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Index

Background Paper 2 1996-97
Major Graphs of the Australian Economy

Tony Kryger
Statistics Group

Contents

Introduction

Labour and Prices - Comments

  • 1.1 Full-time Employed Persons

  • 1.2 Part-time Employed Persons

  • 1.3 Unemployment Rate

  • 1.4 Underemployment Rate

  • 1.5 Youth Full-Time Unemployment to Population Ratio

  • 1.6 Long-Term Unemployed

  • 1.7 Male Labour Force Participation Rate

  • 1.8 Female Labour Force Participation Rate

  • 1.9 Employees Working Overtime

  • 1.10 Industrial Disputes

  • 1.11 Male Real Average Weekly Earnings

  • 1.12 Female Real Average Weekly Earnings

  • 1.13 Headline Rate of Inflation

  • 1.14 Underlying Rate of Inflation
  • Finance and Government - Comments

  • 2.1 Prime Interest Rate

  • 2.2 Real Prime Interest Rate

  • 2.3 Banks' Housing Interest Rate

  • 2.4 Banks' Real Housing Interest Rate

  • 2.5 Home Loan Affordability Indicator

  • 2.6 Stock Exchange-All Ordinaries Index

  • 2.7 Commonwealth Government Budget-Headline Balance

  • 2.8 Commonwealth Government Budget-Underlying Balance
  • National Accounts - Comments

  • 3.1 Economic Growth

  • 3.2 Gross Domestic Product Per Capita

  • 3.3 Gross Domestic Product Per Hour Worked

  • 3.4 Business Investment

  • 3.5 National Saving

  • 3.6 Household Savings Ratio

  • 3.7 Stocks to Sales Ratio
  • External Transactions - Comments

  • 4.1 Import to Sales Ratio

  • 4.2 Exports of Elaborately Transformed Manufactures

  • 4.3 Current Account Deficit

  • 4.4 Terms of Trade

  • 4.5 Exchange Rates

  • 4.6 International Competitiveness

  • 4.7 Net Foreign Debt

  • 4.8 Debt Servicing Ratio
  • Introduction

    This paper provides a graphical representation and supporting tables of commonly used Australian economic performance indicators covering the past 20 years. The graphs have been constructed so that a movement up or down can be interpreted as either an improvement or deterioration (not necessarily in that respective order) in some aspect of the economy's performance.

    In constructing the graphs therefore, it has been necessary to ensure that they do not reflect influences unrelated to the state of the economy. For example, this paper does not plot changes in the number of unemployed persons as this is a function of both changing population size and the condition of the labour market. Rather, the paper plots the unemployment rate which is a function solely of the state of the labour market. Similarly, Australia's foreign debt level might reasonably be expected to increase as the economy grows. To show therefore whether foreign debt has increased relative to the size of the economy, foreign debt is expressed as a percentage of gross domestic product. As a further example, one of the major factors contributing to wage growth over time is inflation. To determine whether wages have actually increased, wages need to be expressed in real dollars, i.e. discounted for the effects of inflation.

    Throughout this paper therefore, data are shown either as percentages, ratios, index numbers or (when dealing with money amounts) real dollars.


    NOTE: The data and graphs on the following pages are also available in EXCEL format by contacting Tony Kryger of the Statistics Group on (06) 277 2486.

    1. Labour and Prices - Comments

    1.1 Full-time Employed Persons

    The percentage of the population that is employed full-time has fallen significantly from over 48 per cent in the mid 1970s and early 1980s to around 44 per cent today. This fall has occurred in two stages, coinciding with the 1982-83 and 1990-91 recessions. Although the percentage of the population employed full-time has recovered somewhat after each recession, it has failed on each occasion to return to its pre-recession level.

    1.2 Part-time Employed Persons

    At the same time as the percentage of the population employed full-time has fallen, the percentage of the population employed part-time has risen sharply from around 9 per cent in the late 1970s to almost 15 per cent today. Unlike the situation prevailing for full-timers, the percentage of the population employed part-time has risen almost continuously since 1978.

    1.3 Unemployment Rate

    Over the past 20 years Australia's unemployment rate has risen episodically to ever higher levels- successive peaks in the unemployment rate have gone from 6.7 per cent in February 1978 to 10.4 per cent in September 1983 to 11.2 per cent in December 1992. While the unemployment rate is now around 8 per cent, it is still considerably above the low of 5.8 per cent recorded in November 1990, prior to the last recession.

    1.4 Underemployment Rate

    In addition to the unemployed, the underemployed represent another form of excess labour capacity. The underemployed are defined as part-time employed persons who would prefer to work more hours plus persons usually employed full-time who worked less than 35 hours a week for economic reasons (i.e. stood down, on short time, insufficient work etc). The underemployment rate expresses the number of underemployed persons as a percentage of the labour force. The most significant rise in the underemployment rate occurred between February 1990 and September 1993 when the rate climbed from 4.0 to 7.2 per cent. The underemployment rate has since fallen, but only slightly, in contrast with the significant fall in the unemployment rate over the same period.

    1.5 Youth Full-Time Unemployment to Population Ratio

    After rising for several months, the number of youth (15-19 year olds) looking for full-time work as a proportion of the youth population peaked at 12.8 per cent in September 1983. It then fell to around 5½ per cent in the late 1980s, rising again to 10.1 per cent in July 1992. By the mid 1990s the rate had fallen again to around 7 per cent.

    1.6 Long-term Unemployed

    The long-term unemployed are defined as those persons who have been unemployed for one year or more. The sense in which Australia has an unemployment crisis is often seen in relation to the size of the long-term unemployment pool. In 1995-96, the long-term unemployed accounted for around 30 per cent of the total unemployed, twice the proportion that it was in 1977-78.

    1.7 Male Labour Force Participation Rate

    The male labour force participation rate measures the number of males in the labour force as a percentage of the male population aged 15 years or more. It has been in steady decline for the past 20 years, falling from just over 80 per cent in 1976 to around 74 per cent today.

    1.8 Female Labour Force Participation Rate

    At the same time as the male labour force participation rate has fallen, the female participation rate has risen substantially during the past 20 years. Well over half the female population (aged 15 years and over) are now in the labour force.

    1.9 Employees Working Overtime

    The percentage of employees working overtime provides an indication of the likely future demand for labour. That is, employers are likely to increase or decrease the amount of overtime being worked before they hire or lay off workers. The percentage of employees working overtime fell sharply in the period immediately before and during the 1990-91 recession. It rose again for two years after the recession but has since recorded another steep fall.

    1.10 Industrial Disputes

    Industrial disputes have fallen sharply during the past two decades, from around 600 days lost per thousand employees during the late 1970s and early 1980s to below 300 days lost for all of the years following. Days lost per thousand employees in 1993-94 and 1994-95 have numbered less than 100.

    1.11 Male Real Average Weekly Earnings

    Male real average weekly earnings measures the level of ordinary time (i.e. excluding overtime) earnings of full-time employed adult males after adjustment for the effects of inflation as measured by the Consumer Price Index. All earnings figures have been converted to June 1996 dollar amounts. Thus male real earnings rose from $677 in (June quarter) 1982 to $695 in 1985, falling to $662 in 1990 and rising again to $714 in 1996.

    1.12 Female Real Average Weekly Earnings

    Female real average weekly earnings (i.e. ordinary time earnings of full-time employed adult females after adjustment for the effects of inflation) have consistently been lower than the corresponding figure for males. Real earnings however, have risen faster for females than for males-up 12.0 per cent in the period September quarter 1981 to June quarter 1996, compared with an increase of 9.6 per cent for males.

    1.13 Headline Rate of Inflation

    The headline rate of inflation is derived from the Consumer Price Index and measures the annual percentage movement in the All Groups, weighted average of the eight capital cities index. 'All Groups' refers to the 8 expenditure groups (food; clothing; housing; household equipment and operation; transportation; tobacco and alcoholic drinks; health and personal care; and recreation and education) which make up the basket of goods and services purchased by capital city employee households. The annual headline rate of inflation has fallen in stages from around 14 per cent in the mid 1970s to below 5 per cent for most of the 1990s.

    1.14 Underlying Rate of Inflation

    The headline rate of inflation is not always the most appropriate measure of price change because it is subject to one-off increases (e.g. government charges) and shocks (e.g. droughts affecting the prices of food products). To obviate these influences an underlying rate of inflation has been devised which is equal to the headline rate minus the following items: fresh fruit and vegetables, mortgage interest charges, automotive fuel, consumer credit charges, government-owned dwelling rents, fuel and light, local government rents and charges, postal and telephone services and urban transport fares. The underlying rate can be either greater than or less than the headline rate. Over time the underlying rate tends to be 'smoother' than the headline rate.

    1.1 Full-time Employed Persons

    Percentage of population aged 15 years and over

    Click here for graph

              Jul   Aug   Sep    Oct    Nov   Dec   Jan   Feb   Mar   Apr     May   Jun 
    
    1976-77    ..     ..    ..    ..    ..     ..    ..    ..     ..    ..    ..     .. 
                                                                                        
    
    1977-78    ..     ..    ..    ..    ..     ..    ..  48.4   48.5  48.8  48.6   48.4 
                                                                                        
    
    1978-79  48.3   48.2  48.0  48.2  48.1   48.1  48.2  48.1   48.0  48.0  47.8   48.1 
                                                                                        
    
    1979-80  48.0   48.1  48.0  48.1  48.3   48.2  48.2  48.4   48.4  48.2  48.7   48.4 
                                                                                        
    
    1980-81  48.5   48.5  48.4  48.3  48.2   48.4  48.4  48.4   48.2  48.6  48.3   48.4 
                                                                                        
    
    1981-82  48.3   48.3  48.4  48.1  48.0   48.2  48.2  48.0   47.8  47.5  47.5   47.3 
                                                                                        
    
    1982-83  47.1   46.9  46.7  46.4  46.1   45.4  45.2  45.1   44.8  44.9  44.9   44.9 
                                                                                        
    
    1983-84  44.9   44.9  45.3  45.1  45.2   45.2  45.0  45.1   45.5  45.4  45.5   45.6 
                                                                                        
    
    1984-85  45.5   45.5  45.4  45.4  45.5   45.6  45.6  45.6   45.6  45.3  45.6   45.6 
                                                                                        
    
    1985-86  45.7   45.9  46.1  45.8  46.3   46.2  46.5  46.5   46.3  46.4  46.3   46.5 
                                                                                        
    
    1986-87  46.0   46.1  46.1  46.1  46.0   45.8  45.8  45.8   45.8  45.8  45.7   45.8 
                                                                                        
    
    1987-88  46.1   45.7  45.7  45.8  45.4   45.9  46.2  46.2   46.4  46.4  46.2   46.3 
                                                                                        
    
    1988-89  46.3   46.4  46.5  46.8  46.6   46.6  46.6  46.8   46.9  47.2  47.2   47.2 
                                                                                        
    
    1989-90  47.1   47.2  47.1  47.2  47.4   47.1  47.0  47.1   47.1  47.0  47.1   47.1 
                                                                                        
    
    1990-91  47.1   46.8  46.7  46.2  46.1   45.9  45.7  45.2   44.8  44.7  44.5   44.3 
                                                                                        
    
    1991-92  43.7   44.4  44.0  44.1  43.5   43.6  43.6  43.4   43.2  43.1  42.8   42.6 
                                                                                        
    
    1992-93  42.8   42.7  42.6  42.5  42.5   42.5  42.7  42.6   42.8  42.6  42.6   42.8 
                                                                                        
    
    1993-94  42.5   42.5  42.5  42.8  42.8   42.9  42.8  42.9   42.8  42.9  43.0   43.1 
                                                                                        
    
    1994-95  43.3   43.2  43.6  43.3  43.5   43.4  43.4  43.8   43.6  44.1  44.0   44.1 
                                                                                        
    
    1995-96  44.1   44.2  44.2  43.9  44.2   44.1  44.1  44.0   43.7  43.8  43.8   43.6 
                                                                                        
    
    

    .. Data not available
    Note: Figures are seasonally adjusted.
    Source: The Labour Force, ABS (6203.0)

    1.2 Part-time Employed Persons

    Percentage of population aged 15 years and over

    Click here for graph

             Jul   Aug   Sep    Oct   Nov    Dec    Jan    Feb   Mar  Apr     May   Jun 
    
    1976-77    ..     ..    ..    ..    ..      ..     ..     ..     ..   ..     ..   .. 
                                                                                         
    
    1977-78    ..     ..    ..    ..    ..      ..     ..    8.8    8.7  8.7    8.7  8.8 
                                                                                         
    
    1978-79   8.8    8.9   8.6   8.8   8.7     8.8    8.7    8.8    8.7  8.9    8.9  8.8 
                                                                                         
    
    1979-80   8.8    8.8   8.9   9.0   9.0     9.0    9.1    9.0    9.0  9.0    8.9  9.1 
                                                                                         
