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Background Paper 8 1996-97
Tasmanian Election 1996

Dr Elizabeth Young
Statistics Group

Contents

Abbreviations and Sumbols

Major Issues

Introduction

Dominant Issues in the 1996 Tasmanian Election Campaign

Summary of Results (Table 1)

Division Results (Table 2)

Candidates (Table 3)

Tasmania's Electoral Systems

  • House of Assembly

  • Legislative Council
  • Table 1 House of Assembly: State Summary

    Table 2 House of Assembly: Division Summary

    Table 3 House of Assembly: Division Details

    Table 4 Members of the Legislative Council March 1996

    Table 5 Legislative Council Elections 1992-95

    Table 6 House of Assembly Elections 1950 to 1996

    Abbreviations and Symbols

    AD
    Australian Democrats


    ALP
    Australian Labor Party


    DLP
    Democratic Labor Party


    EGP
    Extremely Greedy 40% Extra Party


    LP
    Liberal Party


    MLA
    Member of the Legislative Assembly

    NP
    National Party

    TG
    Tasmanian Greens

    Symbols

      * Sitting Member


    Major Issues


    House of Assembly elections were held in Tasmania on 24 February 1996, one week before the Federal election. The election saw a significant swing to the Labor Party, more than compensating for its dismal performance in 1992 when the party recorded its worst result since the Second World War. The Liberal Party won more seats than Labor, but not enough to form government in its own right with the Tasmanian Greens holding
    the balance of power.

    In the lead up to the election attention focused on the issue of stable government as it was expected that neither of the major parties would win a majority of seats. There were suggestions that a second election would need to take place as both the Labor and Liberal Parties argued that a minority government, one that relied on either the Greens or the Opposition to pass legislation, would be unworkable. Once the Liberal Party was in a position to form government, however, it chose not to pursue the option of another election.

    Other issues that were of significance during the election campaign were Tasmania's poor economic record, a 40% pay rise granted to politicians during the Liberal government's term in office, (1) and homosexual law reform. All of these issues were seen to be detrimental to the Liberal Party and its bid to retain government.

    Tasmanian Legislative Council elections are contested on a rotating basis with three or four of its nineteen seats contended during May each year. These electorates have historically been subject to high levels of malapportionment.(2) A reform process has been put in place in recent years to redress this problem, although practicalities associated with the execution of these reforms have left questions over their implementation.

    Introduction

    Elections for the Tasmanian House of Assembly were held on 24 February 1996. The result saw a strong swing (of close to 12 per cent) to the Labor Party state wide. The incumbent Liberal Party lost 3 seats, enough to lose its majority in a House of 35, but still 2 seats ahead of the ALP. In the final wash up, the Liberal Party formed a minority government, requiring support from either the Labor Party Opposition or the Tasmanian Greens (with 4 seats) to pass legislation. This result was entirely expected with opinion polls published in the lead up to the election predicting a minority government. What had been less clear was which of the major parties would form government.

    During the election campaign the issue of stable government was the focus of attention for both the Labor and Liberal Parties. Underlying the attention given to this issue was Tasmania's recent political history. In particular, the balance of power politics that had emerged in the aftermath of the 1989 state election when the Labor Party formed a minority government with the support of the Tasmanian Greens under an agreement known as the Labor-Green Accord. In brief, the Accord process fell apart and an early election was held in 1992 during which the Labor Party suffered a stunning defeat. This experience has left a lasting impression in the Tasmanian community about the instability of minority governments and has shaped much of the debate initiated by the major parties which seeks to provide a rationale for why the Tasmanian Greens should not enjoy electoral support.

    In many ways the Tasmanian 1996 election was overshadowed by the Federal election to be held one week later. Concern on mainland Australia focused on what the Tasmanian poll revealed about the likely outcome in the Federal election. While some saw the result as a glimmer of hope for the flagging Keating government, most commentators recognised that the Tasmanian election would provide little insight into the federal poll. In part this was because the Tasmanian election was fought on state issues and in part because it is widely acknowledged that the Tasmanian electorate is as likely to vote against electoral trends on the mainland as it is to vote with such trends.

    Dominant Issues in the 1996 Tasmanian Election Campaign

    The issue that dominated the election campaign was the question
    of stable government. Opinion polls made it very clear that neither
    the Liberal nor Labor Parties were likely to win government in
    their own right and that the Tasmanian Greens would once again
    hold the balance of power. This situation affected the strategies
    adopted by the major parties, both of which tried to woo voters
    back to their fold by convincing them that a vote for the Greens
    or Independents would lead to a degree of political instability
    that Tasmania could ill afford. With the failure of the Labor-Green
    Accord in the not too distant past, these claims were likely to
    have some weight.

    The Greens asserted that they would be willing to cooperate with
    either of the major parties. Their primary concern was to dispel
    those fears, encouraged by the major parties, associated with
    their role in holding the balance of power. In response to this
    situation the Greens made the following commitments:

    • security of tenure to the party with the most seats;
    • passage of the Budget; and
    • continuing confidence in the House, except if allegations
      of incompetence or corruption were involved.(3)


    Both the ALP and the Liberal Party, however, were adamant that
    there would be no deals with the Greens. The media represented
    these claims as strategic manoeuvring:


      There is a certain amount of politicking in all this. Both Mr
      Field and Mr Groom are attempting to promote a climate of uncertainty
      in which voters, concerned about returning a minority government,
      may be persuaded to turn away from the minor parties and towards
      the major parties.(4)

    Debate arose over what would happen if neither of the major parties
    won a majority in February's poll. The possibility of a second
    election was bandied about and again this was used in an attempt
    to diminish the Green vote. Labor announced that it would not
    form a minority government with the Greens, but it would allow
    the survival of a minority Liberal government. The Labor Party
    leader, Michael Field guaranteed that the ALP would not move a
    no confidence motion against a minority Liberal government (for
    a reasonable time, assumed to be around eight or nine months),
    nor would it block a minority Liberal government's first Supply
    Bill. The objective of this approach was twofold. First, it reiterated
    the point that the ALP would not do deals with the Greens. It
    was hoped that this would quieten fears of anti-Green ALP supporters
    who had strongly disapproved of the Labor-Green Accord and had
    left the Labor Party in significant numbers during the 1992 election.
    Second, it reinforced the claim that a vote for the Greens was
    in fact a vote for a minority Liberal government.

