these figures since the children born to overseas-born people after arrival in Australia are included with the Australia-born.
The proportion of the total national overseas-born population living in provincial cities declined slightly from 13.5 to 12.5 per cent over the 1947-96 period. However, the overseas-born in such cities increased almost fivefold so that the proportion of residents who were overseas-born increased from 7.2 to 12.3 per cent. In rural areas there was a substantial change. In 1947 a quarter of all overseas-born persons lived in rural areas but this was drastically reduced to 7.4 per cent by 1996. Nevertheless the proportion of rural residents who were overseas-born increased from 7.6 per cent to 12.1 per cent. Hence although the presence of overseas-born has increased in all three urban-rural sectors, the impact has been greatest in major urban areas. This contrasts with a great deal of pre-World War II settlement of NES-origin groups which was strongly focused upon rural areas (e.g. Borrie 1954). It is interesting to note, however, that there was no increase in the proportion of overseas-born living in major urban areas between the 1986 (79.6 per cent) and the 1991 (79.5 per cent) Censuses and it increased only slightly to 80 per cent in 1996.
Table 4: Australia: Distribution of Australia and Overseas-Born Population Between Major Urban, Other Urban and Rural Areas, 1947-96
|
Australia-Born |
Per cent Change |
Overseas-Born |
Per cent Change |
|||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
|
|
No. |
Per cent |
No. |
Per cent |
1947-96 |
No. |
Per cent |
No. |
Per cent |
1947-96 |
|
Major Urban |
3 390 591 |
49.7 |
7 627 194 |
57.7 |
+125.0 |
453 368 |
61.8 |
3 126 263 |
80.0 |
+589.6 |
|
Other Urban |
1 263 724 |
18.5 |
3 485 125 |
26.4 |
+175.8 |
98 284 |
13.5 |
489 550 |
12.5 |
+395.4 |
|
Rural |
2 173 068 |
31.8 |
2 108 236 |
15.9 |
-3.0 |
181 180 |
24.7 |
290 275 |
7.4 |
+60.2 |
|
Total* |
6 827 383 |
100.0 |
13 220 555 |
100.0 |
+93.6 |
732 832 |
100.0 |
3 906 088 |
100.0 |
+432.6 |
* Excludes migratory.
Source: ABS 1947 and 1996 Censuses
The first intercensal period when there was not an increase in this proportion was 1986-91. This is worth examining in a little more detail with reference to Table 5. This indicates that the recent arrivals have shown an increasing tendency to settle in major urban areas since 1986, especially among the NES origin groups.
Table 5: Australia: Number and Percentage of Overseas-Born Persons Resident in Capital Cities by Origin and Length of Residence, 1986 and 1996
|
Birthplace |
1986 |
1996 |
||||||
|
0-4 Years |
5+ Years |
0-4 Years |
5+ Years |
|||||
|
Number |
Per cent of Total Resident in Capitals |
Number |
Per cent of Total Resident in Capitals |
Number |
Per cent of Total Resident in Capitals |
Number |
Per cent of Total Resident in Capitals |
|
|
MES Origin |
181,747 |
76.8 |
877,266 |
73.0 |
119,614 |
75.6 |
944,892 |
70.6 |
|
NES Origin |
291,044 |
88.6 |
1,236,518 |
83.5 |
376,446 |
90.3 |
1,588,030 |
85.1 |
|
Total Overseas-born |
472,791 |
83.7 |
2,113,784 |
78.8 |
496,060 |
86.3 |
2,532,922 |
79.1 |
Source: ABS 1986 and 1996 Censuses
On the other hand, among those who are longer established in Australia there has been stability in the tendency to settle in major cities. This is consistent with a pattern of 'counter-urbanisation' or decentralisation among the Australia-born that has been recognised for the last two decades (Hugo 1994) and suggests that over time there may be some convergence in the internal migration patterns of the overseas-born toward those of the Australia-born. Bell (1992) identified increased outmigration of longstanding overseas-born older people from major urban areas during the 1981-86 period. It is noticeable in Table 5 that among the MES-born, deconcentration away from the major cities is occurring. This supports the idea of longstanding migrants, especially those from similar backgrounds to the Australia-born, converging toward the national population in its internal migration trends.