    
    1980-81   9.3    9.3   9.3   9.2   9.4     9.3    9.2    9.3    9.4  9.3    9.4  9.4 
                                                                                         
    
    1981-82   9.3    9.3   9.4   9.3   9.2     9.1    9.2    9.2    9.2  9.3    9.2  9.2 
                                                                                         
    
    1982-83   9.3    9.5   9.4   9.6   9.4     9.6    9.6    9.6    9.5  9.3    9.3  9.4 
                                                                                         
    
    1983-84   9.3    9.3   9.1   9.2   9.4     9.5    9.5    9.5    9.6  9.7    9.7  9.7 
                                                                                         
    
    1984-85   9.8    9.7  10.0   9.8   9.7     9.7    9.7    9.9    9.7  9.8   10.0 10.0 
                                                                                         
    
    1985-86  10.0   10.0  10.2  10.2  10.4    10.2   10.2   10.2   10.4 10.9   10.7 10.8 
                                                                                         
    
    1986-87  10.9   10.6  10.8  10.8  10.8    11.0   10.9   11.0   11.1 11.1   11.1 11.2 
                                                                                         
    
    1987-88  11.1   11.3  11.2  11.2  11.3    11.3   11.4   11.3   11.5 11.4   11.4 11.5 
                                                                                         
    
    1988-89  11.4   11.5  11.6  11.4  11.6    11.7   11.9   11.9   11.8 11.9   12.2 12.0 
                                                                                         
    
    1989-90  12.2   12.4  12.5  12.4  12.4    12.5   12.5   12.5   12.5 12.6   12.6 12.6 
                                                                                         
    
    1990-91  12.6   12.5  12.4  12.6  12.6    12.7   12.4   12.8   12.8 12.9   12.8 12.8 
                                                                                         
    
    1991-92  12.6   12.7  12.8  12.4  13.0    12.9   12.9   13.1   13.2 13.3   13.2 13.4 
                                                                                         
    
    1992-93  13.5   13.6  13.3  13.4  13.1    13.0   13.2   12.8   13.0 12.8   12.9 12.9 
                                                                                         
    
    1993-94  13.0   13.1  13.3  13.3  13.4    13.3   13.5   13.4   13.5 13.5   13.6 13.5 
                                                                                         
    
    1994-95  13.8   13.7  13.7  13.9  13.8    14.2   14.3   14.2   14.3 14.4   14.3 14.4 
                                                                                         
    
    1995-96  14.3   14.3  14.1  14.2  14.5    14.5   14.3   14.5   14.3 14.2   14.4 14.5 
                                                                                         
    

    .. Data not available
    Note: Figures are seasonally adjusted.
    Source: The Labour Force, ABS (6203.0)

    1.3 Unemployment Rate

    Unemployed persons as a percentage of the labour force

    Click here for graph

              Jul    Aug   Sep   Oct   Nov    Dec   Jan   Feb    Mar   Apr   May    Jun 
    
    1976-77    ..    4.8    ..    ..   4.9     ..    ..   5.2     ..    ..   5.6     .. 
                                                                                        
    
    1977-78    ..    5.8    ..    ..   5.9     ..    ..   6.7    6.4   6.3   6.2    6.3 
                                                                                        
    
    1978-79   6.2    6.5   6.2   6.2   6.4    6.4   6.4   6.3    6.4   6.5   6.2    6.3 
                                                                                        
    
    1979-80   6.3    6.1   6.3   6.4   6.1    6.1   6.2   6.0    6.0   6.2   6.3    6.4 
                                                                                        
    
    1980-81   6.1    6.2   6.2   6.1   5.9    6.1   5.9   5.7    5.8   5.6   5.6    5.4 
                                                                                        
    
    1981-82   5.9    5.8   5.8   5.9   6.0    6.0   6.0   6.4    6.3   6.4   6.6    6.8 
                                                                                        
    
    1982-83   6.9    7.0   7.5   8.3   8.7    9.4   9.3   9.7   10.0  10.1  10.3   10.2 
                                                                                        
    
    1983-84  10.3   10.2  10.4  10.0   9.7    9.5   9.5   9.4    9.2   9.4   8.9    9.1 
                                                                                        
    
    1984-85   8.7    8.8   8.7   8.7   8.7    8.5   8.6   8.4    8.7   8.4   8.4    8.6 
                                                                                        
    
    1985-86   8.1    8.2   8.1   7.9   8.0    7.8   7.8   8.1    8.0   7.9   7.9    7.7 
                                                                                        
    
    1986-87   8.2    8.3   8.4   8.3   8.3    8.4   8.2   8.3    8.5   8.3   8.2    8.1 
                                                                                        
    
    1987-88   8.2    8.1   7.8   8.1   8.0    7.7   7.6   7.4    7.6   7.9   7.4    7.4 
                                                                                        
    
    1988-89   6.8    7.1   7.0   6.8   6.6    6.8   6.8   6.7    6.3   6.2   6.2    6.1 
                                                                                        
    
    1989-90   6.1    6.0   6.1   5.9   5.8    5.8   6.1   6.4    6.2   6.3   6.5    6.7 
                                                                                        
    
    1990-91   7.0    7.2   7.4   7.7   8.0    8.0   8.3   8.6    9.2   9.9   9.5    9.4 
                                                                                        
    
    1991-92   9.8    9.8  10.1  10.1  10.2   10.4  10.3  10.5   10.5  10.6  10.8   11.0 
                                                                                        
    
    1992-93  11.1   10.9  10.8  11.1  11.0   11.2  10.9  11.0   10.9  10.9  10.9   11.0 
                                                                                        
    
    1993-94  10.8   11.1  10.8  11.0  10.8   10.6  10.4  10.4   10.4  10.2   9.9    9.9 
                                                                                        
    
    1994-95   9.6    9.5   9.4   9.0   9.1    9.0   8.9   8.9    8.7   8.4   8.5    8.3 
                                                                                        
    
    1995-96   8.3    8.4   8.5   8.6   8.5    8.1   8.5   8.4    8.5   8.9   8.5    8.3 
                                                                                        
    

    .. Data not available
    Note: Figures are seasonally adjusted.
    Source: The Labour Force, ABS (6203.0)

    1.4 Underemployment* Rate

    Underemployed persons as a percentage of the labour force

    Click here for graph

              Jul   Aug    Sep   Oct   Nov    Dec   Jan   Feb    Mar   Apr   May   Jun 
    
    1976-77    ..    ..     ..    ..    ..     ..    ..    ..     ..    ..    ..    .. 
                                                                                       
    
    1977-78    ..    ..     ..    ..    ..     ..    ..   2.6    2.4   2.6   2.6   2.7 
                                                                                       
    
    1978-79   2.7   2.7    2.7   2.6   2.5    2.5   2.6   2.6    2.5   2.9   2.8   2.8 
                                                                                       
    
    1979-80   2.7   2.6    2.7   2.7   2.8    2.9   2.9   2.9    2.9   2.8   2.8   2.9 
                                                                                       
    
    1980-81   2.9   3.0    3.0   2.9   2.9    2.8   2.8   2.8    2.8   2.8   2.8   2.7 
                                                                                       
    
    1981-82   2.9   2.7    2.7   2.8   2.8    2.9   2.9   2.9    2.9   3.0   3.1   3.1 
                                                                                       
    
    1982-83   3.3   3.5    3.4   3.9   4.1    4.0   3.7   3.9    4.0   3.8   4.1   4.1 
                                                                                       
    
    1983-84   4.0   3.9    3.8   3.6   3.6    3.4   3.5   3.6    3.6   3.7   3.6   3.5 
                                                                                       
    
    1984-85   3.6   3.5    3.5   3.5   3.4    3.3   3.5   3.5    3.3   3.2   3.1   3.1 
                                                                                       
    
    1985-86   3.2   3.3    3.2   3.3   3.3    3.1   3.2   3.4    3.5   3.7   3.6   3.7 
                                                                                       
    
    1986-87   3.7   3.7    3.7   3.6   3.8    3.9   3.8   3.8    3.9   3.9   4.0   4.0 
                                                                                       
    
    1987-88   4.0   4.1    4.0   4.0   4.0    4.0   4.0   4.0    3.8   3.8   3.3   3.9 
                                                                                       
    
    1988-89   3.7   3.6    3.7   3.8   3.7    4.0   3.8   3.9    3.8   3.7   3.8   3.6 
                                                                                       
    
    1989-90   3.9   4.0    4.2   3.9   4.0    4.1   4.2   4.0    4.2   4.2   4.2   4.3 
                                                                                       
    
    1990-91   4.4   4.5    4.8   4.9   5.1    5.3   5.3   5.6    5.8   5.9   5.4   6.2 
                                                                                       
    
    1991-92   6.3   6.1    6.1   6.1   6.3    6.3   6.5   6.7    6.6   6.9   6.9   6.9 
                                                                                       
    
    1992-93   7.0   7.1    7.2   7.1   7.1    6.9   7.0   6.9    7.0   6.9   6.9   6.9 
                                                                                       
    
    1993-94   6.9   6.9    7.2   7.0   6.7    6.8   6.8   6.6    6.7   6.5   6.7   6.5 
                                                                                       
    
    1994-95   6.5   6.4    5.8   6.5   6.5    6.6   6.5   6.5    6.5   6.6   6.4   6.5 
                                                                                       
    
    1995-96   6.7   6.7    6.5   6.6   6.6    6.7   6.5   6.7    6.6   6.6   6.7   6.8 
                                                                                       
    

    Part-time employed persons who would prefer to work more hours plus full-time employed persons who worked less than 35 hours in the survey week for economic reasons (i.e. stood down, on short-time, insufficient work, etc).
    .. Data not available BR> Note: Figures are seasonally adjusted.
    Source: The Labour Force, ABS (6203.0)

    1.5 Youth* Full-Time Unemployment to Population Ratio

    Youth looking for full-time work as a percentage of the youth population

    Click here for graph

              Jul    Aug   Sep   Oct   Nov    Dec   Jan   Feb    Mar   Apr   May    Jun 
    
    1976-77    ..     ..    ..    ..    ..     ..    ..    ..     ..    ..    ..     .. 
                                                                                        
    
    1977-78    ..     ..    ..    ..    ..     ..    ..   9.9    9.3   8.9   8.5    8.7 
                                                                                        
    
    1978-79   8.9    9.2   8.8   8.5   8.9    9.8   9.5   9.3    9.8  10.3   9.3    9.6 
                                                                                        
    
    1979-80   9.5    9.7   9.7   9.7   9.2    9.1   9.0   9.0    8.7   9.2   9.6    9.6 
                                                                                        
    
    1980-81   9.1    9.6   9.7   9.5   9.2    9.1   8.7   8.4    8.3   8.0   7.8    7.5 
                                                                                        
    
    1981-82   8.3    7.9   8.0   8.1   8.4    8.6   8.8   9.0    8.7   8.9   9.3    9.2 
                                                                                        
    
    1982-83   9.3    9.1   9.5  10.1  11.1   11.2  11.4  11.9   12.4  12.4  12.3   12.1 
                                                                                        
    
    1983-84  12.5   12.3  12.8  12.4  11.7   11.7  11.3  11.6   11.4  11.4  10.8   11.1 
                                                                                        
    
    1984-85  10.7   11.2  10.4  10.2  11.0    9.8  10.1  10.0   10.5   9.4   9.2    9.8 
                                                                                        
    
    1985-86   9.3    9.2   9.4   8.8   9.0    8.8   9.3   9.1    9.3   9.4   9.2    9.0 
                                                                                        
    
    1986-87   9.3    9.1   9.0   9.3   9.0    9.0   8.6   9.6    9.4   9.3   8.8    9.1 
                                                                                        
    
    1987-88   8.8    8.5   7.9   8.5   8.2    8.1   7.9   7.4    7.6   7.5   7.4    7.3 
                                                                                        
    
    1988-89   6.6    6.8   6.7   6.5   6.4    6.5   6.4   6.7    5.8   5.6   5.6    5.6 
                                                                                        
    
    1989-90   5.5    5.6   5.9   5.7   5.3    5.6   5.9   5.7    5.9   6.2   6.4    6.5 
                                                                                        
    
    1990-91   6.8    7.1   7.3   7.2   8.0    8.2   7.6   7.4    8.0   8.3   8.5    8.2 
                                                                                        
    
    1991-92   8.5    8.5   8.7   8.9   9.0    9.0   9.2   9.3    9.5   9.1   9.8   10.0 
                                                                                        
    
    1992-93  10.1    9.7   8.9   9.1   9.2    8.6   8.9   9.1    8.5   8.8   8.4    8.8 
                                                                                        
    
    1993-94   8.2    8.6   8.7   8.7   8.4    8.7   8.6   8.8    9.1   8.7   8.4    8.4 
                                                                                        