    Liberal Premier, Ray Groom, adopted a similarly uncompromising
    position, although unlike Labor, he argued that the Liberal Party
    would form a minority government, but only for long enough to
    secure a second election. Groom's contention was:

      The bottom line is the Liberal Party will not go into minority
      government, we are opposed to it. Minority government won't work.(5)

    There was little doubt that the Greens would once again hold the
    balance of power and thus a second election appeared imminent
    following the February election. This raised a crucial problem:
    there was nothing to suggest that a second election would secure
    a substantively different outcome from the first. Commentators
    consequently asked what would happen next? Would Tasmania have
    election after election until a majority eventually appeared?(6)

    Fortunately for the Tasmanian electorate this situation did not
    eventuate. On winning enough seats in the February 24 poll to
    form a minority government, the Liberal Party did just that. Discussion
    of a second election was muted. There are a number of different
    explanations that can be found for this change of tack. The first
    is that following the election there was no longer any strategic
    benefit to be gained by threatening a second election. While this
    line of argument holds some merit, and no doubt tells part of
    the story, a second explanation seems more plausible. It would
    seem that the new government had constitutional advice suggesting
    that it could not surrender government or request the Governor
    to call a new poll. Rather, the government needed to be overthrown
    by a no confidence motion or have a Supply Bill rejected to secure
    an early election.(7)

    A number of other issues affected the election campaign, although
    they did not gain the same level of coverage as the question of
    stable government. These all pointed to problems associated with
    the Liberal Party and its performance since the 1992 election.

    One of the main concerns was Tasmania's slow rate of economic
    growth. This was seen to be especially problematic because there
    had been a degree of economic recovery elsewhere in Australia.
    Moreover, in the midst of this period of economic hardship Tasmanian
    MPs had voted themselves a 40% pay rise. Much of the opprobrium
    for this attached to the Government which had opposed public sector
    pay rises and sacked public sector employees to reduce the Budget
    deficit. Voters may be credited with a short memory, but it was
    unlikely that the levels of popular outcry against this move would
    be easily forgotten. Moreover, just in case the pay rise was overlooked
    during the election, the Extremely Greedy 40% Extra Party was
    formed. Although there was never any likelihood that this party
    would win a seat, it remained a reminder of the incumbent government's
    previous actions. A further issue that was seen to have eroded
    support for the Liberal government was its payment of former Premier
    Robin Gray's legal fees after the Rouse bribery royal commission,
    especially when it failed to pay similar costs for Labor MP Jim
    Cox.(8)

    There was also the question of gay law reform. In Tasmania it
    is an offence for men to engage in homosexual sex. Breaking this
    law may be penalised with a 21 year jail term (the maximum penalty
    under the criminal code). Throughout Groom's period in office
    there had been considerable pressure placed on the government
    to decriminalise homosexuality. While the issue polarised the
    community, there appeared to be widespread support, particularly
    in Southern Tasmania, for the gay lobby's claim for legal reform.
    This was further reinforced after the United Nations Human Rights
    Committee upheld a complaint by gay activists that Tasmania's
    law against homosexual acts was an infringement of their human
    rights. Groom's position on this issue remained confusing. On
    the one hand the Premier claimed that his government had not enforced
    the law and thus considered that the issue was not significant.(9)
    On the other, during the campaign the government announced a new
    law and order package that increased penalties in the criminal
    code to a maximum penalty of 25 years and in doing so increased
    the maximum penalty against gay sex.(10) The media was particular
    quick to take up this issue and used it to suggest the regressive
    character of the Liberal Party's social policies.

    The Field-led Labor opposition promised to address these issues.
    A pay cut for politicians was promised as was the repeal of legislation
    that made homosexuality a criminal offence. Michael Field also
    pledged to reduce electricity costs,(11) hire more teachers, and
    create more jobs.(12)

    The parliamentary record of the Liberal Party meant that it was
    always expected to face a substantial swing against it in February's
    poll, particularly in the light of the ALP's dismal result in
    the 1992 election. The crucial question was how big this swing
    would be and how many seats would change hands.

    Summary of Results (Table 1)

    The Liberal Party suffered a massive swing against it of 12.91%
    and lost three seats. This outcome more than reversed the large
    swing of 7.19% enjoyed by the Liberal Party in 1992 and saw the
    Labor Party clawing back from its worst electoral result since
    the Second World War. Nevertheless, the Liberal Party remained
    the party with the most seats (16), leading the ALP by two. Importantly
    for the Labor Party the gap between the two parties' vote had
    dwindled to less than one per cent.

    The Greens managed to win 11.14% of the vote, enough to win four
    seats (one seat less than it had won in both the 1989 and 1992
    elections) but it was the second election in a row in which its
    vote was reduced. The result was certainly a far cry from its
    heyday in 1989 when the party won over 17% of the vote.

