Research Brief no. 4 2004–05
Australia's Maritime Strategy in the 21st century
Alex
Tewes, Laura Rayner and Kelly Kavanaugh
Foreign Affairs, Defence and Trade Section
29 November 2004
Contents
The Anglo-Japanese Alliance of 1902
Imperial Defence: ‘One fleet one Empire’
World War One
The interwar years
The Littoral in Modern Warfare (Projecting power
ashore in a complex environment)
National Power
Asymmetric Warfare and the Revolution in Military
Affairs (RMA)
Maritime Strategy after 9/11
‘Plus ca change, plus c’est la meme chose.’ (The
more things change, the more they stay the same)
Diplomatic
Constabulary
Warfighting
Broad Security
The US Navy Doctrine ‘Forward … From the Sea’
The UK’s 1998 Strategic Review – Rebirth of Middle-Power
Expeditionary Warfare
Anti-Access Warfare: The response to Expeditionary
Maritime Strategies
If our nature is characterised
by our myths and legends, then Australia is not a maritime nation. As
a people, we are happy to lie at the beach and toss pebbles at the waves,
or turn our back upon it and fix our gaze on the dusty enormity of our
island continent. Our myths and legends, of both peace and war, celebrate
the land and our impression upon it. We know all about the wartime heroism
of the ‘Rats of Tobruk’ but few know of the ‘Scrap Iron Flotilla’ that
fiercely contested Hitler’s reach upon the Mediterranean Sea.(1)
We celebrate Gallipoli but ignore submarine AE-1. We remember Kokoda
but forget about the Leyte Gulf. This may be partly because we never
had a ‘Grand Fleet‘ that sailed off to do battle with its enemy equivalent.
In land and sea we provided components that plugged and merged into
other forces and fleets. One side effect of this approach is that we
supported the strategies of others rather than give power to our own.
The term ‘strategy’ is derived from the ancient Greek
word ‘strategia’ meaning ‘generalship’. Originally reserved for the
direction of military forces, the term came to be used more broadly
through the idea of ‘total war’ as demonstrated through World War I
and World War II. As the term implies, in such wars the total efforts
of the state, through conscription and national mobilisation, were devoted
to the defeat, not only of the adversary’s armed forces, but of its
nation as a whole. This idea of national security being limited to the
concept of military security flourished during the Cold War as the prospect
of strategic nuclear war influenced all interactions between states.
Much of what has been written on maritime strategies emerged from this
era of Total War. Conflict for the unimpeded use of the world’s oceans
between the UK and Germany, and later the US and the USSR was a constant
feature of the strategic environment.
The end of the Cold War in 1991 brought about a major
strategic rearrangement to the world’s maritime frontiers. The US Navy
became the undisputed superpower and thus secured the world’s oceans
for the allies that sailed in its shadow. These changes enabled the
ideas of national security to become broader and more complex than just
military security. Questions of transnational crime, of the unregulated
movement of people across borders, and of environmental threats became
recognised as valid security concerns for the nations of the world.
As the concept of security broadened, so too did the need for security
strategies that included these broader concerns. Consequently, maritime
strategy needs to consider those non-military aspects of national power
that govern and influence those broader security concerns at sea and
on the lands which the seas influence.
This paper was originally developed under the title
‘A Foundation Paper on Australia’s Maritime Strategy’ as an aid to the
deliberations of the Joint Standing Committee on Foreign Affairs, Defence
and Trade for the enquiry into Australia’s Maritime Strategy, which
published its final report in June 2004. This enquiry provided an opportunity
for the questioning of some of the fundamental tenets underpinning Australia’s
security thinking. This Foundation Paper is now released as a standalone
document to inform public discussion in the lead-up to the development
of the government’s next Defence White Paper, or National Security White
Paper.
This document aims to put the debate surrounding
Australia’s maritime strategy within a coherent context. Readers should
note that this document gives no answers but aims solely to provide
the foundations upon which meaningful questions may be asked. In Section
I, this document provides an historical summary of strategic developments
in Australia up to the development of the concept of self-reliance.
Section II covers the development of Australia’s maritime strategy from
the Dibb Report until the Defence 2000 White Paper. Section III looks
at the current situation, and focuses on the issues affecting the future
development of Australia’s Maritime Strategy. The paper includes an
appendix which reviews New Zealand’s approach to its own maritime strategy.
‘The ultimate
source of strategy lies in the values of the people of a nation.’
Admiral Henry E. Eccles USN(2)
The development of Australia’s maritime strategy possibly
has had more to do with its relationships with its larger allies than
as a direct response to its strategic circumstances, that is,
to a greater or lesser extent, Australia has traditionally responded
to its strategic circumstances through its relationships with great
and powerful friends. To a large measure, this has been an understandable
and practical response. Australia’s size, its isolation, sparse population
and limited financial resources have made security difficult to even
contemplate achieving alone, ‘however, although reducing the feeling
of vulnerability, this reliance on allies has tended to inhibit the
development of strategic independence’.(3)
The themes running through the history of Australia’s
security policy and defence strategies have been identified as including:
‘the evolving nature of relationships with major power allies, the development
of greater confidence in Australia’s capacity to provide for its own
security in its local region, the types of defence contingencies that
have driven defence planning, the development of Australia’s economic
capacity’ which enabled it to sustain a defence development program
‘impressive by regional standards’, and ‘the evolution of close consultative
and cooperative defence relations with most of Australia’s neighbours
in Southeast Asia and the Southwest Pacific’.(4)
Australia’s relationship with its maritime environment
can also be explained in terms of its strategic culture. It has been
argued that despite being ‘an island continent dependent on sea communications
and trade’, Australia is not culturally a maritime nation, rather ‘Australians
are a costal people with a continental outlook, an island-nation with
an inward focus’.(5) In the 20th century at least, this led
to a division in Australian military thinking between continentalism
and navalism (that is, land defence proponents struggling for supremacy
over those who argued for the greater importance of maritime defence).(6)
Australia’s strategic culture has also been described
as idiosyncratic with seemingly conflicting elements of ‘predilection
to alliances’ juxtaposed with ‘an almost equally strong disposition
towards self-reliance’. Other enduring elements of Australia’s strategic
culture include: ‘a highly possessive approach’ to islands in the immediate
neighbourhood; ‘an acute sense of vulnerability’ in relation to the
sparse population in the north and west of the continent, manifesting
as an ‘persistent anxiety about invasion’; and ‘an endemic ambivalence
towards Indonesia’.(7)
It could be argued that the history of maritime strategy
as it affected Australia from the founding of the colony to the fall
of Singapore in 1942, and perhaps beyond, can be summed up in three
words: ‘The Royal Navy’. While it is quite true that until the fall
of Singapore Australian maritime strategy was dictated by British and
Imperial strategy and Australia’s security was dependent on the Royal
Navy, there are some milestones in the slow development of an independent
Australian maritime strategy that should be acknowledged.
It can be argued that the founding of the new colony
was an expression of Great Britain’s maritime strategy, especially as
a means of denying expansion to imperial rivals, such as the French.
The British Empire’s control of the sea was no less important to the
colonists. The colony was not viable without outside assistance in its
early years, and the survival of the settlements depended on the safe
arrival of supplies by sea.
In second half of the 19th century, the
self governing colonies developed an increasing concern for the safety
of their settlements. Australia’s dependence on safe sea routes for
trade increased with the discovery of gold and the opening up of more
land for primary production for export. However, Australia’s ability
to influence events affecting its maritime security (that is, the security
of its trade and passenger vessels) remained minimal in the littoral
or coastal waters, and non-existent in blue water terms, despite colonial
attempts to acquire warships and naval forces, and despite the Queensland
naval force’s expedition to acquire a colony, Papua, on behalf of, but
without reference to, the British authorities. Essentially, the
maritime strategy of the Australian self-governing colonies was to depend
on the Royal Navy for protection from a succession of possible threats
from France, Germany, Russia and the United States. This dependence
came at a price in the second half of the 19th century when through
a series of arrangements the colonies began to subsidise the Royal Navy’s
presence and protection.