Not only have post-war migrants tended to settle in Australia's larger urban areas but they have concentrated especially in two cities-Sydney (1996 population 3.74 million) and Melbourne (1996 population 3.14 million). This is reflected in the fact that while their proportions have more than doubled, Sydney and Melbourne's share of the nation's foreign-born population has increased from 46.5 per cent in 1947 to 52.3 per cent in 1991 and 52.8 per cent in 1996. On the other hand, their share of the Australia-born has fallen from 38.7 to 34.8 and 34.1 per cent. International migration has been of critical importance in the post-war growth of Sydney and Melbourne. Table 6 shows that over the first two post-war decades, more than half of the cities' growth was attributable to net gains of overseas migrants and that net gains of people from elsewhere in Australia were minor.
Moreover, it will be noted that the net gain in Melbourne was larger than in Sydney and indeed that overall growth in the southern city was greater. If we focus on the 1976-86 period, however, a different pattern is in evidence. Overall growth is substantially lower than in the first two post-war decades and natural increase (births minus deaths) is equivalent to almost all (98.6 per cent) of Melbourne's growth and 72 per cent of that of Sydney. However, if we disaggregate net migration into its international and internal components it is apparent that international migration has maintained a significant role (indeed, in the case of Sydney, an enhanced one) in the growth of the cities. This has been counterbalanced by a net outflow of the Australia-born population equivalent in size to half the overseas-born flow in Sydney and almost equal in size to that in Melbourne.
Table 6: Sydney and Melbourne: Estimated Components of Change, 1947-66, 1976-86, 1986-91 and 1991-96
|
Net Migration |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
Natural Increase |
Total |
International |
Internal |
Total Population Increase |
|
1947-66 Sydney Melbourne |
'000s |
379 45.3 366 |
457 491 |
441 485 |
17 6 |
836 857 |
|
1976-86 Sydney Melbourne |
'000s |
237 205 |
92 3 |
184 91 |
-92 -88 |
329 208 |
|
1986-91 Sydney Melbourne |
'000s |
144 119 |
59 -3 |
123 46 |
-65 -49 |
203 116 |
|
1991-96 Sydney Melbourne |
'000s |
135 109 |
39 46 |
173 102 |
-134 -56 |
174 155 |
Source: Hugo 1989, p. 68; ABS 1990, p. 10; Author's Estimates for 1986-91 using ABS Census and Vital Statistics Data
The dominance of Melbourne in the early post-war decades both in terms of population growth and in receiving overseas-born settlers had been reversed by 1976-86. The late 1980s and early 1990s has seen a further interesting development with Melbourne's overall population growth outpacing that of Sydney. However, Sydney has retained its dominance of the overseas intake with a net gain of 123 000 over the 1986-91 period compared with 46 000 in Melbourne. In 1991-96 the comparative numbers were 173 000 and 102 000. Table 6 shows that the net internal migration loss in Sydney, however, has gathered pace while that in Melbourne has reduced somewhat. This 'switchover function' (Maher and McKay 1986) of Sydney and Melbourne whereby a net loss of migrants in exchange with other parts of Australia is more than counterbalanced by an inflow of overseas migrants is an important feature of these two cities in the post-war period and part of the phenomenon of the 'turnaround' in Australia (Hugo 1989). The key point here is that net international migration gains have directly accounted for more than half of Sydney and Melbourne's net population growth over the post-war period, and if their indirect contribution via the children they have had since settling in Australia is taken into account, that contribution is closer to two thirds of net growth.
Figure 10 shows the growth of Sydney's and Melbourne's population over the post-war period and parts of that growth which have been made up of the overseas-born. It can be seen that the overseas-born have grown faster than the total population. In Melbourne they doubled between 1947 and 1954 and almost doubled again between 1954 and 1961 while the total population increased from 1.2 million to 1.9 million. Between 1961 and 1996, the overseas-born population more than doubled while the total population increased to 3 million. In Sydney the growth of the overseas-born over the 1947 and 1961 period was somewhat slower than in Melbourne with an increase of 133 per cent while the total population increased by 47 per cent. However, in the 1961-96 period Sydney's overseas-born population increased by 164 per cent compared with 106 per cent in Melbourne. Sydney's total population increased by 71 per cent.
Source: ABS Censuses
In Figure 10 the growth of the overseas-born from non-English-speaking countries of origin is especially striking. In Melbourne there was an almost fivefold increase between 1947 and 1954, a more than doubling between 1954 and 1966, and a 96 per cent increase between 1966 and 1996. Again in Sydney the growth was a little less rapid initially with an increase of 269 per cent between 1947 and 1954, and 149 per cent between 1954 and 1966. However, between 1966 and 1996, the increase of 182 per cent was almost twice as rapid as that in Melbourne.