    None of the other minor parties captured a significant portion
    of the vote. It was the first time that the National Party had
    contested a Tasmanian state election and it did not fare well
    capturing 2.2% of the state wide vote. The Australian Democrats
    were once again competing after not participating in the 1992
    election and achieved a relatively meagre 3.74% in Franklin, the
    only electorate in which the party stood. The most likely explanation
    for both parties poor performance can be found in the nature of
    Tasmanian state politics where the natural constituencies of both
    the Nationals and the Democrats have been captured by other parties.
    For instance, the Tasmanian Liberal Party has traditionally embraced
    rural electorates and conservative values in such a way that leaves
    little space for the National Party. Similarly, the longevity
    and success of the Greens has left the Democrats without much
    of their traditional support base.

    The other point worth noting is the success of Independent Bruce
    Goodluck (former Federal Liberal Member for Franklin) who won
    a seat in Franklin and accounted for much of the Other
    vote. Goodluck is a well known personality who is remembered for
    his independence as a Liberal Member in the Federal Parliament.

    Division Results (Table 2)

    The swing against the Liberal Party varied considerably between
    each of the electorates. The Liberals suffered from the strongest
    swings in Braddon (-16.09%), Lyons (-16.35%) and Franklin (-14.32%).
    In Denison (-8.50%) and Bass (-8.81%) the swing was weaker, nonetheless,
    it remained substantial. In spite of these swings, the Liberal
    Party still managed to win significantly more votes than the ALP
    in Bass (LP: 47.65%; ALP: 38.90%) and Braddon (LP: 49.62%; ALP:
    34.36%). The result was much closer in Lyons with the Liberal
    Party achieving only 0.8% of the vote more than the ALP. In the
    electorates of Denison (LP: 35.45%; ALP: 45.36%) and Franklin
    (LP:31.98%; ALP: 42.67%) the Liberal Party was outpolled by the
    Labor Party by a substantial margin.

    The swing to Labor was especially large in Lyons (13.85%) and
    was also considerable in Denison (12.07%) and Braddon (13.55%).
    In Franklin (8.92%) and Bass (9.34%) the swing was smaller but
    still sizeable. It is interesting to note that the swing to the
    ALP in Denison and Franklin can be associated with a swing away
    from the Greens. This allowed the Labor Party to regain electoral
    dominance in the southern seats of Denison and Franklin. The Greens
    most successful electorate remained Denison with the party capturing
    14.03% of the vote.

    Candidates (Table 3)

    Six sitting members failed to be re-elected in the 1996 election.
    Four of these seats were held by the Liberal Party. In the case
    of Carole Cains (Braddon) and Brian Davison (Franklin), their
    failure can be directly attributed to the significant reduction
    in the Liberal Party's vote. For Cains this was due to the improved
    ALP vote in Braddon. It was virtually inevitable that the Liberals
    would lose a seat in this electorate after the party won five
    of the seven seats in 1992, an unusual phenomenon that was not
    expected to be repeated. Davison's loss in Franklin was the result
    of Bruce Goodluck capturing a significant portion of the conservative
    vote.

    Sitting MLAs John Barker (LP, Denison) Graeme Page (LP, Lyons)
    and Julian Amos (ALP, Denison) were defeated by members of their
    own parties. Barker's loss to Bob Cheek has been associated with
    Cheek's popularity as an ex football player, traditionally a highly
    regarded skill in Tasmanian politics. In the case of Amos, the
    entrance of high profile ALP candidate Jim Bacon, who had been
    the Secretary of the Tasmanian Trades and Labor Council for a
    number of years, provides a sound explanation for the sitting
    member's defeat. It is also worth noting that Tasmania's use of
    Robson Rotation(13) tends to result in a higher turnover of sitting
    members than might otherwise be the case. Parties do not control
    the order in which candidates' names appear on ballot papers and
    are not in a position to advantage certain candidates, such as
    sitting members, by placing them at the top of their list on the
    ballot paper. Thus, the bias towards sitting members that often
    occurs in systems of proportional representation, where lists
    are used, is reduced.

    In Bass all the sitting ALP and Liberal candidates were returned.
    The sitting Greens candidate, Lance Armstrong, failed in his efforts
    to be re-elected. ALP candidate, Jim Cox, picked up this seat,
    with a substantial increase to his personal vote (he had failed
    to be re-elected in 1992), as well as the ALP's overall vote.

    The Division of Braddon saw Labor win back one seat from the Liberal
    Party. In 1992, the electorate of Braddon was a disaster for Labor,
    with the party securing only one of the seven seats. A swing of
    over 13% secured ALP candidate, Brenton Best, a seat at the expense
    of sitting Liberal Party Member, Carole Cains.

    There was no change in the number of candidates elected to each
    party in Denison, despite a swing to the ALP of over 12%. Green
    candidate Peg Putt performed strongly, but captured nowhere near
    the vote of her predecessor Bob Brown. Newcomer Jim Bacon received
    the second highest vote for a Labor Party candidate, reflecting
    his high profile in Tasmania.

    The Liberal Party lost one of its three seats in Franklin with
    Brian Davison failing to be re-elected following a strong swing
    against the Liberal Party of over 14%. While the ALP did capture
    some of this vote, the extent of the swing can be best explained
    by the entrance of conservative Independent Bruce Goodluck, whose
    high profile brought him success in state politics.