The Jervois Report of 1877, which surveyed the condition
of the Australian colonies’ defences, assessed that the greatest danger
to Australia would be ‘small scale naval raids’ launched from the French
port of Saigon or from Russian or American Pacific bases attacking the
major Australian ports and capturing merchant trade and gold shipments.(8)
During the 1870s and 1880s, ‘the notion of the interdependence of the
empire and the need to protect the empire’s lines of communication became
accepted as the basis of imperial defence’.(9) However, the
colonies had a broader view of imperial security than their focus on
protection from raiders would suggest. During the late 1880s, the Australian
colonial troops assisted Britain in maintaining imperial discipline
in the Sudan, the Boer War and 1900 Boxer Rebellion in China. Support
for reliance on Britain was not universal, however, with ‘republican
antecedents of the Labor Party’ arguing for ‘a more self-reliant and
independent defence posture’.(10)
At Federation, Australia’s maritime defence was still
subject to the 1887 Agreements between the United Kingdom and each Australian
colony (whereby the colonies paid a subsidy towards the cost of naval
defence) and dependent on the Royal Navy. Prior to 1909, the focus of
the Commonwealth’s new naval forces was local defence, such as port
fortifications, with ‘little consideration of “blue-water” strategy’.(11)
The primary threat to Australia was still considered to be ‘small scale
raids by enemy cruisers, rather than large scale invasion’.(12)
The naval defence of Australia was three-tiered: the Royal Navy provided
an imperial squadron as the first line of defence; the second tier comprised
an auxiliary squadron of third-class vessels which had been subsidised
by the colonies and were not supposed to be used outside Australian
waters; and the third tier comprised the colonial fleets used mainly
for harbour protection.(13) The Colonial Defence Committee
considered that ‘the maintenance of British supremacy at sea is the
first condition of the security of Australian territory and trade in
war’ and ‘the Barton government initially lacked any firm or considered
policy on naval defence’.(14)
However, even if the new Commonwealth had the financial
means to establish a proper navy and develop a blue water strategy,
its ability to do so would have been limited as Australian warships
were prohibited from operating outside territorial waters without being
under the control and orders of the Royal Navy. Despite Federation,
‘the Commonwealth was still not a sovereign state and thus under international
law (and in the eyes of foreign powers) her warships were not recognised
as distinctly “Australian”’.(15) This situation eased after
Australia adopted the Naval Discipline Act (UK), but Australian warships
were still restricted to the Australia Station ‘unless under the orders
of a British admiral’.(16)
In 1902, Britain made an alliance with Japan which
was renewed in 1905 and 1911. Britain wanted to contain Russian ambitions
in the Far East to protect its own interests in China and Korea. The
alliance received initial popular support in Australia as being beneficial
to Australia’s security and commercial interests as it decreased the
likelihood that an expansionist Japan would threaten British or Australian
interests in the Asia-Pacific region. However, Australians in general
were very wary of Japan, and by 1905 with the rise of Japan, its defeat
of the Russian fleet, and the growth of its military capability, it
was Britain’s new ally in the Pacific which was generally seen in Australia
as a greater threat to the Commonwealth than Germany, which was increasingly
seen by Britain as posing the greatest threat to it. In 1908, the United
States, also wary of Japan’s intentions, sent its fleet on a warmly
welcomed goodwill visit to Australia to gauge Australian sentiment and
military strength in advance of the possibility that the Anglo-Japanese
Alliance might see Australia and the US on opposite sides in a US-Japanese
conflict.
Under the Naval Agreement of 1903 (which was strongly
criticised during debates in the Australian Parliament), the Commonwealth
still had neither ownership nor control of naval forces, despite paying
an increased subsidy, albeit less than half the actual cost of the service.(17)
In addition, those British warships assigned to the Australia Station
could be removed from Australian waters without the approval of the
Commonwealth.
Captain W. R. Creswell, appointed to the new position
of Director of Naval Forces in March 1904 was a proponent of an independent
Australian naval force. Creswell disagreed with the London-based Committee
of Imperial Defence’s theory ‘that as an attack on Australia by raiders
would be met by a preponderating (sic) force sent in pursuit’, there
was no ‘strategic justification’ for an expanded Australian navy. Creswell
saw benefit in having suitable forces on the spot. This was especially
important given Australia’s lack of internal communications, as ‘the
sea provided the only means of communication with Western Australia
and Tasmania, and Queensland depended totally on sea transport for contact
with its northern districts’. Creswell was concerned that interstate
and overseas trade valued at over 170 million pounds had been left out
of consideration in Australian defence plans and he feared that the
imperial squadron would be removed in war, ‘leaving local commerce unprotected
and forced to seek refuge’.(18)
In 1909 during a special imperial naval conference
the British Admiralty, under Admiral Fisher suggested the creation of
dominion fleet units (the fleet unit concept) based on squadrons which
would serve the Australia, New Zealand, Canada and South Africa stations
and combine to form a Pacific Fleet. Britain could then leave the naval
defence of the Pacific almost entirely to the dominions.(19)
Unfortunately the Admiralty did not keep its commitments and by 1913
the agreement had been breached. Britain had changed its priorities
and was now focussing on home waters. In the meantime, in 1911, the
Permanent Naval Forces of the Commonwealth had become the Royal Australian
Navy
In 1915 the Australian War Staff’s position paper noted
that in 1914 the Admiralty had rejected the 1909 plan for a Pacific
squadron. The paper expressed concern that, as the current war was almost
purely an Atlantic affair, Pacific problems would continue to be secondary
to the British authorities and Australia could not safely leave it to
Britain to establish the protective fleet necessary for Australia’s
defence, or even to contribute to the bulk of it. Britain might never
provide the necessary assets or might change its mind as had happened
in 1909 and 1914 and withdraw its ships ‘at an awkward moment’. (20)
At the outbreak of war, the Royal Australian Navy (the
RAN comprised one battle cruiser, three six inch gun cruisers, three
destroyers, two submarines, and some survey, harbour and repair ships)
was put under the control of the British Admiralty under which arrangement
RAN ships saw action in Australian waters and abroad. The RAN was able
to use its assets to remove German control of New Guinea, but Australian
troopships on their way to the Middle East/Europe were protected not
only by RAN and RN ships, but also by the Japanese Navy under the Anglo
Japanese Alliance of 1902.
Despite having secured a seat at the Peace Conference
Australia was still bound to Imperial naval strategy and, as part of
the British Empire’s quota to decrease its navy, the RAN had to scuttle
HMAS Australia. In this period Australia abandoned any pretence of a
blue water strategy and returned to local naval defence,(21)
remaining in a dependent relationship with the Royal Navy for the inter-war
period. Two reports commissioned in this period identified Japan as
the main potential threat to Australia’s security. Both saw the need
for a large British naval presence in the region and one, by General
Chauvel, recognised that in the event of an attack on Australia, Australia
would have to rely on its own resources ‘for an appreciable and anxious
period.’ (22)However, in 1925 the Committee for Imperial
Defence, looking ten years ahead, dismissed any ‘aggressive action an
the part of Japan’ as ‘not a contingency to seriously to be considered.’(23)
Naval defence planning was difficult in pre war years because of this
uncertainty. The revoking of Britain’s ten year no-threat assessment
in 1932 prompted a reassessment in Australia and recognition, by some
at least, of the possibility that Australia would have to rely solely
on its own resources for its defence.(24)
The
Singapore Strategy
The Singapore Strategy which dominated Australian defence
planning in the inter-war years had two components: the construction
of a major secure naval base at Singapore and the speedy dispatch (within
six weeks, extended to 90 days by 1939)of a large Royal Navy fleet to
deter and defend British and dominion territories and interests in the
Asia Pacific from hostile forces. The strategy was a reaffirmation of
the imperial defence doctrine that had dominated the previous century
– a blue-water strategy which asserted that if the Royal Navy dominated
the seas, the outlying areas of the empire would be secure against a
major invasion, with local forces dealing with local defence. (25)However,
even in the same year as the 1923 Imperial Conference, the Australian
Government was being warned by General Chauvel, the Inspector-General
of Australian Military Forces, against having ‘a blind faith in the
powers of the British Navy’.(26) In succeeding reports Chauvel
continued to warn that a threat to Britain in Europe would delay the
arrival of the promised fleet in Singapore. However, the RAN’s arguments
for a blue-water imperial defence strategy won out over the Australian
Army’s pursuit of continental defence.(27)
The 1924 British announcement that it would not proceed
with the Singapore strategy (supposedly as a matter of principle not
for questions of economy) prompted the Australian Government to ‘institute
a long-term naval expansion program in Australia’s own interests, including
the building of two cruisers to Washington Treaty limits’.(28)
However, Australia continued to request and receive assurances from
Britain that a fleet would be forthcoming. Although Britain warned that
it was impossible to predict what might happen, at the 1937 Imperial
Conference it was still assuring Australia that the basis of its strategy
was to establish as early as possible after the outbreak of hostilities
with Japan, a fleet with enough strength to defend against, or deter,
any threat to British interests in the Far East. Australia, lacking
an independent military intelligence capability, ‘had little choice
but to accept British assurances’.(29)
However, at the same time, the British Chiefs of Staff
were advising their government that they could not foresee a time when
their defences would be strong enough to defend their territory, trade
and vital interests against simultaneous threats from Germany, Italy
and Japan.(30) Although Singapore was widely regarded as
‘central to Australian and British defence planning in the Asia-Pacific
in the inter-war years’, cuts in British defence spending in the 1920s
and 1930s meant that it was not until the mid-1930s that ‘serious attention
was devoted to the task of completing the base’.(31)
The Singapore strategy ‘at one level … rested on an
element of bluff’ that a naval base, as both a symbol and a tangible
indication of British determination to protect its interests, would
deter Japanese aggression. The bluff could not survive the dramatically
changed strategic circumstances of a world war, that is, war against
more than one aggressor and in more than one theatre. (32)
As with World War I, the Second Australian Imperial
Force’s (2nd AIF’s) expeditionary role was made possible
by ‘the maritime supremacy of the alliances in which Australia operated’
(that is, transport of troops and equipment and sustainment of operations).