Table 7 shows the growth of the overseas-born population in the two cities between 1947 and 1996. While Sydney gained huge numbers of immigrants during the long boom period and saw its overseas-born population more than double between 1947 and 1961, the impact was less than had occurred in Melbourne. The table shows the significance of this immigration with Melbourne's overseas-born population trebling between 1947 and 1966, and its share of the nation's total overseas-born increasing by 10 percentage points to 26.7 per cent. It will be noted that by 1961, Melbourne had surpassed Sydney as having the largest overseas-born community in the nation but in the last two decades Sydney has reasserted itself as the major focus of immigrant settlement in Australia, so that at the 1996 Census it had 29.4 per cent of the nation's overseas-born compared with 23.4 per cent in Melbourne. These fluctuations have been in concert with shifts in the changing roles of the two cities.
Table 7: Sydney and Melbourne Statistical Divisions: Proportion of Population Overseas-Born, 1947-96
|
|
Sydney Statistical Division |
Melbourne Statistical Division |
All Australia |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
No. of Overseas-born |
% of all Overseas-born |
No. of Overseas-born |
% of all Overseas-born |
No. of Overseas-born |
|
|
1947 |
191 107 |
25.7 |
125 258 |
16.8 |
744 187 |
|
1954 |
308 778 |
24.0 |
261 470 |
20.3 |
1 286 466 |
|
1961 |
434 663 |
24.4 |
444 479 |
25.0 |
1 778 780 |
|
1966 |
558 236 |
26.2 |
568 365 |
26.7 |
2 130 920 |
|
1971 |
681 313 |
26.4 |
687 266 |
26.6 |
2 579 318 |
|
1976 |
736 754 |
27.1 |
706 331 |
26.0 |
2 718 855 |
|
1981 |
834 280 |
27.8 |
754 117 |
25.1 |
3 003 833 |
|
1986 |
912 578 |
28.1 |
788 266 |
24.3 |
3 247 381 |
|
1991 |
1 070 627 |
28.5 |
893 445 |
23.8 |
3 755 554 |
|
1996 |
1 148 869 |
29.4 |
915 449 |
23.4 |
3 908 213 |
Source: ABS 1947, 1954, 1966, 1971, 1976, 1981, 1986, 1991 and 1996 Censuses
Table 8: Australia: Distribution of Population Between Major Urban, Other Urban and Rural Areas by Birthplace Groups, 1996
|
Birthplace |
Percentage |
Total Number |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Major Urban |
Other Urban |
Rural |
||
|
Australia |
57.7 |
26.3 |
16.0 |
13 227 776 |
|
Argentina |
92.0 |
5.2 |
2.8 |
10 755 |
|
Austria |
71.9 |
16.4 |
11.7 |
20 575 |
|
Bangladesh |
94.8 |
4.2 |
0.9 |
5 075 |
|
Belgium |
70.5 |
16.0 |
13.5 |
4 771 |
|
Bulgaria |
91.2 |
4.5 |
4.3 |
2 278 |
|
Burma |
91.8 |
5.4 |
2.8 |
10 139 |
|
Cambodia |
97.4 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
21 549 |
|
Canada |
71.8 |
17.4 |
10.8 |
25 132 |
|
Chile |
94.4 |
3.8 |
1.8 |
23 818 |
|
China |
94.6 |
3.8 |
1.6 |
111 011 |
|
Cyprus |
91.9 |
5.4 |
2.7 |
20 653 |
|
Czechoslovakia |
80.5 |
11.8 |
7.7 |
17 295 |
|
Denmark |
65.0 |
20.3 |
14.8 |
8 987 |
|
Egypt |
94.2 |
3.9 |
1.9 |
34 160 |
|
El Salvador |
93.8 |
4.9 |
1.3 |
9 863 |
|
England |
67.7 |
20.0 |
12.3 |
872 062 |
|
Estonia |
75.3 |
13.4 |
10.9 |
2 826 |
|
Fiji |
89.6 |
7.2 |
3.2 |
37 101 |
|
Finland |
69.2 |
17.6 |
13.2 |
8 615 |
|
France |
76.0 |
14.0 |
10.0 |
16 066 |
|
Germany |
67.1 |
19.1 |
13.8 |
110 331 |
|
Greece |
93.3 |
4.3 |
2.4 |
126 520 |
|
Hong Kong |
94.9 |
3.7 |
1.4 |
68 430 |
|
Hungary |
82.6 |
10.8 |
6.6 |
25 261 |
|
India |
88.3 |
7.9 |
3.8 |
77 551 |
|
Indonesia |
87.8 |
9.1 |
3.2 |
44 176 |