    In Lyons, the Liberal Party lost a seat in the wake of a swing
    of over 16% against the party. With the retirement of Robin Gray,
    the Liberal Party's vote diminished significantly. Gray had an
    enormous personal vote, winning two and a half quotas in the previous
    election. The failure of the Liberal Party to retain this support
    highlights the importance of personality politics in Tasmania.
    Liberal Party MLA, Graeme Page, lost his seat, while compatriot
    and newcomer Rene Hiddings was able to win a seat. Overall, this
    left the Liberal Party with one less seat in Lyons than it had
    won in 1992. ALP candidate Lara Giddings picked up this seat.
    Green Party leader, Christine Milne, won the highest level of
    support for a Green candidate statewide.

    Tasmania's Electoral Systems

    House of Assembly

    House of Assembly or Lower House elections are conducted in Tasmania
    every four years. Fixed terms were introduced following the Constitution
    (Fixed Term Parliament) Special Provisions Act 1992
    . Should
    a seat fall vacant between elections (because of resignation or
    death) then a recount of ballot papers from the previous election
    is undertaken. A by-election takes place only if there are no
    candidates remaining in the count who belong to the same party
    as the outgoing member. This provision was introduced in 1985
    and since then there have been no by-elections in Tasmania.

    House of Assembly elections are conducted under the Hare-Clark
    system of proportional representation. There are five multi-member
    constituencies (which have the same geographical boundaries as
    Tasmania's five Commonwealth House of Representatives electorates)
    each of which elect seven members. The electoral system uses a
    Single Transferable Vote (STV) where voters rank candidates in
    order of their preference. To cast a valid vote the voters must,
    at a minimum, fill in their first seven preferences.

    To determine the order of candidates on the ballot paper a method
    known as Robson Rotation (named after the MHA Neil Robson who
    devised the system) is used. In this system all of the candidates
    names are placed in each position, within party groups, on the
    ballot paper. The objective of this system is to ensure that no
    one candidate benefits from having their name on a particular
    position on the ballot paper.

    To win a seat a candidate must achieve a Droop quota. A
    Droop quota requires a candidate to win a proportion of the vote
    determined by the following equation:

    equation to determine vote proportion


    In Tasmania's case, this leads to the following calculation for
    a quota:

    Tasmanian quota calculation

    When candidates receives a quota they are elected. Should they
    receive more than a quota, the surplus of votes are passed on
    to the voter's second preference, identified on the ballot paper.
    Only a fractional value of the vote, however, is passed on to
    the next candidate. These votes are divided by what is known as
    Gregory's fraction. This is determined by the following
    equation:

    equation to determine "Gregory's fraction"

    If this process is completed and seven candidates have not been
    elected then the candidates who received the smallest number of
    votes in the election are progressively excluded and their preferences
    distributed (at full value) until seven members achieve a quota,
    or the last remaining candidate is elected.(14)

    Legislative Council

    The Legislative Council or Upper House in Tasmania is elected
    from nineteen single member electorates by a method known as preferential
    voting
    or the alternative vote. This is the electoral
    system used in Federal House of Representative elections and is
    one in which voters identify all of their preferences for candidates
    in numerical sequence. To win a seat a candidate needs to win
    fifty per cent of the vote plus one additional vote. Should no
    candidate achieve this after all first preference votes have been
    counted then the candidate who wins the fewest first preferences
    is excluded. Their second preferences are then allocated to other
    candidates. Progressive exclusion of the fewest supported candidates
    occurs until one candidate achieves the required fifty per cent
    of the vote, plus one additional vote.

    Members are elected for a fixed six year term. What is unusual
    about this electoral system is the periodic character of the elections.
    Each year three (or every six years four) members are elected
    to the Upper House. This means that the Council has a permanent
    character. Thus, because the Legislative Council cannot be dissolved
    as an entity, it cannot be held accountable at any one election
    for its decisions. For this reason it is often considered to be
    one of the most powerful Upper Houses in Australia. It is somewhat
    ironic then, that the interest in these elections is subdued,
    to say the least. As W.A. Townsley explained in 1976:


      Elections are relatively quiet affairs and pass almost unnoticed
      outside the three or four single-member electorates whose turn
      it is to return members.(15)

    The power of the Legislative Council is also linked to the influence
    that it may wield over the Government's budget. Although it cannot
    amend Supply bills it has the power to amend financial bills in
    other categories such as loan and probate bills.(16)

    Unlike the majority of parliaments in Australia, the Legislative
    Council is not dominated by political parties. Indeed, its members
    typically identify themselves as independents rather than affiliate
    themselves with particular parties as the electorate has tended
    to favour independents over candidates representing the parties.

    For many years the electoral system governing the Legislative
    Council elections contained high levels of malapportionment. For
    instance, in 1994 the electorate of Gordon had 4,901 electors,
    compared to 22, 982 enrolled in Huon. Thus, one electorate had
    over four times as many people enrolled as the other. In 1995
    the Electoral Boundaries Act addressed this issue and introduced
    a redistribution of seats based on enrolment size. The Act also
    ensured that there will be a periodic redistribution of electoral
    boundaries in response to changes in enrolment size. This system
    is based on the model used to determine Commonwealth electoral
    boundaries. Complications, however, have emerged over what will
    happen to those MPs whose electorates cease to exist yet still
    have a period of one to five years before they face re-election.
    The resolution of this issue has become increasingly difficult
    as the ALP, in particular, sees it as an opportunity to initiate
    far wider ranging reforms to the Legislative Council.

    Endnotes


    1. Although, to a certain extent, both the major political parties
      were identified by the public to be responsible for the pay rises.