    
    1994-95   7.5    7.5   7.6   7.5   7.4    7.5   7.3   7.4    7.2   7.0   7.8    7.4 
                                                                                        
    
    1995-96   7.2    7.3   7.1   7.5   8.0    7.1   7.4   6.9    7.3   7.4   7.3    7.1 
                                                                                        
    

    * 15-19 year olds.
    .. Data not available
    Note: Figures are seasonally adjusted.
    Source: The Labour Force, ABS (6203.0)

    1.6 Long-term Unemployed

    Persons unemployed 52 weeks or more as a percentage of the total unemployed

    Click here for graph

              Jul    Aug   Sep   Oct   Nov    Dec   Jan   Feb    Mar   Apr   May    Jun 
    
    1976-77    ..     ..    ..    ..    ..     ..    ..    ..     ..    ..    ..     .. 
                                                                                        
    
    1977-78    ..     ..    ..    ..    ..     ..    ..  11.9   11.6  13.7  14.0   14.5 
                                                                                        
    
    1978-79  15.1   15.1  15.9  15.8  15.6   16.0  15.6  16.6   17.9  17.7  19.2   18.9 
                                                                                        
    
    1979-80  19.6   17.6  18.0  18.5  18.8   19.0  19.1  19.4   19.8  18.8  18.2   17.6 
                                                                                        
    
    1980-81  18.6   19.3  19.0  19.9  20.6   19.6  20.7  20.2   19.8  18.6  19.4   19.7 
                                                                                        
    
    1981-82  19.1   20.4  20.1  18.8  19.3   17.9  18.8  18.8   19.6  19.7  19.1   18.1 
                                                                                        
    
    1982-83  18.8   18.5  19.0  17.8  18.0   18.5  19.8  19.4   22.0  22.7  22.9   24.6 
                                                                                        
    
    1983-84  25.3   27.1  28.0  29.3  29.7   31.3  31.6  32.0   31.5  29.5  31.2   30.7 
                                                                                        
    
    1984-85  32.5   30.7  30.3  30.3  29.9   31.6  29.7  31.3   31.1  31.4  32.2   31.3 
                                                                                        
    
    1985-86  30.9   30.3  30.8  31.3  29.2   29.5  29.4  27.7   27.7  28.0  26.4   27.9 
                                                                                        
    
    1986-87  26.5   26.9  27.1  27.4  28.8   27.6  29.0  28.6   27.1  27.9  28.9   27.8 
                                                                                        
    
    1987-88  28.3   28.1  28.1  27.0  27.5   28.0  27.0  27.2   27.6  26.3  28.2   28.6 
                                                                                        
    
    1988-89  29.5   28.0  28.5  29.1  27.4   27.3  26.4  26.3   26.3  25.6  26.5   25.4 
                                                                                        
    
    1989-90  23.9   22.6  23.6  23.6  23.9   22.6  22.8  21.2   22.8  22.5  21.3   21.4 
                                                                                        
    
    1990-91  21.4   21.3  20.2  19.8  19.6   19.7  21.0  21.2   21.3  21.0  22.1   23.2 
                                                                                        
    
    1991-92  23.1   24.7  25.5  26.0  26.8   28.1  30.2  31.6   32.0  33.2  31.5   32.7 
                                                                                        
    
    1992-93  34.8   34.2  35.6  34.2  35.4   35.7  36.4  35.1   36.7  35.9  38.1   36.8 
                                                                                        
    
    1993-94  36.6   36.4  37.5  36.3  37.2   37.4  37.3  37.0   36.4  35.8  35.4   35.5 
                                                                                        
    
    1994-95  35.4   36.3  35.8  36.7  35.3   35.6  35.3  33.9   31.8  32.8  31.6   32.9 
                                                                                        
    
    1995-96  32.1   30.8  31.0  31.8  29.8   30.4  31.2  29.3   28.0  27.5  26.2   27.1 
                                                                                        
    

    .. Data not available
    Note: Figures are seasonally adjusted.
    Source: The Labour Force, ABS (6203.0)

    1.7 Male Labour Force Participation Rate

    Male labour force as a percentage of the male population aged 15 years and over

    Click here for graph

              Jul    Aug   Sep   Oct   Nov    Dec   Jan   Feb    Mar   Apr   May    Jun 
    
    1976-77    ..   80.4    ..    ..  80.5     ..    ..  80.3     ..    ..  80.4     .. 
                                                                                        
    
    1977-78    ..   80.2    ..    ..  79.7     ..    ..  79.5   79.2  79.3  79.0   79.1 
                                                                                        
    
    1978-79  78.7   78.8  78.1  78.5  78.6   78.6  78.6  78.5   78.4  78.7  78.4   78.5 
                                                                                        
    
    1979-80  78.3   78.4  78.4  78.4  78.4   78.4  78.5  78.3   78.1  78.0  78.7   78.4 
                                                                                        
    
    1980-81  78.3   78.5  78.3  78.2  78.2   78.6  78.4  78.3   78.3  78.3  78.2   78.0 
                                                                                        
    
    1981-82  78.1   78.1  78.1  77.6  77.6   77.5  77.7  77.8   77.5  77.3  77.4   77.3 
                                                                                        
    
    1982-83  77.2   77.2  77.4  77.7  77.5   77.3  77.0  77.1   76.7  76.9  76.8   76.8 
                                                                                        
    
    1983-84  76.7   76.5  76.8  76.4  76.4   76.6  76.4  76.4   76.7  76.6  76.5   76.6 
                                                                                        
    
    1984-85  76.4   76.3  76.0  75.9  75.8   75.6  75.8  75.8   75.7  75.4  75.8   75.9 
                                                                                        
    
    1985-86  75.5   76.0  76.1  75.4  76.2   75.5  76.1  75.9   75.9  76.2  75.8   76.1 
                                                                                        
    
    1986-87  75.7   75.9  75.9  75.7  75.5   75.8  75.5  75.4   75.7  75.5  75.4   75.5 
                                                                                        
    
    1987-88  75.8   75.5  74.9  75.1  74.7   75.2  75.5  75.1   75.6  75.9  75.1   75.3 
                                                                                        
    
    1988-89  74.9   74.9  75.1  75.1  75.0   75.1  75.1  75.5   75.1  75.5  75.6   75.3 
                                                                                        
    
    1989-90  75.5   75.6  75.6  75.4  75.7   75.2  75.4  75.4   75.4  75.7  75.7   75.7 
                                                                                        
    
    1990-91  75.9   75.6  75.8  75.6  75.7   75.4  75.2  75.2   75.1  75.4  74.8   74.5 
                                                                                        
    
    1991-92  73.9   74.7  74.6  74.4  74.5   74.4  74.3  74.5   74.4  74.3  74.2   74.4 
                                                                                        
    
    1992-93  74.7   74.4  73.9  74.2  73.8   73.7  74.0  73.4   73.7  73.4  73.6   73.9 
                                                                                        
    
    1993-94  73.6   73.6  73.6  73.8  73.9   73.7  73.7  73.6   73.7  73.6  73.4   73.6 
                                                                                        
    
    1994-95  73.7   73.6  73.7  73.5  73.8   73.7  73.8  74.3   73.8  74.1  73.9   73.8 
                                                                                        
    
    1995-96  73.8   73.9  74.1  73.7  74.3   73.9  74.0  74.1   73.6  73.8  73.7   73.5 
                                                                                        
    

    .. Data not available
    Note: Figures are seasonally adjusted.
    Source: The Labour Force, ABS (6203.0)

    1.8 Female Labour Force Participation Rate

    Female labour force as a percentage of the female population aged 15 years and over

    Click here for graph

              Jul    Aug   Sep   Oct   Nov    Dec   Jan   Feb    Mar   Apr   May    Jun 
    
    1976-77    ..   43.4    ..    ..  43.1     ..    ..  44.0     ..    ..  44.4     .. 
                                                                                        
    
    1977-78    ..   44.5    ..    ..  43.8     ..    ..  43.5   43.4  43.8  43.7   43.7 
                                                                                        
    
    1978-79  43.7   44.0  43.1  43.4  43.4   43.7  43.5  43.5   43.3  43.5  43.0   43.4 
                                                                                        
    
    1979-80  43.4   43.3  43.6  44.1  44.2   44.1  44.2  44.4   44.6  44.4  44.7   45.0 
                                                                                        
    
    1980-81  45.2   45.2  45.2  44.7  44.7   44.8  44.6  44.5   44.5  44.9  44.6   44.6 
                                                                                        
    
    1981-82  44.8   44.8  45.2  44.9  44.7   44.8  45.0  44.8   44.8  44.6  44.6   44.5 
                                                                                        
    
    1982-83  44.5   44.5  44.4  45.0  44.6   44.6  44.5  44.7   44.5  44.3  44.7   44.6 
                                                                                        
    
    1983-84  44.8   44.6  45.0  44.8  44.8   44.8  44.7  44.6   45.1  45.6  45.2   45.5 
                                                                                        
    
    1984-85  45.3   45.2  45.7  45.5  45.6   45.6  45.6  46.0   45.9  45.3  46.0   46.2 
                                                                                        
    
    1985-86  46.2   46.4  46.7  46.6  47.3   47.1  47.4  47.7   47.7  48.5  48.3   48.3 
                                                                                        
    
    1986-87  48.7   48.3  48.6  48.9  48.6   48.6  48.5  48.8   49.0  49.0  48.8   48.8 
                                                                                        
    
    1987-88  49.2   49.0  48.7  49.2  48.9   49.3  49.6  49.3   50.0  50.1  49.7   49.8 
                                                                                        
    
    1988-89  49.2   50.0  50.2  50.0  49.9   50.4  50.6  50.8   50.5  50.8  51.3   51.2 
                                                                                        
    
    1989-90  51.2   51.5  51.6  51.6  51.8   51.7  51.7  52.2   52.0  52.1  52.3   52.6 
                                                                                        
    
    1990-91  52.7   52.5  52.1  52.3  52.2   52.3  52.0  52.2   52.0  52.7  52.2   51.9 
                                                                                        
    
    1991-92  51.4   52.2  52.1  51.6  51.7   52.1  52.0  52.1   51.9  52.0  51.7   52.0 
                                                                                        
    
    1992-93  52.2   52.3  51.7  52.0  51.5   51.7  51.8  51.5   51.8  51.2  51.4   51.6 
                                                                                        
    
    1993-94  51.4   51.9  51.9  52.4  52.5   52.4  52.3  52.4   52.3  52.5  52.4   52.3 
                                                                                        
    
    1994-95  52.9   52.5  53.2  52.8  52.8   53.0  53.0  53.4   53.3  53.9  53.8   54.0 
                                                                                        
    
    1995-96  53.9   54.0  53.5  53.8  54.3   54.0  54.0  53.9   53.5  53.7  53.7   53.6 
                                                                                        
    

    .. Data not available
    Note: Figures are seasonally adjusted.
    Source: The Labour Force, ABS (6203.0)

    1.9 Employees Working Overtime

    Percentage of total employees

    Click here for graph

                September       December          March          June  
                  quarter        quarter        quarter       quarter 
    
    1976-77            ..             ..             ..            .. 
                                                                      
    
    1977-78            ..             ..             ..            .. 
                                                                      
    
    1978-79            ..             ..             ..            .. 
                                                                      
    
    1979-80            ..             ..             ..            .. 
                                                                      
    
    1980-81            ..             ..             ..            .. 
                                                                      
    
    1981-82            ..             ..             ..            .. 
                                                                      
    
    1982-83            ..             ..             ..            .. 
                                                                      
    
    1983-84            ..           15.8           16.0          16.6 
                                                                      
    
    1984-85          16.5           16.7           17.5          18.1 
                                                                      
    
    1985-86          18.3           18.0           18.7          18.1 
                                                                      
    
    1986-87          17.9           18.0           17.8          18.1 
                                                                      
    
    1987-88          18.6           19.3           19.2          19.1 
                                                                      
    
    1988-89          18.9           18.8           19.3          19.7 
                                                                      
    
    1989-90          20.1           19.7           19.1          18.8 
                                                                      
    
    1990-91          17.5           17.4           16.8          16.3 
                                                                      
    
    1991-92          15.8           15.8           16.2          15.8 
                                                                      
    
    1992-93          15.9           15.9           16.0          16.2 
                                                                      
    
    1993-94          16.6           16.7           17.3          17.8 
                                                                      
    
    1994-95          18.0           17.6           16.9          16.7 
                                                                      
    
    1995-96          16.0           16.1           16.3          15.7 
                                                                      
    

    .. Data not available
    Note: Figures are seasonally adjusted.
    Source: Job Vacancies and Overtime, ABS (6354.0)

    1.10 Industrial Disputes

    Working days lost per '000 employees

    Click here for graph

                            Annual  
    
        1976-77                  .. 
    