It was when this maritime supremacy was under threat, as in 1941-42,
that ‘Australia was most in peril’.(33)
The RAN’s primary tasks during World War II were the
protection of shipping and support of land operations, that is, supply
of the besieged fortress of Tobruk and support of Australian troops
in South West Pacific Area. As Captain James Goldrick puts it: ‘A navy
created and trained in the form of the RAN was always more about what
it enabled others to do than what it appeared to achieve in its own
right’.(34) By late 1940 the strategic challenge for Australia
was to establish exactly what British Far East Strategy would be and
how it would relate and depend on American strategy, and where Australia’s
naval effort fitted in with British plans.(35)
World War II demonstrated the overwhelming importance
of sea power. The Australian 1947 five-year defence plan included provision
of two light fleet carriers reflecting the RANs desire to possess an
independent regional capability and the capability to make substantial
contributions to allied operations. However, as the US and UK were so
pre-eminent, ‘any Australian attempts at “independence” at sea seemed
unnecessary’, and given the limited funds available ‘the question of
relevance was an acute one’.(36)
The 1946 Chiefs of Staff’s appreciation, or formal
assessment, of Australia’s strategic position argued that Australia’s
defence would continue to be based on empire cooperation because ‘the
size of the country demanded more for its defence, armed forces and
an industrial potential quite beyond [its] present capacity’.(37)
Thus Australia’s focus remained ‘the possible contribution to the global
strategies of our major allies’. The naval author Commodore Hector Donohue
has remarked that it was less than two years later that, with the recognition
that the British Empire was beginning to break up, the ‘first flicker
of a new theme appeared in the Chiefs’ 1947 appreciation which saw the
necessity for Australia to “make greater efforts for self-sufficiency”.(38)
Australia was very apprehensive that Japan would again
pose a threat to its security. Despite this Australia had again committed
itself, under the empire defence regime, to supporting Britain in the
Middle East with ground forces should war break out with the Soviet
Union, with Australian naval forces remaining in the ANZAM [the term
stands for Australia, New Zealand And Malaya] area(39) and
the air force being deployed to Malaya. Commentators have argued that,
given the events of 1942, Australia and New Zealand ‘were less sanguine
about leaving the defence [of their countries] to chance, and sought
security guarantees from the United States’.(40) At a meeting
between the British and American chiefs of staff in Washington in October
1950, the US Joint Chiefs of Staff made a secret undertaking that the
US would counter seaborne threats to either Australia or New Zealand,
allowing them to plan Middle East deployments. It was fortunate for
Australian maritime strategy that during this period the greatest threat
to the security of the United States was considered to be a Soviet submarine
offensive in the Far East. Therefore the United States recognised the
value of ‘some form of cooperation with British and Commonwealth forces
for the contingent defence of the ANZAM and CINCPAC [Commander-in-Chief
Pacific] areas’.(41)
Indeed, the threat of the expansion of communism, with
the communist victory in China and the outbreak of the Korean War in
1950 along with communist insurgency in Malaya and the conflict in Indo
China, replaced the threat of Japan in Australian strategic perceptions
and ANZUS [the Australia New Zealand and United States Alliance] proved
flexible enough to accommodate the change. It has been argued that Australia’s
support for the US position on Korea earned the gratitude of the Truman
administration leading to the eventual tripartite alliance with the
US and New Zealand.(42) The ANZUS alliance was a continuation
of the tradition of collective defence practised by necessity by both
Australia and New Zealand, and, while this policy arguably limited external
policy choices, it was relatively inexpensive and enabled government
to direct resources to economic development.(43)
In 1951, Australia, New Zealand and the United States
also negotiated an agreement—the Radford-Collins Agreement—to provide
for the protection and control of shipping in wartime in the ANZAM area,
and regular peacetime surveillance, that is, tracking potentially hostile
vessels and submarines in the area.
In considering the development of the naval dimension
of national strategy in this period we are to some extent talking about
things that did not happen. Apart from its role in the defence of military
shipping en route to operational areas in Southeast Asia, and despite
an era of ‘moderately high military activity … the RAN was in general
denied the opportunity to discharge any of its major functions’ as identified
in a Defence Committee minute in 1962. These functions were to provide
an effective and sustained naval contribution to allied forces maintaining
command of the seas in our areas of strategic interest; to contribute
to and defend military shipping en route to areas of operations in Southeast
Asia; to protect within the Australia station shipping carrying essential
imports and exports; and to cooperate with sister services in the defence
of Australia.(44)
The US focus on the threat of expanding communism in
the Asia Pacific facilitated the development of Australia’s policy of
forward defence. Forward defence had actually been the basis of Australian
defence policy since Federation, but in this instance, it referred to
Australia’s attempts to ensure that the gap between itself and the ‘southward
flow of communism’ did not narrow. To this end, Australia contributed
to the British Commonwealth Strategic Reserve (Far East) (FESR) and
became involved in the US-initiated Southeast Asia Treaty Organisation
(SEATO). For Australia, this was an insurance policy which, like the
later Vietnam War, was seen as the means of keeping the US interested
and engaged in the region. Underlying all this was the Australian government’s
growing fear of China and suspicions of its intentions which were seen
as menacing and expansionist, despite the fact that by 1964, China had
become Australia’s fifth largest trading market.(45)
The British announcement in 1967 that it would withdraw
half of its forces from Malaysia and Singapore by 1971, with the rest
being withdrawn by 1976, and President Nixon’s Guam Doctrine of 1969
which required US allies to provide the main forces for their own defence,
caused Australia to reassess its forward defence policy. Without major
allies actively engaged in the region, forward defence became impractical
for a defence force the size of Australia’s, and Australia had been
put on notice that a degree of self-reliance was going to be necessary
in conflicts other than with the Soviet Union.
In 1968, following the Britain’s east of Suez announcement,
the Australian Minister of Defence argued for greater independence in
defence planning. In the next few years the Liberal Country Party government
moved away from the overtly hostile view of Communist China and the
Soviet Union. The Gorton and McMahon governments began to examine alternatives
to forward defence and the Gorton government made statements ‘to the
effect that Australia faced no immediate or obvious threat’.(46)
In 1971 The Strategic Basis for Australian Defence
paper broke free of tradition in stating ‘a uniquely Australian strategic
perspective, eschewing traditional notions of dependence on allies and
down playing Australia’s global security role’. The 1971 paper recognised
the Asia-Pacific region as of vital importance to Australia’s security.
It identified the sea-air gap between Australia and Indonesia as being
the most likely route of any military threat to Australia. It also proposed
greater emphasis on continental defence without ruling out overseas
deployments in support of regional security.(47)
In the early 1970s, the recognition that Australia
could no longer rely on the military assistance of allies forced a rethink
of the threats Australia was likely to face. In a conceptual turnaround
Australia’s geography and isolation (long seen as a liability and the
reasons for the need for great and powerful friends) was now recognised
as an asset, as it made Australia a difficult target to attack. Only
the two superpowers had the capability to invade Australia. Regional
nations would need to develop such capabilities over many years, giving
Australia time to expand its defences.(48)
The focus of Australian strategy from 1972 was the
defence of Australia which ‘emphasised the importance of the capabilities
of strike and interdiction based on naval and air forces rather than
land forces.’(49) The 1972 Australian Defence Review ‘proposed
that the concept of self-reliance become a ‘central feature in the future
development of Australia’s defence policy’’.(50) Self-reliance
did not, however, mean that Australia no longer valued its major ally
as ‘the move towards self-reliance [was] accompanied by Canberra’s desire
to strengthen alliance ties with the US’(51).