    2. An uneven and inequitable distribution of voters between electorates.

    3. "Tasmania's Reluctant Premiers" Australian January
      22, 1996

    4. "Tasmania's Reluctant Premiers" Australian January
      22, 1996.

    5. "Groom Says No to Labor Poll Offer" The Australian
      February 8, 1996

    6. B. Montgomery "Green at the Core" Australian
      January 22, 1996.

    7. Australian February 16, 1996.

    8. Australian January 22, 1996.

    9. B. Montgomery "Groom Hints Minority Libs Will Tough it Out"
      Australian February 27, 1996.

    10. A. Darby "Tasmania to toughen penalties for gay sex in private"
      Australian January 26, 1996.

    11. By abolishing the Hydro-Electric Commissions electricity network
      charge. This move in fact only implied a reduction in electricity
      costs.

    12. B. Montgomery "Field pledges instant repeal of anti-gay law"
      Australian February 21, 1996.

    13. See explanation on Robson Rotation on p. 8.

    14. For further details see T. Newman 1994 Representation of the
      Tasmanian People: Expanded Edition 1803-1994
      Tasmanian Parliamentary
      Library, Government Printing Office: 90-95.

    15. W.A Townsley 1976 The Government of Tasmania University
      of Queensland Press, St Lucia Qeensland: 37.

    16. Ibid: 8.

    Table 1 HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY: STATE SUMMARY

    Enrolled 324394

    Candidates Seats First Preference Votes Change from 1992
    Won Number Per cent Seats Votes

    Liberal Party 35 16 121391 41.20 -3 -12.91

    Australian Labor Party 39 14 119262 40.47 3 +11.62

    Tasmanian Greens 35 4 32813 11.14 -1 -2.09

    National Party 18 0 6476 2.20 +2.20

    Australian Democrats 4 0 2190 0.74 +0.74

    Extremely Greedy 10 0 2251 0.76 +0.76

    Others 17 1 10290 3.49 1 -0.31

    Formal 294673 94.60 -0.86

    Informal 16816 5.40 +0.86

    Total 158 35 311489 96.02 +1.04

    Table 2 HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY: DIVISION SUMMARY

    Division First Preference Votes Formal Informal Total Electors
    ALP LP TG NP AD Others Votes Votes Votes Enrolled
    Number