        1977-78                  .. 
    
        1978-79                 718 
    
        1979-80                 653 
    
        1980-81                 553 
    
        1981-82                 692 
    
        1982-83                 297 
    
        1983-84                 245 
    
        1984-85                 242 
    
        1985-86                 256 
    
        1986-87                 194 
    
        1987-88                 282 
    
        1988-89                 206 
    
        1989-90                 185 
    
        1990-91                 238 
    
        1991-92                 182 
    
        1992-93                 159 
    
        1993-94                  82 
    
        1994-95                  86 
    
        1995-96                 nya 
    

    .. Data not available
    nya Not yet available
    Source: Industrial Disputes, ABS (6321.0)

    1.11 Male Real Average Weekly Earnings*

    June 1996 prices - dollars

    Click here for graph

                September       December          March          June  
                  quarter        quarter        quarter       quarter 
    
    1976-77            ..             ..             ..            .. 
                                                                      
    
    1977-78            ..             ..             ..            .. 
                                                                      
    
    1978-79            ..             ..             ..            .. 
                                                                      
    
    1979-80            ..             ..             ..            .. 
                                                                      
    
    1980-81            ..             ..             ..            .. 
                                                                      
    
    1981-82         651.2          652.8          671.1         677.3 
                                                                      
    
    1982-83         683.2          688.0          681.7         673.1 
                                                                      
    
    1983-84         668.4          674.7          691.2         710.7 
                                                                      
    
    1984-85         710.1          709.2          703.0         695.3 
                                                                      
    
    1985-86         688.6          691.4          687.9         685.5 
                                                                      
    
    1986-87         685.5          678.7          668.8         669.1 
                                                                      
    
    1987-88         670.7          669.1          668.8         665.2 
                                                                      
    
    1988-89         661.2          667.6          673.0         667.5 
                                                                      
    
    1989-90         663.3          660.6          659.9         662.2 
                                                                      
    
    1990-91         665.8          665.9          676.8         669.1 
                                                                      
    
    1991-92         673.7          681.6          696.1         697.6 
                                                                      
    
    1992-93         695.2          692.7          691.5         693.7 
                                                                      
    
    1993-94         698.2          698.3          703.9         704.6 
                                                                      
    
    1994-95         703.2          709.2          709.7         709.1 
                                                                      
    
    1995-96         706.0          711.1          712.8         713.9 
                                                                      
    

    Real average weekly ordinary time earnings for full-time employed adult males. Figures have been adjusted by the Consumer Price Index.
    .. Data not available
    Source: Average Weekly Earnings, ABS (6302.0)

    1.12 Female Real Average Weekly Earnings*

    June 1996 prices - dollars

    Click here for graph

                September       December          March          June  
                  quarter        quarter        quarter       quarter 
    
    1976-77            ..             ..             ..            .. 
                                                                      
    
    1977-78            ..             ..             ..            .. 
                                                                      
    
    1978-79            ..             ..             ..            .. 
                                                                      
    
    1979-80            ..             ..             ..            .. 
                                                                      
    
    1980-81            ..             ..             ..            .. 
                                                                      
    
    1981-82         530.2          527.5          533.1         543.8 
                                                                      
    
    1982-83         543.6          549.7          546.3         536.7 
                                                                      
    
    1983-84         531.2          543.9          558.8         580.5 
                                                                      
    
    1984-85         577.3          580.3          577.7         574.8 
                                                                      
    
    1985-86         569.1          569.0          568.1         564.8 
                                                                      
    
    1986-87         561.3          559.5          552.9         555.5 
                                                                      
    
    1987-88         554.6          549.3          553.8         553.9 
                                                                      
    
    1988-89         551.2          555.8          556.2         554.7 
                                                                      
    
    1989-90         548.6          548.9          549.0         549.6 
                                                                      
    
    1990-91         552.4          552.5          565.9         565.7 
                                                                      
    
    1991-92         569.1          573.2          583.3         580.2 
                                                                      
    
    1992-93         578.6          578.1          583.7         584.2 
                                                                      
    
    1993-94         584.1          584.8          593.2         594.8 
                                                                      
    
    1994-95         591.8          595.4          592.5         593.3 
                                                                      
    
    1995-96         590.0          587.1          593.2         593.7 
                                                                      
    

    Real average weekly ordinary time earnings for full-time employed adult females. Figures have been adjusted by the Consumer Price Index.
    .. Data not available
    Source: Average Weekly Earnings, ABS (6302.0)

    1.13 Headline Rate of Inflation*

    Annual percentage change

    Click here for graph

                September       December          March          June  
                  quarter        quarter        quarter       quarter 
    
    1976-77          14.0           14.2           13.9          13.5 
                                                                      
    
    1977-78          12.9            9.3            8.2           8.0 
                                                                      
    
    1978-79           7.9            7.7            8.1           8.7 
                                                                      
    
    1979-80           9.3           10.1           10.7          10.8 
                                                                      
    
    1980-81          10.1            9.2            9.4           8.7 
                                                                      
    
    1981-82           9.0           11.3           10.6          10.8 
                                                                      
    
    1982-83          12.5           11.0           11.4          11.1 
                                                                      
    
    1983-84           9.2            8.6            5.8           4.0 
                                                                      
    
    1984-85           3.4            2.6            4.4           6.6 
                                                                      
    
    1985-86           7.7            8.2            9.3           8.5 
                                                                      
    
    1986-87           8.8            9.8            9.4           9.3 
                                                                      
    
    1987-88           8.2            7.1            6.9           7.1 
                                                                      
    
    1988-89           7.4            7.6            6.8           7.6 
                                                                      
    
    1989-90           8.0            7.8            8.6           7.7 
                                                                      
    
    1990-91           6.1            6.9            4.9           3.4 
                                                                      
    
    1991-92           3.2            1.5            1.7           1.2 
                                                                      
    
    1992-93           0.8            0.3            1.2           1.9 
                                                                      
    
    1993-94           2.2            1.9            1.4           1.7 
                                                                      
    
    1994-95           1.9            2.5            3.9           4.5 
                                                                      
    
    1995-96           5.1            5.1            3.7           3.1 
                                                                      
    

    Percentage change over the same quarter of the previous year in the All Groups, eight capital cities index.
    Source: Consumer Price Index, ABS (6401.0)

    1.14 Underlying Rate of Inflation*

    Annual percentage change

    Click here for graph

                September       December          March          June  
                  quarter        quarter        quarter       quarter 
    
    1976-77          12.0           10.7           11.0          11.3 
                                                                      
    
    1977-78          10.7           10.5            9.1           7.3 
                                                                      
    
    1978-79           7.1            6.0            5.9           6.1 
                                                                      
    
    1979-80           6.2            7.3            7.9           8.9 
                                                                      
    
    1980-81           9.4            9.6            9.9           9.2 
                                                                      
    
    1981-82           9.4            9.4            9.6          10.9 
                                                                      
    
    1982-83          10.7           10.6           10.5           8.8 
                                                                      
    
    1983-84           7.9            7.3            6.3           6.2 
                                                                      
    
    1984-85           5.8            5.2            5.3           6.1 
                                                                      
    
    1985-86           7.4            8.9            9.8           9.9 
                                                                      
    
    1986-87           9.6            9.5            9.1           9.0 
                                                                      
    
    1987-88           8.5            7.5            7.1           6.8 
                                                                      
    
    1988-89           6.8            7.2            6.9           6.1 
                                                                      
    
    1989-90           5.7            5.6            6.0           6.4 
                                                                      
    
    1990-91           5.7            5.3            4.5           3.9 
                                                                      
    
    1991-92           3.7            3.4            3.0           2.7 
                                                                      
    
    1992-93           2.4            1.9            2.0           1.8 
                                                                      
    
    1993-94           2.2            2.1            2.1           2.0 
                                                                      
    
    1994-95           2.0            2.1            1.9           2.5 
                                                                      
    
    1995-96           3.1            3.2            3.3           3.1 
                                                                      
    

    Percentage change over the same quarter of the previous year in the All Groups, eight capital cities index excluding: fresh fruit and vegetables, mortgage interest charges, automotive fuel, consumer credit charges, government-owned dwelling rents, fuel and light, local government rents and charges, postal and telephone services and urban transport fares.
    Source: Consumer Price Index, ABS (6401.0)

    2. Finance and Government - Comments

    2.1 Prime Interest Rate

    The prime interest rate refers to the predominant indicator rate for variable rate business loans, i.e. overdrafts and fully drawn loans for large business. The prime rate of interest peaked at 20.8 per cent in December 1985 but fell for the next two years before rising again to over 20 per cent in late 1989. The early 1990s have been characterised by a fall in interest rates, rising again slightly in the mid 1990s. At June 1996 the prime rate was equal to 10.8 per cent.

    2.2 Real Prime Interest Rate

    The real prime interest rate is the banks' prime rate discounted by the Consumer Price Index for the effects of inflation. From a rate of less than one per cent at the start of the 1980s, the real prime rate climbed rapidly to almost 12 per cent in December 1985. It subsequently fell and rose again to more than 10 per cent in the late 1980s and early 1990s. At June 1996 the rate was 7.47 per cent

    2.3 Banks' Housing Interest Rate

    The banks' housing interest rate is the predominant rate charged for new variable rate housing loans to individuals for owner occupation. Housing interest rates rose in stages from 10 per cent in the mid 1970s to 17 per cent in 1989. Rates fell during the first half of the 1990s, rising again slightly in the mid 1990s.

    2.4 Banks' Real Housing Interest Rate

    The banks' real housing interest rate is the banks' housing interest rate discounted by the Consumer Price Index for the effects of inflation. From the mid 1970s when the rate was negative, the real housing rate has generally followed an upward trend to peak at 10.8 per cent in November 1991. The rate fell through much of the 1990s, reaching a low of 5.14 per cent in July 1995. At June 1996 the rate was 6.45 per cent.

    2.5 Home Loan Affordability Indicator

    The home loan affordability indicator measures the relationship between median weekly family income and average monthly home repayments on new loans. An increase in the indicator implies an improvement in affordability while a decrease implies a deterioration in affordability. Home loan affordability steadily deteriorated in the period 1980 to 1989, improved through to 1994 and deteriorated again thereafter.

    2.6 Stock Exchange-All Ordinaries Index

    The All Ordinaries Index is a summary measure of the movement of share values that result when shares in company ownership are traded on the Australian Stock Exchange. The index provides a record of share market cycles and an indicator of share market reactions to economic events and situations. The most significant event of the past 20 years was the share market collapse of October 1987 following a strong bull market.

    2.7 Commonwealth Government Budget-Headline Balance

    The headline balance is the difference between Commonwealth budget receipts and Commonwealth budget outlays. A budget deficit (surplus) is a situation in which outlays are greater (less) than receipts. Over the past 20 years the headline balance has been in surplus in just 4 years, 1987-88 through to 1990-91.

    2.8 Commonwealth Government Budget-Underlying Balance

    The underlying balance is equal to the headline balance minus the sum of equity asset sales by the Commonwealth and net repayments by the States of Commonwealth advances. The underlying balance provides a better indication of the state of Commonwealth finances as it excludes transactions in financial assets undertaken for policy purposes. The underlying balance may be either higher or lower than the headline balance. As a percentage of gross domestic product, the underlying deficit for the past five years has been greater than the headline deficit.