Defence
of Australia and the emerging Maritime Strategy
This new era in Australian defence policy, largely
driven by the United States’ Guam Doctrine and the British withdrawal
from Suez was formalised in the 1976 Defence White Paper, Australian
Defence. The shift in defence policy that this represented was significant,
as for the first time in history Australia attempted to develop a uniquely
Australian military strategy that was not dependent on allies. This
represented a difficult period in Australia’s military history as previously
Australia’s military strategy, doctrine, training, equipment, command
structure, and importantly culture was structured around, or dictated
by our powerful allies.(52) However, with hindsight it can
be seen that the 1976 White Paper was an immature statement of Defence
policy that did not adequately address the significant shift from ‘forward
defence’ to ‘defence of Australia’, and from coalition operations to
joint operations. The White Paper did not detail how a strategy of defence
of Australia might be achieved. It lacked force structure implications
and strategic guidance, resulting in a protracted debate between Defence
planners over how to achieve a defence of Australia policy. The lack
of guidance in a period that was also marked by strategic uncertainty
over the expansion of the Soviet Union’s power within the region, resulted
in a strategy of ‘defence of Australia’ and self-reliance not being
realised.(53)
By 1985, the protracted debate over military strategy
had reached an impasse.(54) As a result, the then Minister
for Defence, Kim Beazley, commissioned Paul Dibb, a former member of
the Department of Defence, to examine the rationale of defence forward
planning and to advise on capabilities appropriate for Australia’s defence
requirements.(55)
The Dibb report was a detailed analysis of Australia’s
Defence
strategy. It reiterated that defence of Australia was Defence’s priority
task and proposed a strategy of denial, which was to be achieved through
a layered defence within our area of direct military interest (see figure
1).(56) The direct area of military interest extended between
1000 and 1500 nautical miles from our shores and it is within this area,
Dibb argued, that Australia must be able to project independent and
comprehensive military power in order to ensure the defence of Australia
from a military attack.(57) Dibb argued that there was no
apparent threat to Australia, large scale invasion was unlikely and
therefore forces should be structured around credible low level conflict
scenarios such as incursions, harassment and raids in northern Australia.
The strategy of denial was to be achieved through a layered approach
that focused on defending the sea-air gap to Australia’s north, presenting
the enemy with a series of interlocking barriers to an attack on Australia.
The layers are as follows:
-
the first layer included comprehensive intelligence
and surveillance, giving priority to real time surveillance out
to 1500 nautical miles using over the horizon radar and long range
maritime patrol aircraft to track and detect hostile intruders in
the sea-air gap, whist maintaining comprehensive intelligence about
military developments in the region(58)
-
the second layer was comprised of capable air and
naval forces, including air strike capabilities to counter threat
forces attempting to cross the sea-air gap once detected
-
the third layer focused on defensive capabilities
closer to the shoreline to prevent the enemy operations in Australia’s
focal areas or shipping lanes including mine counter measures, air
defence assets, and surface ships, while
-
the final layer of defence was mobile ground forces
to combat a threat force if it was successful at crossing the sea-air
gap, denying the adversary access to vital assets and population centres.
Dibb’s strategy was largely continental, with force
structure determined solely on the capability to defend the sea-air
gap. A strategy of denial gave little emphasis to promoting regional
security, alliances and force projection in order to assist in shaping
the regional and global security environment, specifically Dibb placed
less emphasis on ANZUS and the Radford-Collins agreement than previous
policies.(59) Critics of the Dibb report argued that it was
too defensive and was isolationist, specifically the report raised some
concerns internationally about Australia’s commitment to the region
and its alliances.(60)
Figure 1: Australia’s regional security interests and Australia’s
direct area of military interest

The Defence
of Australia 1987: Self-Reliance Within an Alliance Framework
The 1987 White Paper, The Defence of Australia,
largely reflected the line of thought identified in the 1976 White Paper,
however it was significant as it marked the first clear articulation
of Australia’s military strategy. The Dibb report formed the basis of
the White Paper. However it overcame some of the criticism of the Dibb
report by increasing the emphasis on developing closer security ties
within the region and by reiterating the importance of alliances.(61)
The White Paper focused on defence of Australia, emphasising
the need to defend our northern maritime approaches through a strategy
of defence in depth. This strategy was a revamped version of Dibb’s
strategy of denial with a greater emphasis on offensive strike. Defence
in depth gave priority to operations within Australia’s direct area
of military interest, emphasising the need for:
-
a comprehensive surveillance and intelligence network
to target and track threats at a distance from our shore
-
capable maritime forces (air and naval) to mount air
and maritime operations, including offensive strike and interdiction
missions in the sea-air gap
-
a comprehensive range of defensive capabilities, including
air defence, mine countermeasures and protection of coastal trade,
and
-
land forces to protect vital civil and military infrastructure
and to provide a mobile offensive capability against low level incursions
from an adversary whom had crossed the sea-air gap.
Similar to the Dibb report, land forces were largely
confined to the Australian continent.
The 1987 White Paper shaped to a large extend the current
Australian Defence Force’s (ADF’s) force structure as it commenced the
move of the Army to the north of Australia, the establishment of bare
aircraft bases and a squadron of F/A-18 aircraft in northern Australia,
as well as the establishment of a second RAN fleet base to be located
in Western Australia. Despite the increased focus on regional security
ties compared to Dibb, force structure priorities were still based solely
on capabilities that contributed to a strategy of defence in depth.
Australia’s
Maritime Strategy 1987–1994
The defence of Australia focus was quick to be tested
after the release of the 1987 White Paper, as changing regional and
global dynamics saw Australia’s military commitments focused far outside
our area of direct military interest, emphasising that Australia’s national
interests were not confined by our geography.(62) The apparent
disconnection between Australia’s declared military strategy versus
the operational reality raised questions about the appropriateness of
our force structure priorities. However in 1989 the then Foreign Affairs
and Trade Minister, Gareth Evans, stated that while the ADF was designed
for a defensive role, its capabilities ‘provide a foundation for our
capacity to contribute to a positive security environment through the
exercise of what might be described as military diplomacy’.(63)
He proposed that in light of fundamental changes that were taking place
in the wake of the end of the Cold War, there was a need for a strategy
of ‘constructive commitment’ towards the South Pacific. He suggested
that Australia would be prepared to use its military forces in the South
Pacific in ‘pursuit of security interests not directly affecting the
defence of Australia’(64).
The end of the Cold War in 1991 led to a considerable
change in the global strategic environment. The Department of Defence
however, argued that the strategic changes were of ‘little direct relevance
to the formulation of Australia’s defence policy and force structure
development’ and therefore Australia’s military strategy remained focused
on sea-denial operations in northern Australia.(65) Leading
up to the release of the 1994 White Paper, it was evident that the Department
of Defence had finally recognised that the end of the Cold War had a
significant impact globally and that Australia’s military strategy needed
to account for the changes in the regional security environment that
had resulted.
Defending Australia:
Defence White Paper 1994
At the tabling of the 1994 White Paper, the Minister
of Defence, Robert Ray, stated that the end of the Cold War had ‘fundamentally
changed the global security environment’, that no part of the globe
was unaffected, and that strategic circumstances have changed in the
region and worldwide.(66) The end of the Cold War ended the
threat of global war but also ended the stability which it imposed on
the Asia-Pacific region. The increased economic growth within the region
was predicted to continue and with it the expansion of military capabilities.
This expansion of military capabilities within the region created a
potentially destabilising effect which resulted in Australia’s strategic
environment being more demanding than before.(67)
Despite the significance of events in the global and
regional security environment between 1987 and 1994, this change was
not reflected in the White Paper. It continued to focus on defence of
Australia and operations in the sea-air gap through a strategy of depth
in defence which was similar to the 1987 strategy of defence in depth.
The 1994 White Paper gave increasing priority to regional engagement
but placed less emphasis on ties with the United States compared to
previous White Papers. Despite the slight shift in emphasis to regional
engagement, defence of Australia still was given primacy, and force
structure determinants were solely based on defence of Australia roles.
Australia’s Strategic Policy 1997
In 1996, the new Liberal-National coalition government
was faced with growing tensions between the need for self-reliance and
regional engagement. The release of the Australia’s Strategic Policy
(ASP97) in 1997 saw Australia’s strategic interests broadened from previous
policies to encompass the Asia-Pacific region (68) and it
also saw a return in emphasis on the US alliance.
Defence of Australia was renamed Defeating Attacks
on Australia and remained the ADF’s priority task. However ASP97 argued
that ‘we need to recognise that regional conflicts–which may well relate
directly to our security, or at least have a knock-on effect–are more
likely than direct attacks on Australia’.(69) ASP97 recognised
the importance of regional security on a defence of Australia policy,
gave more emphasis to Australian operations within the region and to
contributing to peace operations. ASP97 concluded that because of Australia’s
unique geography, a maritime rather than a continental strategy is best
suited to our geo-strategic situation. However, the declared maritime
strategy did not represent a significant shift in focus from previous
White Papers as force structure was still centred on defeating aggressors
in our maritime approaches though capable intelligence, surveillance,
command and control, air superiority, maritime interdiction and strike.
However, ASP97 did recognise that greater consideration needs to be
given to the capabilities needed to defend our regional interests and
that it cannot be assumed that forces developed for defence of Australia
would be adequate for defending Australia’s regional interests.