    Bass 22866 28011 6065 893 949 58784 3553 62337 65140

    Braddon 19513 28179 5194 2495 1411 56792 3380 60172 62172

    Denison 27045 21133 8363 754 2323 59618 3240 62858 66059

    Franklin 24986 18726 6250 431 2190 5971 58554 3182 61736 64169

    Lyons 24852 25342 6941 1903 1887 60925 3461 64386 66854

    Total 119262 121391 32813 6476 2190 12541 294673 16816 311489 324394


    Per Cent

    Bass 38.90 47.65 10.32 1.52 1.61 94.30 5.70 95.70

    Braddon 34.36 49.62 9.15 4.39 2.48 94.38 5.62 96.78

    Denison 45.36 35.45 14.03 1.26 3.90 94.85 5.15 95.15

    Franklin 42.67 31.98 10.67 0.74 3.74 10.20 94.85 5.15 96.21

    Lyons 40.79 41.60 11.39 3.12 3.10 94.62 5.38 96.31

    Total 40.47 41.20 11.14 2.20 0.74 4.26 94.60 5.40 96.02


    Swing

    Bass +9.34 -8.81 -1.09 +1.61 -0.96 -0.31 +0.31 +0.31

    Braddon +13.55 -16.09 +0.35 +4.65 -2.21 -1.54 +1.54 +1.08

    Denison +12.07 -8.50 -3.92 +1.33 -0.92 -0.77 +0.77 +1.63

    Franklin +8.92 -14.32 -5.15 +0.78 +3.94 +6.08 -0.99 +0.99 +1.17

    Lyons +13.85 -16.35 -0.88 +3.30 +0.26 -0.67 +0.67 +1.09

    Total +11.62 -12.92 -2.10 +2.32 +0.79 +0.45 -0.86 +0.86 +1.04

    Table 3 HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY:DIVISION DETAILS

    BASS Enrolled 65140

    Candidate Party Votes Per cent Quotas

    Andrew B LP 590 1.00 0.08

    Benneworth T* (Elected 7) LP 3608 6.14 0.49

    Beswick J* (Elected 4) LP 4684 7.97 0.64

    Fry D LP 3056 5.20 0.42

    Madill F* (Elected 1) LP 8430 14.34 1.15

    Napier S* (Elected 2) LP 6245 10.62 0.85

    Smith P LP 1398 2.38 0.19

    Total 28011 47.65 3.81


    Armstrong L* TG 4414 7.51 0.60

    Cameron D TG 253 0.43 0.03

    Fairfax L TG 417 0.71 0.06

    James D TG 218 0.37 0.03

    Obendorf D TG 212 0.36 0.03

    O'Keefe R TG 215 0.37 0.03

    Smith E TG 336 0.57 0.05

    Total 6065 10.32 0.83

    Boulton B NP 476 0.81 0.06

    Jefferies B NP 417 0.71 0.06

    Total 893 1.52 0.12

    Cox J (Elected 6) ALP 3307 5.63 0.45

    Daniel P ALP 1904 3.24 0.26

    James G* (Elected 5) ALP 4918 8.37 0.67

    Jones L ALP 1648 2.80 0.22

    Patmore P* (Elected 3) ALP 6004 10.21 0.82

    Polley H ALP 2186 3.72 0.30

    Potter D ALP 2374 4.04 0.32

    Stacey A ALP 525 0.89 0.07

    Total 22866 38.90 3.11

    Barratt-Peacock E EGP 199 0.34 0.03

    Heading P EGP 243 0.41 0.03

    Total 442 0.75 0.06

    Rice R 507 0.86 0.07 Formal 58784 94.30

    Informal 3553 5.70

    Total 62337 95.70

    Quota 7349

    BRADDON Enrolled 62172

    Candidate Party Votes Per cent Quotas

    Balcock R LP 734 1.29 0.10

    Bonde B* (Elected 2) LP 7379 12.99 1.04

    Cains C* LP 3505 6.17 0.49

    Cornish R* (Elected 5) LP 4131 7.27 0.58

    Groom R* (Elected 3) LP 6298 11.09 0.89

    Rundle T* (Elected 4) LP 5562 9.79 0.78

    Wickham M LP 570 1.00 0.08

    Total 28179 49.62 3.97

    Dixon F TG 129 0.23 0.02

    Hollister D* (Elected 7) TG 4561 8.03 0.64

    Kelly J TG 94 0.17 0.01

    O'Halloran P TG 146 0.26 0.02

    Paice J TG 108 0.19 0.02

    Storace E TG 101 0.18 0.01

    Wilson J TG 55 0.10 0.01

    Total 5194 9.15 0.73

    Eiler H NP 86 0.15 0.01

    Goodwin G NP 424 0.75 0.06

    Holmes V NP 910 1.60 0.13

    Lee G NP 205 0.36 0.03

    Leslie G NP 411 0.72 0.06

    Stevenson S NP 459 0.81 0.06

    Total 2495 4.39 0.35

    Altimira J ALP 1262 2.22 0.18

    Best B (Elected 6) ALP 2493 4.39 0.35

    Bird Y ALP 1698 2.99 0.24

    Field M* (Elected 1) ALP 7955 14.01 1.12

    Gard M ALP 1477 2.60 0.21

    Green B ALP 2588 4.56 0.36

    Richardson G ALP 1532 2.70 0.22

    Schnackenberg S ALP 508 0.89 0.07

    Total 19513 34.36 2.75

    Cornuccio P EGP 103 0.18 0.01

    Duffy P EGP 128 0.23 0.02

    Total 231 0.41 0.03

    Bissett D Group B 644 1.13 0.09

    Heathorn L B Group B 83 0.15 0.01

    Total 727 1.28 0.10

    Mackenzie J Ungrouped 58 0.10 0.00

    Vanderfeen A Ungrouped 395 0.70 0.01

    Total 453 0.80 0.01

    Formal 56792 94.38

    Informal 3380 5.62

    Total 60172 96.78

    Quota 7100

    DENISON Enrolled 66059

    Candidate Party Votes Per cent Quotas

    Ames N LP 429 0.72 0.06

    Barker J* LP 998 1.67 0.13

    Cheek B (Elected 5) LP 3946 6.62 0.53

    Goodluck J LP 1922 3.22 0.26

    Groom R* (Elected 1) LP 9637 16.16 1.29

    Hodgman M* (Elected 7) LP 3994 6.70 0.54

    Willink H LP 207 0.35 0.03

    Total 21133 35.45 2.84

    Friend D TG 1211 2.03 0.16

    Hughes C TG 299 0.50 0.04

    Jones P TG 272 0.46 0.04

    Law M TG 258 0.43 0.03

    Moran T TG 277 0.46 0.04

    Putt P* (Elected 4) TG 5738 9.62 0.77

    Wessing A TG 308 0.52 0.04

    Total 8363 14.03 1.12

    Coggins I NP 292 0.49 0.04

    Pelham K NP 462 0.77 0.06

    Total 754 1.26 0.10

    INFORMAL Group D 285 0.48 0.04