    2.1 Prime Interest Rate*

    Per cent

    Click here for graph

              Jul    Aug   Sep   Oct   Nov    Dec   Jan   Feb    Mar   Apr   May    Jun 
    
    1976-77    ..     ..    ..    ..    ..     ..    ..    ..     ..    ..    ..     .. 
                                                                                        
    
    1977-78    ..     ..    ..    ..    ..     ..    ..    ..     ..    ..    ..     .. 
                                                                                        
    
    1978-79    ..     ..    ..    ..    ..  11.00 11.00 11.00  11.00 11.00 11.00  11.00 
                                                                                        
    
    1979-80 11.00  11.00 11.00 11.00 11.00  11.00 11.20 11.25  11.30 12.30 12.50  12.50 
                                                                                        
    
    1980-81 12.50  12.50 12.50 12.50 12.50  13.00 13.50 13.50  14.25 14.25 15.00  15.00 
                                                                                        
    
    1981-82 15.75  15.75 15.75 15.75 15.75  15.75 16.20 16.40  16.40 17.50 17.50  17.50 
                                                                                        
    
    1982-83 17.50  17.50 17.50 16.50 16.50  15.50 14.50 14.00  16.00 16.00 15.00  16.00 
                                                                                        
    
    1983-84 15.00  14.50 14.00 13.50 13.25  12.25 11.90 12.70  14.50 15.25 15.10  14.60 
                                                                                        
    
    1984-85 14.50  14.00 13.00 13.00 13.00  13.50 14.25 14.55  15.85 16.60 16.85  17.75 
                                                                                        
    
    1985-86 17.50  17.75 18.50 18.50 19.25  20.80 20.50 20.25  19.15 18.50 17.50  17.00 
                                                                                        
    
    1986-87 16.85  18.00 18.85 18.75 18.50  18.00 17.80 18.25  18.25 17.50 16.75  16.25 
                                                                                        
    
    1987-88 15.60  15.10 14.35 13.85 13.85  13.80 13.25 13.25  13.25 13.60 14.20  15.00 
                                                                                        
    
    1988-89 15.00  15.00 15.50 15.75 16.50  16.50 17.00 18.00  18.50 18.75 19.35  19.75 
                                                                                        
    
    1989-90 20.25  20.25 20.50 20.50 20.50  20.50 20.00 19.50  19.50 18.50 18.50  18.50 
                                                                                        
    
    1990-91 18.00  17.25 17.00 16.00 16.00  16.00 15.25 15.25  15.25 14.85 14.25  14.25 
                                                                                        
    
    1991-92 14.25  14.25 13.35 13.35 12.40  12.40 11.90 11.50  11.50 11.50 10.75  10.50 
                                                                                        
    
    1992-93 10.40  10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00  10.00 10.00 10.00  10.00  9.50  9.50   9.50 
                                                                                        
    
    1993-94  9.50   9.00  9.00  9.00  9.00   9.00  9.00  9.00   9.00  9.00  9.00   9.00 
                                                                                        
    
    1994-95  9.00   9.00  9.30  9.50  9.75  10.25 10.70 10.70  10.70 10.70 10.70  10.70 
                                                                                        
    
    1995-96 10.70  10.70 10.70 10.70 10.70  10.75 10.75 10.75  10.75 10.80 10.80  10.80 
                                                                                        
    

    Predominant indicator rates for variable rate business loans (i.e. overdrafts and fully drawn loans for large businesses) at end of month.
    .. Data not available
    Source: Reserve Bank of Australia Bulletin, Reserve Bank of Australia

    2.2 Real Prime Interest Rate*

    Per cent

    Click here for graph

              Jul    Aug   Sep   Oct   Nov    Dec   Jan   Feb    Mar   Apr   May    Jun 
    
    1976-77    ..     ..    ..    ..    ..     ..    ..    ..     ..    ..    ..     .. 
                                                                                        
    
    1977-78    ..     ..    ..    ..    ..     ..    ..    ..     ..    ..    ..     .. 
                                                                                        
    
    1978-79    ..     ..    ..    ..    ..   3.07  2.67  2.67   2.67  2.10  2.10   2.10 
                                                                                        
    
    1979-80  1.54   1.54  1.54  0.82  0.82   0.82  0.49  0.54   0.58  1.31  1.49   1.49 
                                                                                        
    
    1980-81  2.14   2.14  2.14  3.05  3.05   3.51  3.74  3.74   4.42  5.08  5.77   5.77 
                                                                                        
    
    1981-82  6.20   6.20  6.20  4.03  4.03   4.03  5.06  5.24   5.24  6.08  6.08   6.08 
                                                                                        
    
    1982-83  4.47   4.47  4.47  4.91  4.91   4.01  2.79  2.34   4.14  4.38  3.48   4.38 
                                                                                        
    
    1983-84  5.30   4.84  4.38  4.49  4.26   3.34  5.72  6.48   8.18 10.84 10.70  10.22 
                                                                                        
    
    1984-85 10.69  10.21  9.24 10.14 10.14  10.63  9.38  9.67  10.92  9.41  9.64  10.49 
                                                                                        
    
    1985-86  9.10   9.33 10.02  9.54 10.23  11.66 10.30 10.07   9.06  9.25  8.33   7.87 
                                                                                        
    
    1986-87  7.36   8.42  9.20  8.18  7.96   7.50  7.67  8.08   8.08  7.54  6.86   6.40 
                                                                                        
    
    1987-88  6.79   6.33  5.64  6.26  6.26   6.21  5.96  5.96   5.96  6.03  6.59   7.33 
                                                                                        
    
    1988-89  7.10   7.10  7.56  7.57  8.27   8.27  9.57 10.51  10.97 10.39 10.95  11.32 
                                                                                        
    
    1989-90 11.36  11.36 11.59 11.75 11.75  11.75 10.49 10.03  10.03 10.06 10.06  10.06 
                                                                                        
    
    1990-91 11.26  10.55 10.32  8.56  8.56   8.56  9.91  9.91   9.91 11.06 10.48  10.48 
                                                                                        
    
    1991-92 10.71  10.71  9.84 11.66 10.73  10.73 10.03  9.63   9.63 10.15  9.41   9.16 
                                                                                        
    
    1992-93  9.58   9.18  9.18  9.69  9.69   9.69  8.69  8.69   8.69  7.50  7.50   7.50 
                                                                                        
    
    1993-94  7.11   6.62  6.62  6.92  6.92   6.92  7.52  7.52   7.52  7.14  7.14   7.14 
                                                                                        
    
    1994-95  6.95   6.95  7.25  6.78  7.03   7.51  6.55  6.55   6.55  5.94  5.94   5.94 
                                                                                        
    
    1995-96  5.33   5.33  5.33  5.38  5.38   5.42  6.75  6.75   6.75  7.47  7.47   7.47 
                                                                                        
    

    Banks' prime rate discounted by the inflation rate as measured by the Consumer Price Index.
    .. Data not available
    Source: Reserve Bank of Australia Bulletin, Reserve Bank of Australia

    2.3 Banks' Housing Interest Rate*

    Per cent

    Click here for graph

              Jul    Aug   Sep   Oct   Nov    Dec   Jan   Feb    Mar   Apr   May    Jun 
    
    1976-77 10.00  10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00  10.00 10.00 10.00  10.00 10.00 10.00  10.00 
                                                                                        
    
    1977-78 10.50  10.50 10.50 10.50 10.50  10.50 10.50 10.00  10.00 10.00 10.00  10.00 
                                                                                        
    
    1978-79 10.00  10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00   9.50  9.50  9.50   9.50  9.50  9.50   9.50 
                                                                                        
    
    1979-80  9.50   9.50  9.50  9.50  9.50   9.50  9.50  9.50  10.50 10.50 10.50  10.50 
                                                                                        
    
    1980-81 10.50  10.50 10.50 10.50 10.50  11.50 11.50 11.50  11.50 11.50 11.50  11.50 
                                                                                        
    
    1981-82 11.50  12.50 12.50 12.50 12.50  12.50 12.50 12.50  13.50 13.50 13.50  13.50 
                                                                                        
    
    1982-83 13.50  13.50 13.50 13.50 13.50  13.50 13.50 12.50  12.50 12.50 12.50  12.50 
                                                                                        
    
    1983-84 12.50  12.50 12.00 12.00 12.00  12.00 11.50 11.50  11.50 11.50 11.50  11.50 
                                                                                        
    
    1984-85 11.50  11.50 11.50 11.50 11.50  11.50 11.50 11.50  11.50 12.00 12.00  12.00 
                                                                                        
    
    1985-86 12.50  12.50 13.00 13.50 13.50  13.50 13.50 13.50  13.50 15.50 15.50  15.50 
                                                                                        
    
    1986-87 15.50  15.50 15.50 15.50 15.50  15.50 15.50 15.50  15.50 15.50 15.50  15.50 
                                                                                        
    
    1987-88 15.50  15.00 15.00 14.50 14.50  14.00 14.00 13.50  13.50 13.50 13.50  13.50 
                                                                                        
    
    1988-89 14.50  14.50 14.50 14.50 14.50  15.00 15.00 15.50  16.00 16.00 16.00  17.00 
                                                                                        
    
    1989-90 17.00  17.00 17.00 17.00 17.00  17.00 17.00 17.00  17.00 16.50 16.50  16.50 
                                                                                        
    
    1990-91 16.50  16.50 16.25 16.00 15.50  15.00 14.50 14.50  14.50 14.50 14.00  13.00 
                                                                                        
    
    1991-92 13.00  13.00 13.00 12.50 12.50  12.00 12.00 11.00  11.00 11.00 11.00  10.50 
                                                                                        
    
    1992-93 10.50  10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00  10.00 10.00 10.00  10.00 10.00  9.50   9.50 
                                                                                        
    
    1993-94  9.50   9.50  8.75  8.75  8.75   8.75  8.75  8.75   8.75  8.75  8.75   8.75 
                                                                                        
    
    1994-95  8.75   8.75  9.50  9.50  9.55  10.50 10.50 10.50  10.50 10.50 10.50  10.50 
                                                                                        
    
    1995-96 10.50  10.50 10.50 10.50 10.50  10.50 10.50 10.50  10.50 10.50 10.50   9.75 
                                                                                        
    

    New variable rate housing loans to individuals for owner occupation. Rates shown are predominant rates.
    Source: Reserve Bank of Australia Bulletin, Reserve Bank of Australia

    2.4 Banks' Real Housing Interest Rate*

    Per cent

    Click here for graph

              Jul    Aug   Sep   Oct   Nov    Dec   Jan   Feb    Mar   Apr   May    Jun 
    
    1976-77 -3.50  -3.50 -3.50 -3.71 -3.71  -3.71 -3.40 -3.40  -3.40 -3.10 -3.10  -3.10 
                                                                                        
    
    1977-78 -2.11  -2.11 -2.11  1.12  1.12   1.12  2.11  1.65   1.65  1.82  1.82   1.82 
                                                                                        
    
    1978-79  1.96   1.96  1.96  2.14  2.14   1.68  1.28  1.28   1.28  0.72  0.72   0.72 
                                                                                        
    
    1979-80  0.16   0.16  0.16 -0.54 -0.54  -0.54 -1.04 -1.04  -0.14 -0.31 -0.31  -0.31 
                                                                                        
    
    1980-81  0.33   0.33  0.33  1.22  1.22   2.13  1.91  1.91   1.91  2.55  2.55   2.55 
                                                                                        
    
    1981-82  2.30   3.21  3.21  1.10  1.10   1.10  1.72  1.72   2.62  2.47  2.47   2.47 
                                                                                        
    
    1982-83  0.91   0.91  0.91  2.21  2.21   2.21  1.89  0.99   0.99  1.23  1.23   1.23 
                                                                                        
    
    1983-84  3.01   3.01  2.55  3.11  3.11   3.11  5.34  5.34   5.34  7.24  7.24   7.24 
                                                                                        
    
    1984-85  7.79   7.79  7.79  8.68  8.68   8.68  6.75  6.75   6.75  5.09  5.09   5.09 
                                                                                        
    
    1985-86  4.45   4.45  4.92  4.91  4.91   4.91  3.89  3.89   3.89  6.49  6.49   6.49 
                                                                                        
    
    1986-87  6.12   6.12  6.12  5.22  5.22   5.22  5.57  5.57   5.57  5.71  5.71   5.71 
                                                                                        
    
    1987-88  6.70   6.24  6.24  6.87  6.87   6.40  6.66  6.19   6.19  5.93  5.93   5.93 
                                                                                        
    
    1988-89  6.63   6.63  6.63  6.41  6.41   6.87  7.70  8.16   8.63  7.84  7.84   8.77 
                                                                                        
    
    1989-90  8.35   8.35  8.35  8.51  8.51   8.51  7.72  7.72   7.72  8.20  8.20   8.20 
                                                                                        
    
    1990-91  9.85   9.85  9.61  8.56  8.09   7.62  9.20  9.20   9.20 10.72 10.24   9.27 
                                                                                        
    
    1991-92  9.50   9.50  9.50 10.83 10.83  10.33 10.13  9.14   9.14  9.66  9.66   9.16 
                                                                                        
    
    1992-93  9.68   9.18  9.18  9.69  9.69   9.69  8.69  8.69   8.69  7.99  7.50   7.50 
                                                                                        
    
    1993-94  7.11   7.11  6.37  6.67  6.67   6.67  7.27  7.27   7.27  6.89  6.89   6.89 
                                                                                        
    
    1994-95  6.71   6.71  7.45  6.78  6.83   7.76  6.36  6.36   6.36  5.75  5.75   5.75 
                                                                                        
    
    1995-96  5.14   5.14  5.14  5.18  5.18   5.18  6.51  6.51   6.51  7.18  7.18   6.45 
                                                                                        
    

    New variable rate housing loans to individuals for owner occupation. Rates shown are predominant rates discounted for inflation as measured by the Consumer Price Index.
    Source: Reserve Bank of Australia Bulletin, Reserve Bank of Australia

    2.5 Home Loan Affordability Indicator*

    Click here for graph

                September       December          March          June  
                  quarter        quarter        quarter       quarter 
    
    1976-77            ..             ..             ..            .. 
                                                                      
    
    1977-78            ..             ..             ..            .. 
                                                                      
    
    1978-79            ..             ..             ..            .. 
                                                                      