Michael Evans, Head of the Australian Army’s Land Warfare
Studies Centre, has made the observation that ASP97 ‘upholds the narrow
primacy of defending the sea-air gap between Australia and the northern
archipelagos rather than the sea-land-air gap that reflects the reality
of littoral battlespace’.(72) Evans also notes that a credible
maritime strategy needs to take account of the requirement for land
forces to secure forward operating bases for sea and air assets, emphasising
the need for force projection capabilities and amphibious operations.(73)
In June 2000, the government released Defence
Review 2000: Our Future Defence Force – A Public Discussion Paper, which
sought input from the public on national security issues to inform the
White Paper. The discussion paper came at a time when Australia was
at a level of operation commitment not experienced since the Vietnam
War. The paper sought to gain public support for an increase in defence
funding as the ADF faced the prospect of the block obsolescence of some
of its most important capabilities.(74)
The Prime Minister, John Howard, presented Defence
2000 as ‘the most comprehensive reappraisal of Australian defence capability
for decades’.(75) The significance of the White Paper, however,
is possibly more along the lines of (as described by Dibb) an ‘evolutionary
rather that a revolutionary’ change.(76) It was evolutionary
in that it further matured the concept of defence of Australia and marked
a shift towards the development of a maritime strategy, however it was
not a significant change from previous defence policies.
Defence 2000 continued along the same lines as ASP97
emphasising that ‘the key to defending Australia is to control the air
and sea approaches to our continent, so as to deny them to hostile ships
and aircraft, and provide maximum freedom of action for our forces’
and concluding that this requires a fundamentally maritime strategy.(77)
Defence 2000 however, was the first White Paper to recognise that controlling
our sea and air approaches was a joint operation and that maritime forces
included all three services. Compared to previous policies, the White
Paper clearly recognised the role of maritime forces in maritime security
of the wider region, the protection of Australian ports from sea mines,
support of civil law enforcement and coastal surveillance operations.
However Australia’s maritime strategy was then narrowly described as
a strategy of sea denial across the sea-air gap and hence only represents
a small tenet of a true maritime strategy.
The shift to a more considered joint maritime strategy
was evident in the White Paper as it highlighted that land forces had
a ‘vital and central’ role in a maritime strategy.(78) Despite
this welcomed statement, the White Paper then described role of land
forces primarily in the same vain as Dibb: defending vital assets and
conducting offensive operations against threat forces that land on Australian
territory. It can be argued, however, that while the ADF has considerably
matured in its ability to conduct joint operations, the declaratory
policy of defence of Australia lacks detailed consideration of joint
operations, which is essential for medium powers to be truly effective
and for the development of a mature maritime strategy. The White Paper
highlights the requirement for maritime forces to achieve sea control
stating that ‘the ability to operate freely in our surrounding oceans,
and deny them to others is critical to the defence of Australia, and
to our capacity to contribute effectively to the security of our immediate
neighbourhood’. However the ADF’s ability to achieve sea control in
the sea-air gap—which implies denying freedom of action to the enemy
while maintaining your own freedom of action—except in confined areas
for short periods of time, is questionable given the current and planned
force structure. In particular the limited air defence capabilities
of our surface ships until the air warfare capable ships come into service
would mean that the ADF is reliant on land-based aircraft for air defence.
Such aircraft characteristically lack permanence and to some extent
‘reach’ even with air-to-air refuelling.
The
White Paper emphasised that the ADF may be deployed on operations within
the region and beyond, and importantly that operations in the region
will be considered in force structure development. However, defence
of Australia still has primacy. The White Paper details a need for a
high level of preparedness to respond to short notice crises in the
region, giving priority for the Army to sustain a brigade deployed on
operations for extended periods whilst maintaining a battalion group
available for deployment elsewhere. ADF operations in support of East
Timor’s independence highlighted the importance of air and sea lift
which was reflected in the White Paper. However, importantly, the White
Paper only planned to upgrade and replace the current amphibious lift
capabilities,(79) not to increase the capability of these
platforms, and therefore highlighting that there is no priority to structure
the ADF for expeditionary operations in any level of conflict that may
involve an opposed landing. This means that, primarily, they will be
used for sea transport rather than force projection.
In 1815, the world changed in ways similar to the end
of the Cold War in 1991. Napoleon was defeated and France rendered prostrate
before British power. The end of the Napoleonic Wars shattered the basis
for Britain’s military strategy and made obsolete the roles, tasks and
intimate knowledge that generations of naval officers had developed
in response to Napoleonic expansionism. As a result, the British maritime
strategy of confining French freedom of action by close blockade of
the French ports became obsolete. This strategic discontinuity was so
total that it took the British almost a century to come to terms with
the new circumstances.(80)
We are currently in the aftermath of a change of similar
scope to that of 1815. However, the evidence suggests that many commentators
have failed to grasp what the new environment means, and thus cling
to anachronistic ideas about the utility and power of conventional thinking
about sea power and maritime strategy.
Western military thinking on expeditionary warfare and
power projection has undergone significant changes since the end of
the Cold War. This has been precipitated by the new strategic realities
and by the changes in military doctrine, organisation and equipment
that together come under the rubric of the Revolution in Military Affairs.(81)
The result has been a growing difference between the US approach and
that of other Western middle powers. This dichotomy is evident in the
different strands of Western thinking regarding expeditionary warfare
and power projection.
Since the end of the Cold War, the United States has assumed
the ability to exert its power globally and unhindered by any real competition.
It does not have to fight for the strategic space to reach across the
world’s oceans. It just assumes that capacity and focuses instead on
the application of national power from the sea to influence events ashore
in the littoral regions of the world across the operational spectrum
of peace, crisis and war.(82)
This assumed capability means that the United States is
therefore able to use the sea to wield power over land. This is reflected
in its 1994 Maritime Doctrine White Paper ‘Forward … From the Sea’.(83)
That paper outlines a concept for the use of maritime expeditionary
forces to project the power and influence of the United States to foreign
waters and shores in both peace and war. The White Paper notes that
the country’s economic, political and military interests are truly global
in nature and scope. This will be discussed in more detail further in
this Research Paper. To promote and protect those interests, the US
requires military forces able to operate globally across the full spectrum
of conflict, from peacetime through to crisis intervention, through
to regional wars and beyond. The US approach in this regard will be
explored in a later section of this document.
The assumption of command of the seas that is inherent
in the current United States maritime strategy also applies to other
Western middle powers(84) if operating in concert with the
US (but not if using maritime capacity to achieve their own strategic
ends). The distinguished naval author Rear Admiral J. R. Hill makes
the point that as medium powers existing in the shadows of greater powers
(such as the United States), the chief distinguishing characteristic
of their middle power status is autonomy.(85) In other words,
medium (or middle) powers such as Australia are defined as such by their
capacity to create and keep under national control enough means of power
to initiate and sustain coercive actions (upon both sea and land) whose
outcome will be the preservation of their vital interests. Consequently,
their maritime strategy must bring together the elements of such power
in such a way as to maintain their ability to use the sea to achieve
their national interests. It should be noted that the term ‘means of
power’ refers to the full spectrum of national power, though military
power is their ultimate guarantor.
A fundamental question in any discussion of maritime
strategy is whether the topic is considered as a subset of a broader
national military strategy (shown below as a ‘small s’ maritime strategy),
or whether the discussion is one of the bias within a national security
strategy (a ‘big S’ maritime strategy). In the former case, the question
is one strictly of the application of military power across a narrow
range of security sectors. In the latter case, the term encompasses
a national approach to its security that is either continentalist or
maritime-focused and considers responsibilities, not only for military
forces, across a wide spectrum of security sectors.

The Modern Context for Maritime Strategy
As noted above, the end of the Cold War gave to the
US and its allies an almost unprecedented(86) ability to
use the oceans without serious challenge. Consequently, the focus of
maritime strategies moved away from overcoming such challenges towards
the manner in which this new freedom could be exercised to apply power
to areas of interest on the world’s coastlines and inland. These areas
are known as the littoral.
The littoral is defined as the areas seaward of the
coast which is susceptible to influence or support from the land and
the areas inland from the coast which are susceptible to influence from
the sea.(87) At the turn of 21st Century, the littoral accommodates
over three quarters of the world’s population, hosts over 80 per cent
of the world’s capital cities and nearly all of the marketplaces for
international trade. Following the end of the Cold War, the littoral’s
aggregation of trade and people make it the most likely arena for important
conflicts. Such conflict is likely to challenge not just regional military
security, but all other sectors. That is, such conflict will have implications
for political, environmental, societal and economic security.
For the United States, the expected ‘chaos in the
littorals’(88) is seen as requiring the ability to project
military power ashore against all forms of obstacles, ranging from devastated
infrastructure to disaster relief and the full spectrum of armed threats.