    Locke J Group D 52 0.09 0.01

    Total 337 0.57 0.05

    Amos J* ALP 3721 6.24 0.50

    Bacon J (Elected 2) ALP 8766 14.70 1.18

    Jackson J* (Elected 6) ALP 3858 6.47 0.52

    Riep B ALP 424 0.71 0.06

    Slade S ALP 1038 1.74 0.14

    Trevarthen C ALP 1541 2.58 0.21

    White J* (Elected 3) ALP 6809 11.42 0.91

    Wright P ALP 888 1.49 0.12

    Total 27045 45.36 3.63

    Kelly C EGP 435 0.73 0.06

    Sheridan J EGP 267 0.45 0.04

    Total 702 1.18 0.09

    Briscoe J Group F 551 0.92 0.07

    Howett S 35 0.06 0.00

    Total 586 0.98 0.08

    Maddox A Ungrouped 698 1.17 0.09

    Formal 59618 94.85

    Informal 3240 5.15

    Total 62858 95.15

    Quota 7453

    FRANKLIN Enrolled 64169

    Candidate Party Votes Per cent Quotas

    Cleary J* (Elected 4) LP 4097 7.00 0.56

    Davison B* LP 795 1.36 0.11

    Gozzi B LP 2150 3.67 0.29

    Harriss P LP 3040 5.19 0.42

    Hodgman P* (Elected 3) LP 6102 10.42 0.83

    Langham E LP 546 0.93 0.07

    McManus B LP 1996 3.41 0.27

    Total 18726 31.98 2.56

    Bowden A TG 223 0.38 0.03

    Bush J TG 277 0.47 0.04

    Carolin-McFarlane K TG 313 0.53 0.04

    Crossley L TG 1173 2.00 0.16

    Foley M (Elected 5) TG 3515 6.00 0.48

    Giblin M TG 279 0.48 0.04

    King P TG 470 0.80 0.06

    Total 6250 10.67 0.85

    Darling B NP 242 0.41 0.03

    Rogers P NP 189 0.32 0.03

    Total 431 0.74 0.06

    0.00

    Goodluck B (Elected 6) Group C 3671 6.27 0.50

    Goodluck J Group C 639 1.09 0.09

    Total 4310 7.36 0.59

    Alexander E ALP 1284 2.19 0.18

    Bladel F* (Elected 1) ALP 7933 13.55 1.08

    Boughey S ALP 602 1.03 0.08

    Cooper G ALP 1276 2.18 0.17

    Lennon P* (Elected 2) ALP 6504 11.11 0.89

    Sheppard J ALP 2566 4.38 0.35

    Thorp L ALP 1548 2.64 0.21

    Wriedt P (Elected 7) ALP 3273 5.59 0.45

    Total 24986 42.67 3.41

    Cowburn R EGP 227 0.39 0.03

    Newman T EGP 250 0.43 0.03

    Total 477 0.81 0.07

    Burton L AD 323 0.55 0.04

    Farrington R AD 154 0.26 0.02

    Godridge L AD 212 0.36 0.03

    James R AD 1501 2.56 0.21

    Total 2190 3.74 0.30

    Devereux J Ungrouped 862 1.47 0.12

    Somerville C Ungrouped 322 0.55 0.04

    Total 1184 0.16 Formal 58554 94.85   Informal 3182 5.15

    Total 61736 96.21

    Quota 7320

    LYONS Enrolled 66854

    Candidate Party Votes Per cent Quotas

    Cleland M LP 2405 3.95 0.32

    Hidding R (Elected 6) LP 4626 7.59 0.61

    Mainwaring B* (Elected 3) LP 5335 8.76 0.70

    Page G* LP 4572 7.50 0.60

    Salter S LP 1615 2.65 0.21

    Swan D (Elected 7) LP 4926 8.09 0.65

    The Duke of Avram J LP 1863 3.06 0.24

    Total 25342 41.60 3.33

    Goldsworthy L TG 168 0.28 0.02

    Imber K TG 131 0.22 0.02

    Lennox S TG 152 0.25 0.02

    Lynch D TG 195 0.32 0.03

    Millar G TG 171 0.28 0.02

    Milne C* (Elected 5) TG 5917 9.71 0.78

    Willock A TG 207 0.34 0.03

    Total 6941 11.39 0.91

    Gulson J NP 177 0.29 0.02

    Murray PH NP 806 1.32 0.11

    Parry C NP 137 0.22 0.02

    Pinder P NP 222 0.36 0.03

    Tomkinson D NP 357 0.59 0.05

    Wright R NP 204 0.33 0.03

    Total 1903 3.12 0.25

    Clifford M ALP 927 1.52 0.12

    Giddings L (Elected 4) ALP 2162 3.55 0.28

    Llewellyn D* (Elected 1) ALP 9817 16.11 1.29

    MacGregor A ALP 1248 2.05 0.16

    Parker D ALP 1468 2.41 0.19

    Polley M* (Elected 2) ALP 7981 13.10 1.05

    Tate P ALP 1249 2.05 0.16

    Total 24852 40.79 3.26 Beecroft A EGP 214 0.35 0.03

    Long A EGP 185 0.30 0.02

    Total 399 0.65 0.05

    Ashley P Group C 45 0.07 0.01

    Burr M Group C 927 1.52 0.12

    Total 972 1.60 0.13 Gerrity D Ungrouped 516 0.85 0.07 Formal 60925 94.62

      Informal 3461 5.38

    Total 64386 96.31 Quota 7616

    Table 4 MEMBERS OF THE LEGISLATIVE COUNCIL MARCH 1996

    Division Member Party Year of 
    Retirement

    Buckingham Crean ALP 1998

    Cornwell Bailey IND 1996

    Derwent Batt ALP 1997

    Gordon Schulze IND 2000

    Hobart Parkinson ALP 2000

    Huon Meyer IND 1996

    Launceston Wing IND 2000

    Macquarie Shaw* IND 1998

    Meander Hope IND 1997

    Mersey Squibb IND 1996

    Monmouth Wilson IND 1999

    Newdegate Ginn IND 1999

    Pembroke McKay LP 2001

    Queenborough Wilkinson IND 2001

    Russell Fletcher* IND 1999

    South Esk Rattray IND 1998

    Tamar Loone IND 2001

    West Devon Hiscutt IND 2001

    Westmorland Brookes IND 1997

    * Elected unopposed

    Table 5 LEGISLATIVE COUNCIL ELECTIONS 1992-95

    Buckingham (23.5.92) Enrolled: 17821

    Candidate Party Votes % 

    First Count

    Cairns IND 2199 13.76

    Crean * ALP 3161 19.78

    Donahue IND 1183 7.40

    Hale IND 374 2.34

    Jury IND 1960 12.26

    Slade IND 1901 11.89