    
    1979-80            ..             ..           57.4          55.8 
                                                                      
    
    1980-81          54.5           55.3           54.2          56.4 
                                                                      
    
    1981-82          54.4           52.4           52.0          51.6 
                                                                      
    
    1982-83          51.9           51.3           51.9          52.5 
                                                                      
    
    1983-84          52.4           54.9           53.7          54.4 
                                                                      
    
    1984-85          50.1           48.9           46.5          44.6 
                                                                      
    
    1985-86          42.8           43.1           46.6          37.4 
                                                                      
    
    1986-87          37.2           36.9           36.2          36.4 
                                                                      
    
    1987-88          36.2           36.2           37.1          35.3 
                                                                      
    
    1988-89          32.6           31.5           29.7          27.9 
                                                                      
    
    1989-90          27.4           27.4           28.2          28.4 
                                                                      
    
    1990-91          29.1           30.6           32.6          31.1 
                                                                      
    
    1991-92          34.1           35.8           39.4          41.1 
                                                                      
    
    1992-93          44.1           46.1           47.4          47.5 
                                                                      
    
    1993-94          49.2           52.3           49.0          46.9 
                                                                      
    
    1994-95          43.4           37.0           33.8          33.3 
                                                                      
    
    1995-96          33.8           35.3           35.7           nya 
                                                                      
    

    Measures the relationship between median weekly family income and average monthly home repayments on new loans. An increase in the indicator implies an improvement in affordability.
    .. Data not available
    nya Not yet available
    Source: Home Loan Affordability in Australia, Real Estate Institute of Australia

    2.6 Stock Exchange - All Ordinaries Index*

    Click here for graph

              Jul  Aug   Sep   Oct  Nov    Dec     Jan    Feb     Mar    Apr     May    Jun 
    
    1976-77 342.4 339. 314.6 297.0 282.  291.4   296.7  287.1   299.1  395.5   310.0  308.9 
                     3                9                                                     
    
    1977-78 296.9 288. 291.1 305.3 298.  322.3   313.9  298.9   307.3  324.2   336.5  332.1 
                     2                2                                                     
    
    1978-79 347.9 366. 378.8 358.8 355.  366.1   384.0  393.6   398.2  389.1   400.2  390.8 
                     9                2                                                     
    
    1979-80 398.6 440. 464.6 468.1 458.  500.0   586.0  604.6   513.3  529.1   594.7  628.5 
                     2                9                                                     
    
    1980-81 636.9 660. 693.7 731.7 733.  713.5   657.0  652.2   707.9  706.3   713.4  699.6 
                     4                4                                                     
    
    1981-82 633.4 629. 575.1 549.7 594.  595.5   548.8  491.0   462.1  503.5   504.9  473.1 
                     2                0                                                     
    
    1982-83 465.1 482. 503.3 504.6 484.  485.4   536.9  498.7   512.7  591.9   620.0  605.1 
                     7                4                                                     
    
    1983-84 672.0 701. 718.0 687.7 744.  775.3   765.7  737.6   750.5  756.0   654.9  658.9 
                     3                0                                                     
    
    1984-85 681.9 733. 739.1 753.6 749.  726.1   773.4  792.3   829.7  875.1   873.5  860.7 
                     4                5                                                     
    
    1985-86 936.1 937. 987.0 1027. 990. 1003.7  1075.3 1050.1  1136.5 1210.5  1241.0 1180.0 
                     8           0    7                                                     
    
    1986-87 1123. 1192 1246. 1377. 1379 1473.1  1496.3 1613.9  1689.9 1749.6  1770.6 1765.5 
                5   .3     6     2   .6                                                     
    
    1987-88 2030. 2150 2249. 1294. 1328 1318.9  1257.1 1250.7  1415.3 1456.6  1566.9 1555.0 
                4   .0     2     5   .2                                                     
    
    1988-89 1611. 1570 1548. 1586. 1471 1487.2  1551.8 1485.3  1459.6 1500.6  1530.0 1521.1 
                0   .6     1     9   .4                                                     
    
    1989-90 1634. 1763 1736. 1646. 1611 1649.8  1677.0 1573.0  1535.8 1434.5  1511.7 1500.7 
                3   .2     0     2   .6                                                     
    
    1990-91 1573. 1507 1398. 1327. 1319 1279.8  1321.5 1405.6  1444.1 1534.2  1510.0 1505.6 
                9   .7     8     2   .7                                                     
    
    1991-92 1572. 1540 1562. 1683. 1605 1651.4  1622.7 1614.2  1582.6 1655.9  1678.3 1644.7 
                3   .4     1     0   .7                                                     
    
    1992-93 1617. 1547 1485. 1425. 1448 1549.9  1528.2 1609.6  1667.4 1681.5  1737.4 1738.1 
                7   .2     0     8   .1                                                     
    
    1993-94 1844. 1962 1964. 2112. 2009 2173.6  2310.8 2180.1  2053.1 2066.1  2081.8 1989.1 
                0   .2     4     2   .4                                                     
    
    1994-95 2061. 2122 2028. 2044. 1890 1912.7  1830.6 1920.0  1906.6 2050.2  2019.5 2017.0 
                5   .1     7     8   .7                                                     
    
    1995-96 2116. 2133 2135. 2073. 2158 2203.0  2288.5 2290.0  2225.6 2316.8  2266.1  2242.1 
                1   .0     7     7   .8                                                      
    

    Index at end of month. Base: December 1979 = 500.0.
    Source: Australian Financial Review

    2.7 Commonwealth Government Budget - Headline Balance*

    Percentage of gross domestic product

    Click here for graph

                            Annual  
    
        1976-77                -3.1 
    
        1977-78                -3.4 
    
        1978-79                -3.1 
    
        1979-80                -1.6 
    
        1980-81                -0.7 
    
        1981-82                -0.3 
    
        1982-83                -2.6 
    
        1983-84                -4.1 
    
        1984-85                -3.1 
    
        1985-86                -2.3 
    
        1986-87                -1.0 
    
        1987-88                 0.7 
    
        1988-89                 1.7 
    
        1989-90                 2.2 
    
        1990-91                 0.5 
    
        1991-92                -2.4 
    
        1992-93                -3.6 
    
        1993-94                -3.2 
    
        1994-95                -2.6 
    
        1995-96                -1.0 
    

    The headline balance is the difference between Commonwealth budget receipts and Commonwealth budget outlays. A negative sign denotes a budget deficit.
    Source: Budget Statements (Budget Paper No. 1)

    2.8 Commonwealth Government Budget -Underlying Balance*

    Percentage of gross domestic product Click here for graph

                             Annual 
    
        1976-77                -1.3 
    
        1977-78                -2.0 
    
        1978-79                -2.1 
    
        1979-80                -1.0 
    
        1980-81                 0.0 
    
        1981-82                 0.3 
    
        1982-83                -1.8 
    
        1983-84                -3.5 
    
        1984-85                -2.7 
    
        1985-86                -2.0 
    
        1986-87                -0.8 
    
        1987-88                 0.5 
    
        1988-89                 1.7 
    
        1989-90                 1.8 
    
        1990-91                 0.1 
    
        1991-92                -3.0 
    
        1992-93                -4.2 
    
        1993-94                -4.0 
    
        1994-95                -2.9 
    
        1995-96                -2.1 
    

    The underlying balance is the headline balance minus net advances (i.e. equity asset sales by the Commonwealth plus net repayments by the States of Commonwealth advances). A negative sign denotes an underlying deficit.
    Source: Budget Statements (Budget Paper No. 1)

    3. National Accounts - Comments

    3.1 Economic Growth

    Economic growth is measured by the percentage change in gross domestic product (seasonally adjusted) at constant prices. A recession is defined as a situation in which there are two or more successive quarters of negative economic growth. Australia has had three recessions during the past 20 years-a minor recession from September quarter 1977 to December quarter 1977; a fairly deep recession from September quarter 1982 to March quarter 1983, followed by strong growth; and a more enduring recession from September quarter 1990 to June quarter 1991, followed by relatively weak growth.

    3.2 Gross Domestic Product Per Capita

    Per capita gross domestic product at constant prices is often used as a measure of living standards. In other words, if economic growth is rising faster than population growth then living standards (at least in the aggregate sense) are said to be rising. Although living standards dipped in the last two recessions, the long-term trend has been for Australia's living standards to rise.

    3.3 Gross Domestic Product Per Hour Worked

    A frequently used measure of labour productivity is gross domestic product at constant prices per hour worked. Australia's labour productivity has risen by 25 per cent since the late 1970s, the most rapid increases occurring between 1983 and 1985 and again between 1990 and 1994.

    3.4 Business Investment

    Business investment is defined as private gross fixed capital expenditure on non-dwelling construction and equipment. Business investment as a percentage of gross domestic product fell sharply in the 1982-83 recession and fell again even more sharply in the 1990-91 recession. By the mid 1990s business investment had recovered somewhat to around 10 per cent of gross domestic product.

    3.5 National Savings

    National savings is defined as that part of national disposable income that is not used up by way of private or government final consumption expenditure. For most of the 1980s national savings fluctuated between 4 and 8 per cent of national disposable income. It fell sharply however in the 1990s and from December quarter 1990 it has been consistently below 5 per cent. In the early 1990s there were a number of occasions when national saving was negative, i.e. a situation of dissaving.

    3.6 Household Saving Ratio

    The ratio of household income saved to household disposable income (i.e. the income that households have available for spending after deducting taxes paid, interest payments and transfers overseas) is called the household saving ratio. Australia's household saving ratio has generally been on a downward trend since reaching a high point in the mid 1970s.

    3.7 Stocks to Sales Ratio

    The stocks to sales ratio measures the value of stocks (or inventories) held by private sector businesses other than farming, compared with sales in a given period of time. The ratio is an important indicator of future business intentions. An increase in the ratio may indicate that businesses have decided to build up stocks in anticipation of increased sales; a fall may indicate that businesses have decided to run down stocks in anticipation of weaker sales. The long term trend in the stocks to sales ratio has been downward, reflecting such factors as the decline in the relative importance of manufacturing and retailing where the majority of stocks are held.

    3.1 Economic Growth

    Quarterly percentage change in gross domestic product at average 1989-90 prices

    Click here for graph

                September       December          March          June  
                  quarter        quarter        quarter       quarter 
    
    1976-77           0.9            0.9           -0.4           0.9 
                                                                      
    
    1977-78          -0.6           -0.1            1.2           1.3 
                                                                      
    
    1978-79           2.4            1.5            1.4          -0.5 
                                                                      
    
    1979-80           0.5            1.9           -0.8           0.2 
                                                                      
    
    1980-81           1.7            1.7           -0.6           1.4 
                                                                      
    
    1981-82           1.8            0.2           -0.4           0.8 
                                                                      
    
    1982-83          -1.7           -1.1           -1.4           0.8 
                                                                      
    
    1983-84           3.1            2.0            1.6           1.7 
                                                                      
    
    1984-85           0.4            1.1            1.8           2.0 
                                                                      
    
    1985-86           1.0            0.4            0.0          -0.4 
                                                                      
    
    1986-87           0.8            1.1            0.4           1.8 
                                                                      
    
    1987-88           1.6            1.8            0.8           0.1 
                                                                      
    
    1988-89           1.3            1.8            0.6           1.8 
                                                                      
    
    1989-90           0.8            0.0            1.2          -0.1 
                                                                      
    
    1990-91          -0.7           -0.3           -0.4          -0.7 
                                                                      
    
    1991-92           0.7            0.2            1.2           0.0 
                                                                      
    
    1992-93           1.1            1.0            0.7           0.9 
                                                                      
    
    1993-94           0.6            1.2            2.2           0.9 
                                                                      
    
    1994-95           1.1            0.9            0.1           0.7 
                                                                      
    
    1995-96           2.0            0.4            2.0           0.1 
                                                                      
    

    Note: Figures are seasonally adjusted.
    Source: National Income and Expenditure, ABS (5206.0)

    3.2 Real Gross Domestic Product Per Capita

    Average 1989-90 prices - dollars

    Click here for graph

                       September       December          March          June  
                          quarter        quarter        quarter       quarter 
    
            1976-77          4286           4311           4280          4307 
    
            1977-78          4267           4248           4287          4330 
    
            1978-79          4422           4477           4524          4489 
    
            1979-80          4498           4571           4521          4517 
    
            1980-81          4575           4635           4586          4635 
    
            1981-82          4698           4687           4647          4662 
    
            1982-83          4567           4504           4425          4444 
    
            1983-84          4570           4646           4706          4771 
    
            1984-85          4773           4814           4883          4962 
    
            1985-86          4996           4998           4982          4945 
    
            1986-87          4967           5003           5004          5075 
    
            1987-88          5133           5206           5227          5211 
    
            1988-89          5253           5326           5334          5412 
    
            1989-90          5439           5415           5460          5436 
    
            1990-91          5380           5347           5309          5255 
    
            1991-92          5273           5270           5318          5304 
    
            1992-93          5348           5390           5416          5454 
    
            1993-94          5475           5527           5635          5669 
    
            1994-95          5717           5755           5742          5760 
    
            1995-96          5857           5857           5956          5938 
    

    Note: Figures are seasonally adjusted.
    Source: National Income and Expenditure, ABS (5206.0)