This may mean non-state actors such as terrorists, hostile regional
powers, or a newly emerged rival super-power.
For medium powers, the challenges presented by the littoral
are made more complex by the lower level of resources that can be applied
to the issue. Australia is a good example as our littoral concerns include
enforcement of sanctions in the Persian Gulf, protection of fisheries
in the Southern Ocean, criminal activity across the Torres Strait and
enforcement of migration legislation across the northern edges of our
continent.
National security is no longer merely military security.
Similarly,
national power is not merely military power but the sum total of a nation’s
efforts to achieve its goals. It is both directed (such as through its
government domestic policies, foreign relations, and military capabilities)
and emergent (such as its international reputation, image, attractiveness
and success in economic, sporting, scientific and artistic domains).
Government policy may directly affect some elements of national power
but affect others only indirectly. For example, a nation’s foreign and
security policies may address the challenges of the unregulated flow
of people across borders, whilst a culture of self-reliance and environmental
consciousness may address challenges across the economic and environmental
sectors of national security. National power is translated into national
security when it addresses successfully the challenges facing the country
across the various security sectors.
The corollary of the above is that military power
(and military strategy) should have a role to play across all security
sectors. As noted by the Joint Standing Committee on Foreign Affairs,
Defence and Trade:
Government [must] develop and maintain a national
security policy. This policy should, amongst other things, guide the
Defence Forces on their role in an integrated national concept for promoting
and achieving international prosperity, peace, and security.(89)
As national power is harnessed through a broad national
security policy to achieve the vital national interests, so must all
elements of the nation’s maritime power be harnessed through a broad
maritime strategy to achieve its vital national interests in the seas
and its environs.
In military and national security terms, ‘asymmetric warfare’
can be defined as:
Acting, organizing and thinking differently from opponents
to maximize relative strengths, exploit opponents’ weaknesses or gain
greater freedom of action.(90)
Naval history abounds with examples of asymmetric strategies,
such as:
-
during World War II the Germans attempted to use submarine
warfare to counterbalance the British advantage in capital ships,
-
if the Cold War spilled over into military conflict,
the Soviet Navy intended to use massive salvoes of missiles and decoys
to overcome the defences of US carrier battle groups, and
-
today, illegal fishing vessels in the Southern Ocean
use their numbers to frustrate the efforts of national patrol vessels.
Our small population, our western culture and predilection
for high-technology solutions limit Australia’s strategic options. Asymmetric
responses to our strategies may include anti-access strategies,(91)
dispersed approaches that stress our numerically inferior forces, and
protracted tensions that consume scarce resources in ongoing operations.
A key concept that has pervaded Western military debate
over the past decade is that of a Revolution in Military Affairs (RMA).
At its heart, the concept articulates a belief that innovations in information
sciences and related computing advances have created a discontinuous
shift in the level of knowledge and precision that can be applied to
the battlespace. Changes created by the RMA extend to military doctrine,
organisation and equipment. Whilst evolution in military hardware such
as Global Hawk—a robotic reconnaissance aircraft—is the most visible
example of these changes, evolution in doctrine and organisation may
have the more reaching of impacts.
In the maritime sphere, the impact of the RMA is already
apparent in terms of broad area surveillance and similar tasks. Over
the next decades the cumulative effect of stresses associated with the
RMA are expected to reduce the flexibility of maritime forces by making
them easier to find and hit. Other changes only now being presaged relate
to the application of the same technologies that make uninhabited air
vehicles (UAV) like the Global Hawk possible in maritime applications.
This could result in a significant reduction in the number of people
engaged in maritime activities in both peace and war and bring significant
benefits to an environment that is both stressful and intensely dangerous.
The terrorist attacks upon the United States on 11 September
2001 have been claimed by various commentators as a trigger for a reassessment
of Australia’s security strategies.(92) The argument for
this is that it highlighted the capacity of non-state actors to inflict
damages on a nation-state which previously could only be inflicted by
another nation-state. So, if a non-state actor can inflict such damage,
then they need to be considered alongside nation-states in considerations
of national security and strategy.
It must be said that terrorists have long held the potential
for catastrophic strikes, but until the end of the Cold War such actions
were likely to have been perceived through the ideological prism of
East-West conflict. In the past decade, the global security agenda has
been extraordinarily fluid, and thus open to influence by non-state
actors using terrorism as a political tool. Many writers warned of the
dangers that non-state actors posed, but they were largely dismissed
in favour of the more traditional preoccupations with regional states
and their capacity for traditional warfare.(93) In other
words, nothing changed for national security and maritime strategy in
2001. The changes arose in 1991 with the end of the Cold War, but we
failed to give them due regard.
Whilst significant, the changes in the strategic environment
that were brought sharply into focus by the events of 11 September 2001
did not invalidate the continuing requirements for a comprehensive maritime
strategy that addresses both the new security concerns and the old defence
concerns. The sections below outline the two conceptual approaches to
a maritime strategy in terms of concepts, roles and responsibilities.
In this version, maritime strategy is a subset of a
broader military strategy aimed at meeting the requirements of a government’s
security policy. The current Australian policy was outlined as a listing
of strategic interests in the Defence 2000 White Paper. In order of
priority, these enduring strategic interests are:
-
ensure the Defence of Australia and its direct approaches
-
foster the security of our immediate neighbourhood
-
support strategic stability in the wider Asia-Pacific
region, and
-
support Global Security.(94)
These strategic interests are to be achieved through
an Australian Military Strategy. The aim of this strategy is to shape
the strategic environment, conduct military support operations, and
provide combat ready forces to accomplish five major strategic tasks.
These tasks are:
-
defeat of attacks on Australia (DAA)
-
defence of Regional Interests (DRI)
-
defence of Global Interests (DGI)
-
protection of National Interests (PNI), and
-
shaping the Strategic Environment (SSE).(95)
It is worth making two points about the above. First,
the maritime component of DAA is one of the denial of the sea-air gap
to our north to any potential aggressor wishing to launch attacks upon
our soil. This is a very limited aim and will be discussed further below
when addressing the difference between sea control and sea denial.
Second, the order of these strategic tasks also reflects
their importance as a basis for acquiring new equipment, or force-structure
development. Until recently, only DAA was a valid force-structure determinant.
Since the attacks on 11 September 2001 this has been relaxed somewhat
but it is still the case that most acquisitions are justified by their
contribution to the DAA task. The danger with this approach is that,
because military capabilities in the region are low, there is little
pressure to develop capabilities that can operate successfully in high-threat
environments. This constrains government options in terms of what capabilities
it can contribute to coalitions operating in high-threat environments
such as the Persian Gulf.
A ‘small s’ maritime strategy contributes
to the achievement of the strategic tasks outlined above through military
diplomacy, through constabulary tasks in the enforcement of national
sovereignty, and through combat operations. These three roles are addressed
in more detail below.
A Man-o-War
makes the best ambassador
Oliver Cromwell
Maritime forces are visible, mobile, and potent symbols
of the nation-state and as such are useful instruments of foreign policy.(96)
This role can be as part of the shaping of the strategic environment
through their sheer presence and port visits, or as more direct enforcers
of national power in the defence of regional or global interests.
Deterrence
In its simplest form, deterrence means discouraging
the enemy from taking military action by posing for him a prospect of
cost and risk outweighing his prospective gain.(97) Deterrence
is an exercise of national power which, like coercion or seduction,
uses elements of national power, more likely the military, to prevent
an adversary from undertaking a course of action that the nation regards
as undesirable, by threatening to inflict unacceptable costs upon the
adversary in the event that the action is taken.(98) Deterrence
strategies may be divided into two sets. The first relies on denial;
conventional land, sea and air forces deter by their effect on the aggressor’s
estimate of the probability of gaining his or her objective. The second
relies on the potential for punishment and the associated costs to the
aggressor.(99)
The effectiveness of deterrence can rely either on
denial capabilities, typically conventional land, naval and air forces,
which deter by their effect on the aggressors estimate of the probability
of gaining his objective; or on ‘punishment’ capabilities which deter
by acting on the aggressor’s estimate of possible costs.(100)
During the Cold War, the effect of both tactical and strategic nuclear
weapons relied on this latter aspect of deterrence. In an Australian
context, the speed, range and payload of the F-111 strike aircraft fulfilled
this same role within the region.
The deterrent aspect of maritime strategy is based
on three related ideas. These
are reach, presence and power. In other words, the ability to carry
out and sustain operations in the area of interest which may be a significant
distance away from Australia to reassure allies or deter adversaries;
the recognised capacity to inflict damage on an opponent; and finally
the ability to graduate the response as circumstances evolve. In other
words, maritime strategy sets the parameters within which maritime forces
can deter an adversary by demonstrating sufficient power to deny him
his objective, or by sustaining operations from where punishment can
be inflicted upon him. Of course, this capacity is dependent on the
specific capabilities of the maritime forces available.