    Strickland IND 2453 15.35

    Taylor IND 2130 13.33

    Final Count

    Cairns IND 6420 46.06

    Crean * ALP 7518 53.94

    Exhausted 1423 10.21

    Formal 15984 96.25

    Informal 623 3.75

    Total 16607 93.19

    South Esk (23.5.92) Enrolled: 15682

    Candidate Party Votes %

    First Count

    Cox ALP 2805 21.14

    Fulton IND 3120 23.52

    Rattray * IND 4488 33.83

    Ryan IND 2503 18.87

    Final Count

    Fulton IND 5362 41.51

    Rattray* IND 7554 58.49

    Formal 13266 97.43

    Informal 350 2.57

    Total 13616 86.83

    Gordon (28.5.94) Enrolled: 4901

    Candidate Party Votes %

    First Count

    Galpin IND 251 6.04

    Harding ALP 1481 35.63

    Schulze * IND 2355 56.65

    Formal 4157 98.34

    Informal 70 1.66

    Total 4227 86.25

    Monmouth (22.5.93) Enrolled: 22019

    Candidate Party Votes %

    First Count

    McCathy IND 660 3.57

    Stewart IND 3402 18.39

    Traynor ALP 4644 25.11

    Wilson* IND 9260 50.06

    Formal 18497 97.21

      Informal 531 2.79

    Total 19028 86.42

    Newdegate (22.5.93) Enrolled: 16515

    Candidate Party Votes %

    First Count

    Cooper ALP 4331 32.63

    Ginn* IND 4257 32.07

    Weldrick GRN 1055 7.95

    Zucco IND 3257 24.54

    Final Count

    Cooper ALP 6251 48.46

    Ginn * IND 6649 51.54

    Formal 13273 97.27

      Informal 373 2.73

    Total 13646 82.63

    Launceston (28.5.94) Enrolled: 18857

    Candidate Party Votes %

    First Count

    Fry IND 2730 17.33

    Tsinoglou IND 5268 33.44

    Wing * IND 7408 47.03

    Final Count

    Tsinoglou IND 6618 42.96

    Wing* IND 8788 57.04 Formal 15753 97.84

      Informal 347 2.16

    Total 16100 85.38

    Hobart (28.5.94) Enrolled: 16356

    Candidate Party Votes %

    First Count

    Briscoe IND 2753 22.41

    Moore IND 3456 28.14

    Parkinson * ALP 3349 27.27

    Petrusma IND 2288 18.63

    Final Count

    Moore IND 5649 47.69

    Parkinson* ALP 6197 52.31

    Formal 12283 96.56

      Informal 437 3.44

    Total 12720 77.77

    Pembroke (27.5.95) Enrolled: 21610

    Candidate Party Votes %

    First Count

    Allen IND 4189 21.60

    James AD 6329 32.64

    McKay* LP 8875 45.76

    Final Count

    James AD 9190 47.39

    McKay* LP 10203 52.61

    Formal 19393 97.16

      Informal 566 2.84

    Total 19959 92.36

    West Devon (27.5.95) Enrolled: 17435

    Candidate Party Votes %

    First Count

    French IND 3889 24.60

    Gibbs IND 945 5.98

    Hiscutt* IND 4510 28.52

    Kons IND 3330 21.06

    Messieh IND 3138 19.85

    Final Count

    French IND 7116 45.22

    Hiscutt* IND 8620 54.78

    Exhausted 76

    Formal 15812 96.60

      Informal 556 3.40

    Total 16368 93.88

    Derwent (27.5.95) Enrolled: 16099

    Candidate Party Votes %

    First Count

    Aird* ALP 7269 51.07

    Bromfield IND 2688 18.89

    Cornelius IND 421 2.96

    Forster IND 1764 12.39

    Jeffries IND 949 6.67

    White IND 1142 8.02

    Formal 14233 95.12

      Informal 730 4.88

    Total 14963 92.94

    Tamar (27.5.95) Enrolled: 16491

    Candidate Party Votes %

    First Count

    Edwards IND 3301 23.55

    Loone* IND 10413 74.28

    Formal 14019 95.23

      Informal 702 4.77

    Total 14721 89.27

    Queenborough (27.5.95) Enrolled: 14563

    Candidate Party Votes %

    First Count

    Bates GRN 2802 22.39

    Cameron-Tucker IND 1089 8.70

    Donnelly IND 538 4.30

    Goodluck IND 2256 18.02

    Hopson IND 152 1.21

    Poe IND 352 2.81

    Ruzicka IND 445 3.56

    Stops IND 713 5.70

    Wilkinson* IND 4169 33.31


    Final Count

    Goodluck IND 4908 41.44

    Wilkinson* IND 6937 58.56

    Exhausted 671

    Formal 12516 97.46

      Informal 326 2.54

    Total 12842 88.18

    Table 6 HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS1950 TO 1996

    Election ALP LP NP AD GRN DLP Others Total 

    Percentage of Vote

    1950 48.6 47.6 3.8 100.0

    1955 52.6 45.4 2.0 100.0

    1956 50.3 43.6 3.5 2.7 100.0

    1959 44.5 41.1 5.4 9.1 100.0

    1964 51.3 38.5 2.4 7.8 100.0

    1969 47.7 44.0 1.7 6.6 100.0

    1972 54.9 38.4 6.7 100.0

    1976 52.5 44.5 3.0 100.0

    1979 54.3 41.3 2.9 1.5 100.0

    1982 36.9 48.5 5.4 9.2 100.0

    1986 35.1 54.2 2.1 5.6 3.1 100.0

    1989 34.7 46.9 0.9 17.1 0.3 100.0

    1992 28.9 54.1 13.2 3.8 100.0

    1996 40.5 41.2 2.2 0.7 11.1 4.3 100.0


    Seats Won

    1950 15 14 1 30

    1955 15 15 30

    1956 15 15 30

    1959 17 16 2 35

    1964 19 16 35

    1969 17 17 1 35

    1972 21 14 35

    1976 18 17 35

    1979 20 15 35

    1982 14 19 1 1 35

    1986 14 19 2 35

    1989 13 17 5 35

    1992 11 19 5 35

    1996 14 16 4 35

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