    3.3 Real Gross Domestic Product Per Hour Worked

    Average 1989-90 prices - index (1989-90=100)

    Click here for graph

                September       December          March          June   
                  quarter        quarter        quarter       quarter 
    
    1976-77            ..             ..             ..            .. 
                                                                      
    
    1977-78            ..             ..             ..            .. 
                                                                      
    
    1978-79          88.9           89.6           89.6          89.3 
                                                                      
    
    1979-80          89.2           89.7           90.3          90.5 
                                                                      
    
    1980-81          90.6           90.3           90.4          91.4 
                                                                      
    
    1981-82          92.1           92.6           92.7          92.8 
                                                                      
    
    1982-83          92.9           92.9           93.2          94.3 
                                                                      
    
    1983-84          95.4           96.4           96.8          96.9 
                                                                      
    
    1984-85          97.5           98.3           99.6         100.5 
                                                                      
    
    1985-86         100.5           99.9           99.3          99.0 
                                                                      
    
    1986-87          98.9           98.9           99.1          99.8 
                                                                      
    
    1987-88         100.4          100.4           99.9          99.6 
                                                                      
    
    1988-89          99.7          100.3          100.6         100.4 
                                                                      
    
    1989-90         100.1          100.0           99.9         100.0 
                                                                      
    
    1990-91         100.2          100.4          101.0         101.8 
                                                                      
    
    1991-92         102.6          103.4          104.3         105.1 
                                                                      
    
    1992-93         105.8          106.2          106.7         107.2 
                                                                      
    
    1993-94         107.8          108.4          108.8         108.9 
                                                                      
    
    1994-95         108.9          108.8          108.6         108.2 
                                                                      
    
    1995-96         108.6          109.7          110.8         111.5 
                                                                      
    

    Note: Figures are seasonally adjusted.
    .. Data not available
    Source: National Income and Expenditure, ABS (5206.0)

    3.4 Business Investment*

    Percentage of gross domestic product

    Click here for graph

                September       December          March          June  
                  quarter        quarter        quarter       quarter 
    
    1976-77           8.7            9.6            9.6           9.2 
                                                                      
    
    1977-78           9.2            9.5            9.7          10.5 
                                                                      
    
    1978-79          10.6           11.0           11.0          10.8 
                                                                      
    
    1979-80          10.1            9.9           10.1          10.3 
                                                                      
    
    1980-81          11.3           10.7           11.4          12.0 
                                                                      
    
    1981-82          11.8           12.6           12.4          12.3 
                                                                      
    
    1982-83          11.5           11.4           10.5          10.2 
                                                                      
    
    1983-84          10.2            9.9            9.9           9.7 
                                                                      
    
    1984-85          10.2           10.1           10.8          11.0 
                                                                      
    
    1985-86          11.5           11.3           11.1          11.3 
                                                                      
    
    1986-87          11.3           12.5           11.7          12.0 
                                                                      
    
    1987-88          12.1           12.2           12.8          13.2 
                                                                      
    
    1988-89          11.9           12.4           13.0          13.1 
                                                                      
    
    1989-90          12.8           12.4           11.6          10.9 
                                                                      
    
    1990-91          11.0           10.3           10.0           9.7 
                                                                      
    
    1991-92           9.4            8.7            8.8           8.8 
                                                                      
    
    1992-93           8.3           10.2            9.2           9.0 
                                                                      
    
    1993-94           9.1            8.9            9.7           9.6 
                                                                      
    
    1994-95           9.9           10.3           10.1          10.4 
                                                                      
    
    1995-96          10.3           10.0           10.5          10.5 
                                                                      
    

    Private gross fixed capital expenditure on non-dwelling construction and equipment.
    Note: Figures are seasonally adjusted.
    Source: National Income and Expenditure, ABS (5206.0)

    3.5 National Savings*

    Percentage of national disposable income

    Click here for graph

                         September     December          March          June   
                           quarter       quarter        quarter       quarter 
    
            1976-77           11.1           9.5            9.7           9.0 
                                                                              
    
            1977-78            7.6           6.5            7.1           5.7 
                                                                              
    
            1978-79            7.7           8.2            8.9           8.0 
                                                                              
    
            1979-80            8.9           8.7            9.0           8.4 
                                                                              
    
            1980-81            7.6           8.2            8.0           7.9 
                                                                              
    
            1981-82            7.1           7.1            6.5           4.3 
                                                                              
    
            1982-83            4.5           2.6           -0.7           0.0 
                                                                              
    
            1983-84            3.5           4.0            6.6           7.4 
                                                                              
    
            1984-85            5.5           6.0            5.8           4.9 
                                                                              
    
            1985-86            5.5           3.2            5.5           1.9 
                                                                              
    
            1986-87            0.7           4.1            4.1           5.8 
                                                                              
    
            1987-88            6.0           6.4            5.8           7.5 
                                                                              
    
            1988-89            8.4           9.2            8.7           8.3 
                                                                              
    
            1989-90            8.5           6.6            5.8           6.2 
                                                                              
    
            1990-91            5.2           3.0            2.1          -0.3 
                                                                              
    
            1991-92           -0.2           0.5            0.7          -0.9 
                                                                              
    
            1992-93           -0.5           0.1            0.8           1.6 
                                                                              
    
            1993-94            2.3           1.1            2.2           2.7 
                                                                              
    
            1994-95            2.2           3.5            2.5           1.6 
                                                                              
    
            1995-96            3.7           2.0            4.0           4.1 
                                                                              
    

    That part of national disposable income not used up by way of private and government final consumption expenditure.
    Note: Figures are seasonally adjusted.
    Source: National Income and Expenditure, ABS (5206.0)

    3.6 Household Saving Ratio

    Household saving as a percentage of household disposable income

    Click here for graph

                September       December         March           June  
                  quarter        quarter       quarter        quarter 
    
    1976-77          13.1           12.8          12.1           11.5 
                                                                      
    
    1977-78          11.7           11.7          11.8           11.8 
                                                                      
    
    1978-79          11.9           12.2          12.2           11.8 
                                                                      
    
    1979-80          10.9           10.2          10.0           10.3 
                                                                      
    
    1980-81          10.5           10.3           9.6            9.5 
                                                                      
    
    1981-82           9.6            9.6           9.1            8.7 
                                                                      
    
    1982-83           8.4            7.9           7.5            7.8 
                                                                      
    
    1983-84           8.7            9.6          10.0            9.9 
                                                                      
    
    1984-85           9.8            9.4           8.7            7.6 
                                                                      
    
    1985-86           7.0            7.1           7.3            7.2 
                                                                      
    
    1986-87           6.5            5.7           5.7            5.7 
                                                                      
    
    1987-88           5.4            5.0           4.8            5.4 
                                                                      
    
    1988-89           6.1            6.2           6.1            6.2 
                                                                      
    
    1989-90           6.7            7.3           7.5            7.3 
                                                                      
    
    1990-91           7.2            6.5           5.5            4.8 
                                                                      
    
    1991-92           5.0            5.2           5.0            4.3 
                                                                      
    
    1992-93           4.0            4.0           4.0            3.6 
                                                                      
    
    1993-94           3.1            3.1           3.4            3.6 
                                                                      
    
    1994-95           3.4            2.8           2.4            2.4 
                                                                      
    
    1995-96           2.3            2.5           2.7            2.8 
                                                                      
    

    Note: Figures are seasonally adjusted.
    Source: National Income and Expenditure, ABS (5206.0)

    3.7 Stocks to Sales Ratio

    Ratio of private non-farm stocks to sales

    Click here for graph

                September       December          March          June  
                  quarter        quarter        quarter       quarter 
    
    1976-77         1.363          1.353          1.376         1.404 
                                                                      
    
    1977-78         1.418          1.413          1.397         1.353 
                                                                      
    
    1978-79         1.344          1.318          1.314         1.330 
                                                                      
    
    1979-80         1.350          1.374          1.353         1.367 
                                                                      
    
    1980-81         1.357          1.345          1.329         1.303 
                                                                      
    
    1981-82         1.277          1.282          1.283         1.271 
                                                                      
    
    1982-83         1.296          1.279          1.269         1.230 
                                                                      
    
    1983-84         1.209          1.165          1.160         1.150 
                                                                      
    
    1984-85         1.144          1.141          1.094         1.085 
                                                                      
    
    1985-86         1.055          1.064          1.112         1.111 
                                                                      
    
    1986-87         1.071          1.044          1.066         1.056 
                                                                      
    
    1987-88         1.057          1.036          1.018         1.051 
                                                                      
    
    1988-89         1.051          1.027          1.006         0.990 
                                                                      
    
    1989-90         1.004          1.009          1.006         1.015 
                                                                      
    
    1990-91         1.010          1.007          1.001         1.005 
                                                                      
    
    1991-92         0.976          0.974          0.963         0.946 
                                                                      
    
    1992-93         0.937          0.910          0.921         0.921 
                                                                      
    
    1993-94         0.912          0.910          0.898         0.878 
                                                                      
    
    1994-95         0.881          0.882          0.883         0.887 
                                                                      
    
    1995-96         0.888          0.904          0.872         0.883 
                                                                      
    

    Note: Figures are seasonally adjusted.
    Source: National Income and Expenditure, ABS (5206.0)

    4. External Transactions - Comments

    4.1 Imports to Sales Ratio

    The imports to sales ratio is a measure of import penetration, i.e. the extent to which imports are displacing or indicate an absence of domestically produced alternatives. With the exception of the two recessions in 1982-83 and 1990-91 which produced a temporary fall in the ratio, the trend during the past 20 years has been one of increasing import penetration.

    4.2 Exports of Elaborately Transformed Manufactures

    Exports of elaborately transformed manufactures provide a measure of the extent to which Australia is exporting goods that have been substantially added to in value by production processes in Australia. Examples are telecommunications equipment and motor vehicles. It contrasts with primary products, still Australia's dominant export sector, where very little value adding occurs. Exports of elaborately transformed manufactures have grown rapidly over the past decade, from 10.8 per cent of total merchandise exports in 1984-85 to 23.5 per cent in 1995-96.

    4.3 Current Account Deficit

    A current account deficit occurs when payments exceed receipts in respect of transactions between Australia and the rest of the world in goods, services, income and transfers. A current account deficit means that a country's aggregate expenditure exceeds its aggregate income and that it is therefore a capital importer from the rest of the world. Australia has almost always run a deficit on its current account. From a current account deficit of around 2 to 3 per cent of gross domestic product in the 1970s, the deficit has risen to between 4 and 6 per cent of gross domestic product for most of the 1980s and 1990s.

    4.4 Terms of Trade

    The terms of trade measures the relationship between a country's export prices and its import prices. It is expressed as an index. A fall in the index means that a country must export more to purchase the same amount of imports. Conversely, a rise in the index means that a country can purchase more imports with the same amount of exports. Australia's terms of trade fell sharply in the mid 1980s but recovered again toward the end of the 1980s. Further deterioration in the terms of trade occurred during the first half of the 1990s with some improvement by the mid 1990s.

    4.5 Exchange Rates

    The price of one currency expressed in terms of another currency is known as an exchange rate. Hence, the exchange rate can be used as a measure of a currency's value. The exchange rate between the Australian dollar and the United States dollar measures the number of US dollars required to pay for one Australian dollar. An increase (decrease) in the exchange rate for the Australian dollar against the US dollar means that it will buy more (less) of the US dollar. The US dollar exchange rate fell sharply during the first half of the 1980s, and while there has subsequently been some improvement, it is still well below its level of the late 1970s and early 1980s.

    4.6 International Competitiveness Index

    The international competitiveness index compares the change in the ratio of wages, salaries and supplements to gross product in the non-farm sector of the Australian economy with those of our four major trading partners (US, Japan, UK and Germany), after taking into account exchange rate changes. A fall in the index signifies an improvement in competitiveness, while a rise signifies a fall in competitiveness. The competitiveness index is most useful for measuring the competitiveness of Australia's import competing industries. Over the past 20 years Australia's international competitiveness has improved considerably, most particularly during the late 1970s, mid 1980s and early 1990s.

    4.7 Net Foreign Debt

    Net foreign debt is defined as the amount borrowed from non-residents by residents of Australia, minus the value of foreign reserves held by the Reserve Bank and minus lending by residents of Australia to non-residents. After being fairly stable through the 1970s, net foreign debt as a percentage of gross domestic product has increased more than six-fold since 1981.