Deterrence is central to maritime strategy because
of the capacity of maritime forces to influence events on land, both
upon one’s homeland, but also on the homeland of a potential aggressor.
Furthermore, the level of deterrence, particularly through punishment,
can be adjusted with exquisite precision. The noted American author
Norman Friedman suggests that maritime forces can project force to influence
events on land in four main ways:
-
control of offshore shipping through embargo (such
as that imposed upon Iraq between 1991 and 2003). Australian maritime
forces were significant participants in those operations.
-
punishment through discrete strikes upon particular
targets ashore (for example, the air attacks on Tripoli in 1986 and
against a terrorist camp in Afghanistan in 1998).
-
sustained air attacks in support of other operations,
such as was the case in the Persian Gulf in 1991, and
-
actual or threatened landing of ground forces. This
can be in the form of raids as are conducted by the Commando Regiment,
or in amphibious operations as was the case in Normandy and the Pacific
in World War II, and as was threatened during the 1991 Gulf War. In
Australia’s case this includes our experiences in New Guinea in 1942.
An appropriate balance of capability and strategy
enables the use of maritime forces in the deterrent role either to dissuade
a potential aggressor (such as Saddam Hussein’s Iraq) or to modify their
behaviour through the graduated and flexible application of force to
their homelands. However, such maritime strategy can only succeed if
the maritime forces giving it effect enjoy appropriate reach, power
and presence.
Unfortunately, there is no way of determining in
advance if inaction on the part of the adversary is due to successful
efforts at deterrence (with all its attendant costs in terms of equipment
and manpower) or is due to an absence of hostile intent on the part
of a putative adversary. This uncertainty helps to explain why critics
argue that deterrence institutionalises worst-case thinking about the
adversary’s intentions and ignores all other constraints upon their
decision making, which may be so compelling that they render deterrence
superfluous.(101)
Coercion
Coercion can be defined as the open application of
power where one party secures another’s compliance by a threat of sanctions.(102)
Maybe the clearest example of the role of coercion as part of a maritime
strategy involved the American naval squadron under the command of Commodore
Perry, who on July 8, 1853, anchored his four ships, including the powerful
steam frigates MISSISSIPPI and SUSQUEHANNA, in lower Tokyo (then Edo)
Bay. The Japanese ordered him to go to Nagasaki, the only port open
to foreigners, but Perry firmly declined. He presented his papers to
the Japanese emperor, requesting protection for shipwrecked American
seamen, the right to buy coal, and the opening of one or more ports
to trade. The expedition then retired to the China coast. He returned
in February 1854 with a larger fleet at which time a treaty was concluded
that acceded to American requests, opening the ports of Shimoda and
Hakodate to US trade.(103) Commodore Perry’s actions carried
the unmistakably coercive message that the United States was a technologically-advanced
country, willing to use military force to achieve its foreign policy
objectives. The Japanese Government correctly understood this and acceded
to Commodore Perry’s requests.
It should be noted that to be effective as a strategic
tool, coercion has to be believable. This requires not just actual or
perceived military capability, but also the belief that the government
will use its power if compliance with its wishes is not forthcoming.
Therefore, coercion is not only a military strategic issue, but a national
strategic issue.
Seduction
Seduction can be seen as the flip-side of coercion.
In this case one party secures the compliance of another because of
the expected benefits that the second party expects to receive. This
can be preferential access to technology, security guarantees or other
strategic benefits. Examples of such power relationships may include
alliances between partners of different strategic standing, such as
ANZUS or the US-Japan alliance.(104) In this latter case,
the security guarantees contained in the Treaty of Mutual Cooperation
and Security ensure Japan’s compliance with the US desire to curb nuclear
proliferation in the Asia-Pacific region.
The extension of sovereign rights associated with
the Law of the Sea Convention have greatly complicated the responsibilities
of governments.(105) In Australia’s case, the declaration
of a 200 nautical miles Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) in 1994 brought
with it the responsibility to watch over and manage an area of 8 148
250 square kilometres. This area is larger than the sum total of the
land area of Australia. Keeping in mind the number of vessels patrolling
that huge area, it is equivalent to only fifty police cars in the whole
of Australia.
Sovereignty
In its simplest definition, sovereignty means self-government.
It is a claim by the state to supreme authority both within its territory
and over its citizens.(106) However, the concept itself is
not uncontested due to the leaching away of classical sovereignty from
the nation state upwards into supra-national bodies, and downwards into
regional or provincial jurisdictions. Similarly, questions remain as
to whether sovereignty is an inherent right or a concept that exists
only when exercised. Under this latter reading it behoves a nation-state
to maintain forces capable of exercising its sovereignty to the full
extent of its claimed borders.
Under the Law of the Sea Convention, Australia has
claimed a territorial sea over which it claims full sovereignty out
to 12 nautical miles from its coasts.(107) Beyond that, Australia
claims a Contiguous Zone out to 24 nautical miles over which it enforces
customs, fiscal, immigration and sanitary laws.(108) One
of the requirements of a maritime strategy with respect to sovereignty
is the ability to exercise such sovereignty throughout the nation’s
territorial sea and contiguous zone.
Natural Resources
The Law of the Sea Convention also gave effect to
a system of EEZ under which nation states have sovereign rights over
natural resources out to 200 nautical miles from its coasts (but not
sovereignty). Australia claimed such rights in 1994 under the Maritime
Legislation Amendment Act 1994. The convention also allows states
to claim sovereign rights over seabed resources where the continental
shelf extends beyond 200 nautical miles.
The actual definition of this extended continental
shelf is a geological problem, and information to support it must be
submitted to the UN Commission on the Limits of the Continental Shelf
by 16 November 2004.(109) In Australia’s case there are a
number of areas that extend significant distances beyond the limits
of the EEZ and this will extend further the requirements of our maritime
patrol capabilities to enforce Australian jurisdiction over the resources
found in such areas.
Good Order at Sea
As stated above, Australian sovereignty extends out
to 12 nautical miles from the coastline whilst laws governing customs,
immigration, fiscal and sanitary matters extend out to 24 nautical miles.
However, Australian jurisdiction also extends to vessels of Australian
nationality or registry (known as Flag State jurisdiction) wherever
they may be. Furthermore, some offences such as piracy are subject to
universal jurisdiction when they occur on the high seas.
If we accept that sovereignty only exists when enforced,
then also sovereign rights exist only when enforced. The legal regime
delineated by the Law of the Sea Convention therefore creates certain
expectations that states which take advantage of the provisions contained
in the convention will also ensure that its provisions are adhered to.
Despite the central place that warfighting has had
in the development of maritime affairs, there was until the nineteenth
century a dearth of writing on the subject. This was of course due to
several factors, not the least that such things were not necessary as
they were all perfectly obvious. During the battle of Camperdown in
1797, one of Admiral Duncan’s commanders was so bewildered by the stream
of signals made to him by his admiral that he swore soundly, threw the
signals book to the deck in disgust and simply ordered his quartermaster
to steer into the middle of the enemy’s fleet. This was exactly what
was needed, and required no strategic or doctrinal guidance. It just
required a professional officer with a good measure of commonsense to
see what needed to be done.(110)
This belief in the ‘school of experience‘ as the
best source on maritime strategic affairs changed in 1890 with the publication
of Admiral Alfred Thayer Mahan’s book The Influence of Sea Power
upon History 1660-1783. The book became immensely popular and remains
in print to this day. Both Mahan and later writers such as Sir Julian
Corbett(111) wrote in time when various nations could and
did contest for supremacy on the world’s oceans. Consequently, both
writers emphasised on the requirement to wrest either command or control
of the sea from adversaries. Where these two writers differed was that
Mahan advocated naval supremacy as an enabling end in itself, whereas
Corbett saw maritime strategy as merely one component of an overall
national strategy aimed at the pursuit of national political goals.
Despite the differing viewpoints, their ideas are not mutually exclusive,
and are detailed further below.
Command of the Sea
This has been defined as the possession of such a
degree of superiority that one’s own operations are unchallenged by
an adversary, while the latter is incapable of using the sea to any
degree.(112) This is an unqualified concept, achievable only
through the destruction or neutralisation of the adversary’s fleet.
The end of the Cold War brought the US to this position without having
to face what Mahan called the ‘decisive battle’. This unchallenged
supremacy on the world’s oceans has allowed the US and its allies to
concentrate their focus on the projection of power ashore.
Sea Control
Julian Corbett understood that it was not command
of the oceans that mattered, but the ability to use them. Consequently,
he distilled the idea of command of the sea to a much more limited concept
of sea control, which entails the ability to use an area of ocean for
one’s purposes. This control is often limited in both time and space.
This task is sometimes achievable by the maritime forces of a medium
power. The duration and extent of such sea control is a function of
the resources available to enforce it, and the requirements of the task
to be performed.
It should be noted that sea control is an active
role, requiring the elements of presence, reach and power which characterise
maritime forces. Furthermore, sea control is not merely an idea exercised
in wartime. Recent examples of sea control include the RAN’s operations
in the Persian Gulf, and Operation RELEX. In this latter example, maritime
patrol aircraft, surface combatants and minor war vessels combined to
exercise sea control over an area of ocean to the north of Australia
to deal with the unregulated movement of people towards Australia.
Sea Denial
This can be defined simply as the ability to prevent
an adversary from making use of a particular area of the world’s oceans.
It can take many forms ranging from blockade to the submarine and air
operations by the Argentine military in the 1982 Falklands War.
In Australia’s case, recent Defence White Papers
have pursued a strategy of denial of the sea-air gap to our north as
the primary focus of our defence effort. Such denial strategies can
be pursued through the combination of effective surveillance and strike
capabilities, that is, to find and destroy any putative adversary before
it reaches our shores. As can be seen in Operation RELEX, ongoing sea
control operations are demanding of both people and platforms.(113)
Sea denial in the littoral environment can be pursued over wide areas
on an ongoing basis with much lower resource implications.
Sea Lines of Communications (SLOC)
It was Julian Corbett who pointed out that maritime
conflict was about control of communications.(114) The protection
of the ‘Sea Lines of Communications’ (SLOC) is, in fact, a misnomer
as there are no physical highways or lines to protect; what matters
are the ships that use various routes. In the protection of our national
interests, the protection of SLOC takes on a particular importance for
two main reasons. First, the majority of our sea-borne traffic passes
through numerous straits and other chokepoints as it moves to and from
our trading partners in Asia. Second, shipping in the Indian and Pacific
Oceans can be identified from some distance away as being bound only
for Australia or New Zealand. The protection of such SLOC is not only
a wartime role. Piracy and the danger of terrorist action since 11 September
2001 have increased the security requirements for vessels whose cargo
is seen as environmentally sensitive, attractive or strategically-significant.
Maritime strategy needs to consider the role of maritime forces in the
protection of SLOC in other than wartime tasking.
Power Projection Ashore
With the end of the Cold War, it has become the orthodoxy
that the purpose of maritime power is to directly influence events on
land. After all, that is where people live. The reach, poise and flexibility
of maritime forces enable such forces to strike at the land from unexpected
and/or advantageous directions, making them, in the words of one of
Great Britain’s most famous strategists Liddell Hart ‘the greatest strategic
asset that a maritime nation can possess’.(115) However,
in the 1970s serious doubts emerged about the effectiveness of contested
amphibious operations in high threat scenarios. Such doubts were heightened
by the casualty rates during the 1975 MAYAGUEZ imbroglio in which the
US attempted to rescue that ship’s crew by means of a helicopter-borne
amphibious assault.(116)
No significant amphibious operations have taken place
since then,(117) but significant doctrinal advances have
taken place, such as the US Marine Corps ‘Operational Manoeuvre from
the Sea’ concept which focuses on the ability to move directly from
the ship to the objective on land by taking advantage of high-speed
capabilities such as the Advanced Amphibious Assault Vehicle (AAAV)
and the MV-22 Osprey tilt-rotor. Such capabilities allow the US to maintain
the capacity to perform forcible entry operations in high threat environments.
Australia is not capable of performing such operations, and its much
more modest doctrinal approach is encapsulated in the Manoeuvre Operations
in the Littoral Environment (MOLE) Concept document.(118)
Nevertheless, the capacity to influence events on land in areas such
as the South Pacific, as well as maintaining the capability to, for
example, evacuate Australian civilians from a conflict situation, are
important parts of Australia’s maritime strategy.
This reading eschews the narrow definition of security
as strictly military security and thus opens the door to an integrated
security strategy able to bring together relevant elements of national
power across all aspects (or sectors) of security.
Several naval strategic concepts, such as power projection
and sea control are similar under both readings and will not be discussed
further.
A shift occurred in Western strategic thinking at
the end of the Cold War in 1991. From the advent of total war, and during
the decades when strategic nuclear war was a probability, all aspects
of security were subjugated to the idea of military security. With the
threat of strategic nuclear war extinguished,(119) national
security was properly recognised as being broader than just military
security. It also encompasses economic, environmental, societal and
political security.(120) Whether it is unregulated movement
of peoples, transnational crime or unlawful exploitation of resources,
threats to Australia’s national interests are multi-dimensional. A comprehensive
maritime strategy must consider the implication for national security
of the full gamut of security sectors.
Environmental Security
This security sector concerns the maintenance of
the local and planetary biosphere as the essential support system on
which all other human enterprises depend. The environmental security
aspect of a maritime strategy has relevance not only for security policy
but also for oceans policy and related topics.
Ecological security threats can damage the physical
base of the nation state and its institutions.(121) Whilst
some threats are global and thus beyond the scope of any sole nation’s
strategy, others are caused, for example, by transborder pollution.
In Australia’s case such pollution may arise from commercial enterprises
such as poorly controlled mining activity in PNG(122) or
clearance-burning for agriculture in Indonesia and Malaysia.
Economic Security
Economic security concerns access to the resources,
finance, and markets necessary to sustain acceptable levels of welfare
and state power. In the main, economic threats are part of the normal
discourse of nations and do not often stray into the realm of national
security. Such leakage can occur however through the relationship between
economic capability on the one hand, and military capability, power
and socio-political stability on the other.(123)
The links between maritime strategy and economic
security are based on the importance of seaborne trade and of the exploitation
of the ocean spaces (and of the seabed). Basic policy work in understanding
the overlapping nature of many maritime control regimes would be a useful
tool in enhancing this aspect of maritime security.(124)
A more immediate threat to economic security arises
from the growth of transnational crime, including people and drug smuggling.
Such threats have the dual effect of draining economically significant
amounts from the national economy, but also create expensive social
and health related concerns in the target population.
In Australia’s case, the absence of land borders
with any other country makes such security threats a valid focus for
a national maritime strategy.(125) Such threats bring together
law enforcement and military capabilities in ways which are uncomfortable
for the culture of both areas and which create difficulties in terms
of surveillance and intelligence cooperation and coordination.
Political Security
Political threats to security are aimed at the organisational
stability of the state. Their purpose may range from pressuring the
government on a particular policy, through to overthrowing the government
or inciting secessionism.(126) Terrorism is one aspect of
political security that has taken on a new importance after the attacks
on New York and Washington on 11 September 2001. The possibility of
terrorists using ocean spaces to pursue their political or ideological
agenda (for example, through acts of ecological destruction) could have
significant impacts on national security as a whole.
In Australia’s case, examples of such acts could
include the deliberate introduction of diseases into the country or
the break-up of an oil tanker upon sensitive areas of the Great Barrier
Reef. Either of these two events would have significant impacts on our
national interests.

(Source: Australian Maritime
Safety Authority)
Societal Security
Threats to national security at the social level
amount to attacks on the national identity. At the higher end of the
threat spectrum, they are often part of a broader package of military
and political threats, such as that faced by the Israelis from the Arabs.(127)
In Australia’s immediate region, a lower level of threat exists, largely
associated with nation-states suppressing, or at least homogenising,
sub-state social identities. Examples include the Javanese and others
transmigration into less heavily populated areas of Indonesia, tensions
between ethnic Fijians and Indo-Fijians, and the conflict between Malaitans
and the Guadalcanese in the Solomon Islands.(128) While such
threats are overwhelmingly internal to the respective nation states,
they do raise security concerns for Australia in its engagement with
the region.
Military Security
The use of military force can wreak major undesired
changes very swiftly and can even threaten the very existence of the
nation-state itself. Consequently military security concerns are granted
the highest priority in the national security considerations by the
government of any nation state. The strategic response to military threats
has long been the skeleton of any maritime strategy. However, as the
spectre of global annihilation through strategic nuclear war receded
with the collapse of the Soviet Union, it opened the door to a more
comprehensive treatment of all sectors of security and their treatment
through integrated strategies, such as a national maritime strategy.
As stated above, the end of strategic competition upon
the high seas has brought about a new focus on the role of maritime
forces in projecting power into the littoral areas of the world. Both
the US and the UK have outlined their approaches in this matter. Their
primary guiding documents are summarised below as examples for consideration.
The US Navy Doctrine ‘Forward … From the
Sea’
This 1994 Doctrine is the second maritime strategic
concept arising from the US in the aftermath of the Cold War. Like its
1992 predecessor ‘From the Sea’, this document articulates the idea
that the primary purpose of forward-deployed naval forces is to proje |