    4.8 Debt Servicing Ratio

    A useful measure of the relative size of interest on foreign debt is to express the interest as a percentage of exports of goods and services. This is also referred to as a debt servicing ratio and it makes possible meaningful comparisons over time as both interest and exports are affected by inflation. As well, exports of goods and services provide a source of foreign exchange income that can be applied to meeting interest payments. Australia's debt servicing ratio rose steadily through the early 1980s to 20.5 per cent in 1989-90, after which it fell to 11.3 per cent in 1994-95.

    4.1 Imports to Sales Ratio

    Ratio of merchandise imports to sales

    Click here for graph

                September      December          March          June   
                  quarter        quarter        quarter       quarter 
    
    1976-77         0.172          0.170          0.194         0.191 
                                                                      
    
    1977-78         0.184          0.172          0.183         0.180 
                                                                      
    
    1978-79         0.185          0.194          0.184         0.198 
                                                                      
    
    1979-80         0.185          0.203          0.208         0.198 
                                                                      
    
    1980-81         0.208          0.209          0.208         0.208 
                                                                      
    
    1981-82         0.205          0.208          0.224         0.214 
                                                                      
    
    1982-83         0.201          0.198          0.183         0.186 
                                                                      
    
    1983-84         0.186          0.183          0.199         0.198 
                                                                      
    
    1984-85         0.224          0.212          0.205         0.227 
                                                                      
    
    1985-86         0.228          0.231          0.230         0.220 
                                                                      
    
    1986-87         0.222          0.220          0.212         0.213 
                                                                      
    
    1987-88         0.208          0.216          0.218         0.212 
                                                                      
    
    1988-89         0.214          0.226          0.220         0.230 
                                                                      
    
    1989-90         0.233          0.219          0.221         0.201 
                                                                      
    
    1990-91         0.208          0.212          0.208         0.207 
                                                                      
    
    1991-92         0.207          0.216          0.216         0.220 
                                                                      
    
    1992-93         0.232          0.236          0.233         0.241 
                                                                      
    
    1993-94         0.246          0.244          0.237         0.242 
                                                                      
    
    1994-95         0.254          0.256          0.262         0.266 
                                                                      
    
    1995-96         0.254          0.252          0.253         0.252 
                                                                      
    

    Source: National Income and Expenditure, ABS (5206.0)

    4.2 Exports of Elaborately Transformed Manufactures

    Percentage of total merchandise exports

    Click here for graph

                             Annual 
    
        1976-77                  .. 
    
        1977-78                  .. 
    
        1978-79                  .. 
    
        1979-80                  .. 
    
        1980-81                11.5 
    
        1981-82                12.4 
    
        1982-83                12.1 
    
        1983-84                12.3 
    
        1984-85                10.8 
    
        1985-86                10.9 
    
        1986-87                13.9 
    
        1987-88                13.3 
    
        1988-89                13.2 
    
        1989-90                15.3 
    
        1990-91                16.8 
    
        1991-92                17.9 
    
        1992-93                19.9 
    
        1993-94                21.3 
    
        1994-95                22.8 
    
        1995-96                23.5 
    

    .. Data not available
    Source: Composition of Trade Australia, Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade

    4.3 Current Account Deficit

    Percentage of gross domestic product

    Click here for graph

                             Annual 
    
        1976-77                 2.8 
    
        1977-78                 3.1 
    
        1978-79                 3.3 
    
        1979-80                 1.6 
    
        1980-81                 3.9 
    
        1981-82                 5.5 
    
        1982-83                 3.8 
    
        1983-84                 3.7 
    
        1984-85                 4.9 
    
        1985-86                 6.1 
    
        1986-87                 4.4 
    
        1987-88                 3.4 
    
        1988-89                 5.1 
    
        1989-90                 5.8 
    
        1990-91                 4.0 
    
        1991-92                 3.0 
    
        1992-93                 3.7 
    
        1993-94                 3.9 
    
        1994-95                 6.1 
    
        1995-96                 4.2 
    

    Source: Balance of Payments, ABS (5301.0, 5302.0)

    4.4 Terms of Trade

    Ratio of export prices to import prices - index (1989-90 = 100)

    Click here for graph

                September       December          March          June  
                  quarter        quarter        quarter       quarter 
    
    1976-77         111.0          106.7          105.3         104.5 
                                                                      
    
    1977-78          98.9           95.7           95.7          97.6 
                                                                      
    
    1978-79          96.1           95.4           97.4         101.2 
                                                                      
    
    1979-80         100.9          102.2          102.4         100.2 
                                                                      
    
    1980-81         100.3          100.3          101.6         100.0 
                                                                      
    
    1981-82         101.6           98.6           95.8          98.2 
                                                                      
    
    1982-83          97.7           96.8           97.3          98.6 
                                                                      
    
    1983-84          98.7          100.0           99.6         100.0 
                                                                      
    
    1984-85          99.6           99.2           98.9          92.5 
                                                                      
    
    1985-86          93.3           89.3           86.7          84.9 
                                                                      
    
    1986-87          81.4           82.0           81.6          82.7 
                                                                      
    
    1987-88          85.6           86.1           89.0          92.9 
                                                                      
    
    1988-89          98.0           99.0          102.9         101.5 
                                                                      
    
    1989-90          99.9          101.0           99.2          99.8 
                                                                      
    
    1990-91          99.3           95.3           92.7          92.1 
                                                                      
    
    1991-92          92.8           92.0           91.9          92.3 
                                                                      
    
    1992-93          90.5           89.5           89.3          88.1 
                                                                      
    
    1993-94          87.2           87.4           87.7          88.6 
                                                                      
    
    1994-95          89.1           91.2           92.7          93.0 
                                                                      
    
    1995-96          94.0           94.0           95.9          97.8 
                                                                      
    

    Source: National Income and Expenditure, ABS (5206.0)

    4.5 Exchange Rates

    US cents per Australian dollar

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              Jul    Aug   Sep   Oct   Nov    Dec   Jan   Feb    Mar   Apr   May    Jun 
    
    1976-77 124.1  124.6 123.7 122.6 101.2  108.6 108.7 109.7  110.3 110.5 110.4  111.6 
                                                                                        
    
    1977-78 112.3  110.5 110.8 112.4 112.7  114.1 113.8 113.7  114.3 113.6 113.0  114.8 
                                                                                        
    
    1978-79 115.5  115.2 115.7 118.9 113.6  115.1 113.3 112.8  111.8 110.2 110.5  112.1 
                                                                                        
    
    1979-80 113.0  112.8 113.0 109.7 109.4  110.6 110.7 109.9  108.3 111.5 114.3  115.8 
                                                                                        
    
    1980-81 115.3  116.6 116.9 117.3 116.4  118.1 117.1 115.7  116.8 115.1 113.9  114.8 
                                                                                        
    
    1981-82 113.6  115.1 114.1 113.5 115.1  112.8 109.9 107.4  105.0 106.1 104.8  102.2 
                                                                                        
    
    1982-83  99.6   96.4  94.9  93.7  95.5   98.1  97.2  96.1   86.3  86.8  88.2   87.5 
                                                                                        
    
    1983-84  88.1   87.9  89.7  91.6  91.3   90.2  91.8  94.3   93.5  92.0  89.9   86.1 
                                                                                        
    
    1984-85  83.0   84.9  83.3  84.9  86.0   82.8  81.5  71.4   70.5  65.2  65.8   66.6 
                                                                                        
    
    1985-86  72.7   70.3  70.8  70.0  68.5   68.1  71.6  70.1   71.2  73.9  71.7   67.7 
                                                                                        
    
    1986-87  59.8   60.9  62.7  64.2  64.9   66.5  66.1  67.5   70.5  70.5  71.4   72.0 
                                                                                        
    
    1987-88  69.8   71.2  71.9  67.6  70.5   72.3  71.4  72.0   73.9  75.9  80.5   79.4 
                                                                                        
    
    1988-89  80.5   80.7  78.3  82.6  87.8   85.6  88.9  80.0   81.9  79.3  74.8   75.5 
                                                                                        
    
    1989-90  75.2   76.6  77.6  78.3  78.2   79.3  77.1  75.9   75.4  75.1  76.9   78.9 
                                                                                        
    
    1990-91  79.0   81.6  82.7  78.5  77.5   77.3  78.5  78.5   77.5  78.2  76.1   76.8 
                                                                                        
    
    1991-92  77.8   78.5  80.0  78.4  78.5   76.0  75.0  75.5   76.8  75.9  75.9   74.9 
                                                                                        
    
    1992-93  74.4   71.3  71.4  69.5  68.2   68.8  67.9  69.6   70.6  71.2  67.7   67.2 
                                                                                        
    
    1993-94  68.3   67.1  64.5  66.6  65.9   67.7  71.1  71.8   70.1  71.2  73.6   72.9 
                                                                                        
    
    1994-95  73.9   74.3  73.9  74.2  76.7   77.7  75.8  74.0   72.8  73.0  71.4   70.9 
                                                                                        
    
    1995-96  73.9   75.2  75.5  75.7  74.7   74.5  74.5  76.4   77.9  78.5  79.8   78.9 
                                                                                        
    

    Source: Reserve Bank of Australia Bulletin, Reserve Bank of Australia

    4.6 International Competitiveness Index*

    Index of adjusted unit labour costs

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                September       December          March          June  
                  quarter        quarter        quarter       quarter 
    
    1976-77         140.7          132.8          126.2         125.5 
                                                                      
    
    1977-78         124.9          122.9          119.4         115.4 
                                                                      
    
    1978-79         109.9          106.0          105.4         106.0 
                                                                      
    
    1979-80         105.6          105.8          107.0         107.3 
                                                                      
    
    1980-81         109.4          108.2          115.1         118.4 
                                                                      
    
    1981-82         124.2          122.5          127.4         127.5 
                                                                      
    
    1982-83         128.5          124.3          122.7         110.2 
                                                                      
    
    1983-84         113.9          116.9          121.5         119.5 
                                                                      
    
    1984-85         117.6          119.3          110.7          96.1 
                                                                      
    
    1985-86          96.8           91.6           90.1          88.4 
                                                                      
    
    1986-87          75.9           78.8           79.7          81.6 
                                                                      
    
    1987-88          84.4           78.8           80.1          86.9 
                                                                      
    
    1988-89          93.5           96.1          100.8          96.9 
                                                                      
    
    1989-90          97.3          100.7           98.8         103.1 
                                                                      
    
    1990-91         103.8           95.3           96.4          98.3 
                                                                      
    
    1991-92          99.6           96.4           91.0          91.7 
                                                                      
    
    1992-93          85.2           82.4           81.9          79.6 
                                                                      
    
    1993-94          75.1           75.3           79.2          80.8 
                                                                      
    
    1994-95          79.6           81.1           80.4          75.1 
                                                                      
    
    1995-96          80.0           83.7           85.4          91.5 
                                                                      
    

    The ratio of unit labour costs in the non-farm sector of the Australian economy to the weighted geometric average of the exchange rate adjusted unit labour costs in the business sector for Australia's four major import sources (US, Japan, UK and Germany). A fall in the index means an improvement in international competitiveness.
    Source: Economic Roundup, Commonwealth Treasury

    4.7 Net Foreign Debt

    Percentage of gross domestic product

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                             Annual 
    
        1976-77                 4.4 
    
        1977-78                 6.5 
    
        1978-79                 7.3 
    
        1979-80                 5.6 
    
        1980-81                 6.1 
    
        1981-82                10.4 
    
        1982-83                13.6 
    
        1983-84                15.3 
    
        1984-85                23.6 
    
        1985-86                31.4 
    
        1986-87                32.6 
    
        1987-88                32.3 
    
        1988-89                34.6 
    
        1989-90                35.6 
    
        1990-91                37.5 
    
        1991-92                39.8 
    
        1992-93                41.4 
    
        1993-94                38.1 
    
        1994-95                39.9 
    
        1995-96                38.6 
    

    Source: International Investment Position Australia, ABS (5306.0)

    4.8 Debt Servicing Ratio

    Interest on net foreign debt as a percentage of exports of goods and services

                             Annual 
    
        1976-77                 2.3 
    
        1977-78                 3.2 
    
        1978-79                 4.0 
    
        1979-80                 4.1 
    
        1980-81                 4.2 
    
        1981-82                 6.5 
    
        1982-83                 8.9 
    
        1983-84                10.0 
    
        1984-85                12.2 
    
        1985-86                15.2 
    
        1986-87                16.4 
    
        1987-88                15.1 
    
        1988-89                17.2 
    
        1989-90                20.5 
    
        1990-91                19.0 
    
        1991-92                15.6 
    
        1992-93                12.0 
    
        1993-94                11.3 
    
        1994-95                12.2 
    
        1995-96                11.3 
    

    Source: International Investment Position Australia, ABS (5306.0)

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